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2017 SAG Awards Nomination Predictions

December 08, 2017 by Andrew Carden in SAG Awards

Oh hell yes! The Screen Actors Guild Awards are never easy to predict, at least in nominations, which is why I so enjoy them. This is, after all, the guild that recognized the likes of Hank Azaria in The Birdcage, Stockard Channing in Smoke, Cloris Leachman in Spanglish, Gena Rowlands in Unhook the Stars and Gwen Verdon in Marvin's Room, which virtually no other precursor had them on their radar.

Odds are, there will be at least one eyebrow-raising nominee on SAG nominations morning. (Last year, it was Emily Blunt in The Girl on the Train that left awards season junkies giggling.) Could it be living legends Jane Fonda and/or Robert Redford in Our Souls at Night? How about Debra Winger in The Lovers? Or perhaps even a posthumous nod for Carrie Fisher in Star Wars: The Last Jedi or Harry Dean Stanton in Lucky? There are plenty of obscure possibilities here.

With that said, here's what I'm thinking goes down, from most to least likely to be nominated. Feel free, of course, to comment with your own predictions too!

Best Ensemble

  1. The Post
  2. Lady Bird
  3. Call Me By Your Name
  4. Mudbound
  5. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
    ---
  6. Get Out
  7. The Shape of Water
  8. Dunkirk
  9. The Florida Project
  10. Murder on the Orient Express

Best Lead Actor

  1. Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour
  2. Daniel Day-Lewis, Phantom Thread
  3. Timothee Chalamet, Call Me By Your Name
  4. Tom Hanks, The Post
  5. James Franco, The Disaster Artist
    ---
  6. Jake Gyllenhaal, Stronger
  7. Daniel Kaluuya, Get Out
  8. Jacob Tremblay, Wonder
  9. Denzel Washington, Roman J. Israel, Esq.
  10. Harry Dean Stanton, Lucky

Best Lead Actress

  1. Meryl Streep, The Post
  2. Saoirse Ronan, Lady Bird
  3. Frances McDormand, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
  4. Margot Robbie, I, Tonya
  5. Judi Dench, Victoria & Abdul
    ---
  6. Sally Hawkins, The Shape of Water
  7. Jessica Chastain, Molly's Game
  8. Annette Bening, Film Stars Don't Die in Liverpool
  9. Brooklynn Prince, The Florida Project
  10. Emma Stone, Battle of the Sexes

Best Supporting Actor

  1. Willem Dafoe, The Florida Project
  2. Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
  3. Michael Stuhlbarg, Call Me By Your Name
  4. Armie Hammer, Call Me By Your Name
  5. Woody Harrelson, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
    ---
  6. Richard Jenkins, The Shape of Water
  7. Michael Shannon, The Shape of Water
  8. Jason Mitchell, Mudbound
  9. Patrick Stewart, Logan
  10. Idris Elba, Molly's Game

Best Supporting Actress

  1. Laurie Metcalf, Lady Bird
  2. Allison Janney, I, Tonya
  3. Holly Hunter, The Big Sick
  4. Octavia Spencer, The Shape of Water
  5. Julia Roberts, Wonder
    ---
  6. Tiffany Haddish, Girls Trip
  7. Catherine Keener, Get Out
  8. Lois Smith, Marjorie Prime
  9. Mary J. Blige, Mudbound
  10. Carrie Fisher, Star Wars: The Last Jedi
December 08, 2017 /Andrew Carden
SAG
SAG Awards
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2016 DGA/PGA/WGA winners

February 18, 2017 by Andrew Carden in Guild Awards, DGA, PGA, WGA

Congratulations to this year's DGA/PGA/WGA honorees!

Directors Guild of America

Feature Film
Damien Chazelle
La La Land (Lionsgate)
Directorial Team:
Unit Production Manager: Michael Beugg
First Assistant Director: Peter Kohn
Second Assistant Director: Paula Case
Assistant Unit Production Manager: Bart Lipton
Second Second Assistant Director: Brett Robinson
Additional Second Assistant Director: Dodi Rubenstein

First-Time Director Feature Film
Garth Davis
Lion (The Weinstein Company)
Directorial Team:
First Assistant Director: Chris Webb
First Assistant Director: Ananya Rane (India Unit)
Second Assistant Directors: Mark Ingram (Australia Unit), Sunny Tiku (India Unit), KP Singh (India Unit), Shaunak Kapur (India Unit)

Documentary
Ezra Edelman
O.J.: Made in America
ESPN Films

Producers Guild of America

Darryl F. Zanuck Award for Outstanding Producer of Theatrical Motion Pictures
La La Land
Producers: Fred Berger, Jordan Horowitz, Marc Platt

Outstanding Producer of Animated Theatrical Motion Pictures
Zootopia
Producer: Clark Spencer

Outstanding Producer of Documentary Theatrical Motion Pictures
O.J.: Made in America
Producers: Ezra Edelman, Caroline Waterlow

Writers Guild of America

Original Screenplay
Moonlight
Written by Barry Jenkins, Story by Tarell McCraney; A24

Adapted Screenplay
Arrival
Screenplay by Eric Heisserer;
Based on the Story “Story of Your Life” by Ted Chiang; Paramount Pictures

February 18, 2017 /Andrew Carden
DGA, WGA, PGA
Guild Awards, DGA, PGA, WGA
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2016 SAG Awards winners

January 29, 2017 by Andrew Carden in SAG Awards, Guild Awards

Congratulations to all of this year's fantastic SAG Awards winners! (And Lifetime Achievement honoree Lily Tomlin!)

Best Ensemble
Hidden Figures

Best Lead Actor
Denzel Washington, Fences

Best Lead Actress
Emma Stone, La La Land

Best Supporting Actor
Mahershala Ali, Moonlight

Best Supporting Actress
Viola Davis, Fences

January 29, 2017 /Andrew Carden
SAG, SAG Awards 2016
SAG Awards, Guild Awards
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2016 SAG Awards predictions

January 26, 2017 by Andrew Carden in Guild Awards, SAG Awards

On the heels of Oscar nominations morning - and with about a month to go before that grand ceremony - here's my final hunch on how this weekend's SAG Awards will go down...

Best Ensemble

  1. Hidden Figures
  2. Moonlight
  3. Manchester by the Sea
  4. Fences
  5. Captain Fantastic

Nuts as this may sound, I suspect Hidden Figures will pull the upset here, over Moonlight, which appears to be something of a soft front-runner here. Hidden Figures peaked at just the right time in SAG voting, having already amassed nearly $100 million at the box office; is packed with actors who have worked alongside countless other SAG members; and, of course, mustered that all-important Best Picture Oscar nom. Moonlight could still totally win this, though - the Globe win was important in sustaining some momentum for the film, and there's something so special about the casting of both Chiron and Kevin. Not to be entirely counted out is Manchester by the Sea, though it seems buzz on that one is generally, sadly waning a bit. The other two I don't see as having a prayer, even though I have both Davis and this guy emerging triumphant here...

Best Lead Actor

  1. Denzel Washington, Fences
  2. Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea
  3. Viggo Mortensen, Captain Fantastic
  4. Ryan Gosling, La La Land
  5. Andrew Garfield, Hacksaw Ridge

Yup, I'm going the extra distance in awards commentary craziness here. First off, I think Mortensen, Gosling and Garfield can all rather easily be counted out here, even with Mortensen's cast having scored that jaw-dropping Ensemble nod. The way I see it, if enough voters realize Washington has yet to triumph at SAG, he should win, as something of a career nod. Moreover, though, I get the sense critics (and the HFPA) might be much more keen on Affleck than his acting peers. Perhaps it's Brie Larson's wary response to his Globe victory putting me in this mindset but I suspect he may be weaker than some are thinking among the acting branch.

Best Lead Actress

  1. Emma Stone, La La Land
  2. Natalie Portman, Jackie
  3. Meryl Streep, Florence Foster Jenkins
  4. Amy Adams, Arrival
  5. Emily Blunt, The Girl on the Train

Even with Stone looking more and more like an Oscar shoo-in, I wouldn't entirely discount Portman's chances here. I do see Stone as a decent front-runner at SAG, in part because she's the one way the guild can recognize La La Land, but I'm hesitant to quite yet declare Portman dead. Streep, despite that glorious Globes speech, shouldn't be a real factor here, and non-Oscar nominees Adams and Blunt surely needn't get victory speeches together.

Best Supporting Actor

  1. Mahershala Ali, Moonlight
  2. Jeff Bridges, Hell or High Water
  3. Dev Patel, Lion
  4. Hugh Grant, Florence Foster Jenkins
  5. Lucas Hedges, Manchester by the Sea

Now this is a tough one. Ali was steamrolling this awards season until Aaron Taylor-Johnson's random Globe win somewhat placed the breaks on his momentum. I still think Ali triumphs here but Bridges could follow in the footsteps of Robert Duvall, Michael Caine, Christopher Walken and Tommy Lee Jones of veteran actors who have prevailed in SAG Supporting Actor. Patel, who was nominated at SAG for Slumdog Millionaire when the Academy didn't bite, could be a factor too. Grant and Hedges, while both wonderful, are sitting this one out.

Best Supporting Actress

  1. Viola Davis, Fences
  2. Michelle Williams, Manchester by the Sea
  3. Nicole Kidman, Lion
  4. Naomie Harris, Moonlight
  5. Octavia Spencer, Hidden Figures

Here is the biggest slam dunk of the evening. It's tough to even decide upon who will be the distant runner-up to Davis. I would think it's Williams, though it doesn't much matter - Davis shall triumph here in a cakewalk.

January 26, 2017 /Andrew Carden
SAG Awards 2016, SAG
Guild Awards, SAG Awards
1 Comment
Arrival.jpg

2016 Directors Guild of America Awards nominees

January 12, 2017 by Andrew Carden in Guild Awards, DGA

Congratulations to this year's Directors Guild of America Award honorees!

DAMIEN CHAZELLE
La La Land (Lionsgate)

Directorial Team:
Unit Production Manager: Michael Beugg
First Assistant Director: Peter Kohn
Second Assistant Director: Paula Case
Assistant Unit Production Manager: Bart Lipton
Second Second Assistant Director: Brett Robinson
Additional Second Assistant Director: Dodi Rubenstein

GARTH DAVIS
Lion (The Weinstein Company)

Directorial Team:
First Assistant Director: Chris Webb
First Assistant Director: Ananya Rane (India Unit)
Second Assistant Directors: Mark Ingram (Australia Unit), Sunny Tiku (India Unit), KP Singh (India Unit), Shaunak Kapur (India Unit)

BARRY JENKINS
Moonlight (A24)

Directorial Team:
Unit Production Manager: Jennifer Radzikowski

KENNETH LONERGAN
Manchester by the Sea (Amazon Studios and Roadside Attractions)

Directorial Team:
Unit Production Manager: Declan Baldwin
First Assistant Director: Michael J. Moore
Second Assistant Director: David Blazina
Second Second Assistant Directors: Tim LaDue, Scooter Perrotta

DENIS VILLENEUVE
Arrival (Paramount Pictures)

Directorial Team:
Unit Production Manager: Stan Wlodkowski
First Assistant Director: Donald L. Sparks
Second Assistant Director: Brigitte Goulet
Second Second Assistant Director: Karine P. Labelle

January 12, 2017 /Andrew Carden
DGA Awards, DGA
Guild Awards, DGA
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