2019 Oscar Nomination Predictions (September)

You may or may not have noticed - I am, after all, constantly on Twitter, more often than not preaching on some Best Supporting Actress race from half a century ago - but I haven’t done a whole lot on my blog this year. Much as I’d love to embark on another Oscar Flashback and/or pen my usual reviews, I’m afraid I simply haven’t had the time in recent months.

I am, however, trying my best to keep up with the Oscar race and that means (at last!) compiling my first set of predictions for the year. In the past, I’ve started off with a list of summer predictions, around July or August, but this time around it’ll have to be September - and I shall try to update these bad boys once a month, from here ‘til nominations morning.

One year ago, I was still predicting Steve McQueen (Widows), Robert Redford (The Old Man and the Gun) and Nicole Kidman (Boy Erased) for nominations, not to mention the likes of Colette and Peterloo, so know for sure that at least a handful of the following are destined to fall flat.

The main mystery of the coming awards season remains, of course, Martin Scorsese’s The Irishman, which seems destined for critical and commercial success but, for all we know, could also wind up with a Casino-level reception. Uncertainty also lingers over Greta Gerwig’s Little Women and Sam Mendes’ 1917, plus Todd Haynes’ Dark Waters, Jay Roach’s Bombshell and yes..sigh…Tom Hooper’s Cats. Less of a question mark is Noah Baumbach’s Marriage Story, perhaps on the verge of being the first film since American Hustle to score in all four acting categories.

Charlize Theron and Renee Zellweger are on the hunt for their second golden guys, while the likes of veterans Julie Hagerty and Jonathan Pryce seek first career nominations. And then, of course, there is Annette Bening, who this year could land career Oscar nom #5.

With all that said, here is my current hunch on how the race goes down, with predictions ranked from most to least likely to be nominated. I plan to update everything sometime in mid-October and perhaps at that time will take a shot at Best Original Song. Also, sorry to any names I’ve neglected to include on the techs end!

Enjoy! :)

Best Picture

1. Marriage Story

2. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

3. The Irishman

4. 1917

5. Waves

6. The Farewell

7. Ford v. Ferrari

8. Little Women

9. Bombshell
   —

10. The Two Popes

11. Dark Waters

12. The Report

13. Cats

14. Dolemite Is My Name

15. Just Mercy

Best Director

1. Martin Scorsese, The Irishman

2. Quentin Tarantino, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

3. Noah Baumbach, Marriage Story

4. Sam Mendes, 1917

5. Pedro Almodovar, Pain and Glory
   —

6. Joon-Ho Bong, Parasite

7. Trey Edward Schults, Waves

8. Lulu Wang, The Farewell

9. Jay Roach, Bombshell

10. Greta Gerwig, Little Women

Best Actress

1. Renee Zellweger, Judy

2. Scarlett Johansson, Marriage Story

3. Saoirse Ronan, Little Women

4. Charlize Theron, Bombshell

5. Alfre Woodard, Clemency
   —

6. Awkwafina, The Farewell

7. Cynthia Erivo, Harriet

8. Helen Mirren, The Good Liar

9. Lupita Nyong’o, Us

10. Jodie Turner-Smith, Queen & Slim

Best Actor

1. Adam Driver, Marriage Story

2. Antonio Banderas, Pain and Glory

3. Jonathan Pryce, The Two Popes

4. Christian Bale, Ford v. Ferrari

5. Eddie Murphy, Dolemite Is My Name
   —

6. Joaquin Phoenix, Joker

7. Robert De Niro, The Irishman

8. Mark Ruffalo, Dark Waters

9. Leonardo DiCaprio, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

10. Ian McKellen, The Good Liar

Best Supporting Actress

1. Laura Dern, Marriage Story

2. Annette Bening, The Report

3. Margot Robbie, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

4. Jennifer Hudson, Cats

5. Anna Paquin, The Irishman
   —

6. Zhao Shuzhen, The Farewell

7. Julie Hagerty, Marriage Story

8. Jennifer Lopez, Hustlers

9. Meryl Streep, Little Women

10. Maggie Smith, Downton Abbey

Best Supporting Actor

1. Brad Pitt, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

2. Anthony Hopkins, The Two Popes

3. Alan Alda, Marriage Story

4. John Lithgow, Bombshell

5. Sterling K. Brown, Waves
   —

6. Jamie Foxx, Just Mercy

7. Kelvin Harrison, Jr., Waves

8. Al Pacino, The Irishman

9. Tom Hanks, A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood

10. Ian McKellen, Cats

Best Original Screenplay

1. Noah Baumbach, Marriage Story

2. Quentin Tarantino, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

3. Trey Edward Schults, Waves

4. Lulu Wang, The Farewell

5. Pedro Almodovar, Pain and Glory
   —

6. Joon-Ho Bong and Jin Won Han, Parasite

7. Scott Z. Burns, The Report

8. Charles Randolph, Bombshell

9. Jez Butterworth, John-Henry Butterworth, Jason Keller and James Mangold, Ford v. Ferrari

10. Scott Alexander and Larry Karaszewski, Dolemite Is My Name

Best Adapted Screenplay

1. Steven Zaiillian, The Irishman

2. Greta Gerwig, Little Women

3. Frank Cottrell-Boyce and Anthony McCarten, The Two Popes

4. Matthew Michael Carnahan and Mario Correa, Dark Waters

5. Micah Fitzerman-Blue and Noah Harpster, A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood
   —

6. Destin Daniel Cretton and Andrew Lanham, Just Mercy

7. Julian Fellowes, Downton Abbey

8. Todd Phillips and Scott Silver, Joker

9. Taika Waititi, Jojo Rabbit

10. Jeffrey Hatcher, The Good Liar

Best Animated Feature

1. Toy Story 4

2. How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World

3. Frozen II

4. Missing Link

5. Okko’s Inn
   —

6. Abominable

7. The Lego Movie 2: The Second Part

8. A Shaun the Sheep Movie: Farmageddon

9. Funan

10. The Secret Life of Pets 2

Best Documentary Feature

1. Apollo 11

2. Maiden

3. Aquarela

4. Mike Wallace Is Here

5. Rolling Thunder Revue: A Bob Dylan Story
   —

6. Amazing Grace

7. Pavarotti

8. Untouchable

9. Knock Down the House

10. Ask Dr. Ruth

Best Cinematography

1. Roger Deakins, 1917

2. Rodrigo Prieto, The Irishman

3. Robert Richardson, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

4. Phedon Papamichael, Ford v. Ferrari

5. Drew Daniels, Waves
   —

6. Christopher Ross, Cats

7. Jorg Widmer, A Hidden Life

8. George Steel, The Aeronauts

9. Edward Lachmann, Dark Waters

10. Yorick Le Saux, Little Women

Best Costume Design

1. Arianne Phillips, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

2. Christopher Peterson and Sandy Powell, The Irishman

3. Jacqueline Durran, Little Women

4. Ruth E. Carter, Dolemite Is My Name

5. Paco Delgado, Cats
   —

6. Jany Temime, Judy

7. Jacqueline Durran, 1917

8. Ellen Mirojnick, Maleficent: Mistress of Evil

9. Julian Day, Rocketman

10. Mayes C. Rubeo, Jojo Rabbit

Best Film Editing

1. Thelma Schoonmaker, The Irishman

2. Michael McCusker, Ford v. Ferrari

3. Fred Raskin, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

4. Lee Smith, 1917

5. John Poll, Bombshell
   —

6. Trey Edward Shults and Isaac Hagy, Waves

7. Jennifer Lame, Marriage Story

8. Maryann Brandon and Stefan Grube, Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker

9. Melanie Oliver, Cats

10. Greg O’Bryant, The Report

Best Makeup & Hairstyling

1. Vivian Baker, Jaime Leigh McIntosh, Anne Morgan and Cristina Waltz, Bombshell

2. Jeremy Woodhead, Judy

3. Uxue Laguardia and Niamh O’Loan, Cats

4. Debra Denson, Carla Farmer, Stacey Morris and Vera Steimberg Moder, Dolemite Is My Name

5. Belinda Anderson and Angie Wells, Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker
   —

6. Kay Georgiou and Nicki Ledermann, Joker

7. Sacha Carter, Paul Gooch and David White, Maleficent: Mistress of Evil

8. Janine Rath and Heba Thorisdottir, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

9. Frioa Aradottir and Jennifer Bell, Little Women

10. Lizzie Georglou and Elizabeth Yianni-Georgiou, Rocketman

Best Original Score

1. John Williams, Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker

2. Thomas Newman, 1917

3. Alexandre Desplat, Little Women

4. Marco Beltrami, Ford v. Ferrari

5. Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross, Waves
   —

6. Randy Newman, Marriage Story

7. Scott Bomar, Dolemite Is My Name

8. Nate Heller, A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood

9. Carter Burwell, The Good Liar

10. Danny Elfman, Dumbo

Best Production Design

1. Nancy Haigh and Barbara Ling, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

2. Dennis Gassner, 1917

3. Regina Graves and Bob Shaw, The Irishman

4. Eve Stewart, Cats

5. Rick Carter and Kevin Jenkins, Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker
   —

6. David Hindle and Christian Huband, The Aeronauts

7. Claire Kaufman, Little Women

8. Dominic Capon and Patrick Tatopoulos, Maleficent: Mistress of Evil

9. Francois Audouy and Peter Lando, Ford v. Ferrari

10. Clay A. Griffith and Lisa K. Sessions, Dolemite Is My Name

Best Sound Editing

1. David Acord and Matthew Wood, Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker

2. Eric A. Norris and Donald Sylvester, Ford v. Ferrari

3. The team from 1917

4. Shannon Mills and Samson Neslund, Avengers: Endgame

5. Harry Cohen and Leo Marcil, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
   —

6. The team from Cats

7. Saoirse Christopherson and Lee Walpole, The Aeronauts

8. Teresa Eckton, J.R. Grubbs, Kimberly Patrick and Dee Selby, Captain Marvel

9. Philip Stockton, The Irishman

10. Craig Henighan, Terminator: Dark Fate

Best Sound Mixing

1. Ben Burtt and Andy Nelson, Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker

2. Richard Bullock, Jr., Paul Massey and Steven Morrow, Ford v. Ferrari

3. Scott Millan, 1917

4. Michael Minkler, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

5. Simon Hayes, Cats
   —

6. Tom Johnson, Juan Peralta and Douglas Parker, Avengers: Endgame

7. Stuart Hilliker and Lee Walpole, The Aeronauts

8. Tod A. Maitland, The Irishman

9. Paul Cotterell and Johnathan Rush, Judy

10. John Hayes, Rocketman

Best Visual Effects

1. Roger Guyett and Dominic Tuohy, Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker

2. Dan DeLeeuw, Russell Earl, Kelly Port and Daniel Sudick, Avengers: Endgame

3. Pablo Helman and Jiwoong Kim, The Irishman

4. The team from Cats

5. Romain Arnoux, Louis Morin and Jean-Francois Ferland, The Aeronauts
   —

6. Daniel Sudick and Christopher Townsend, Captain Marvel

7. Robert Legato, Elliot Newman and Adam Valdez, The Lion King

8. The team from 1917

9. The team from Terminator: Dark Fate

10. Mark Hawker, Bryan Hirota and Bill Westenhofer, Gemini Man

2018 Oscar Winners

Glenn, Richard and Bradley, you wuz robbed.

BEST PICTURE
Green Book

BEST DIRECTOR
Alfonso Cuarón, Roma

BEST ACTRESS
Olivia Colman, The Favourite

BEST ACTOR
Rami Malek, Bohemian Rhapsody

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Regina King, If Beale Street Could Talk

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Mahershala Ali, Green Book

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Green Book

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
BlacKkKlansman

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Black Panther

BEST ORIGINAL SONG
“Shallow,” A Star Is Born

BEST FILM EDITING
Bohemian Rhapsody

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
Roma (Mexico)

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
Free Solo

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
Roma

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
Black Panther

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
First Man

BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Black Panther

BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING
Vice

BEST SOUND MIXING
Bohemian Rhapsody

BEST SOUND EDITING
Bohemian Rhapsody

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT SUBJECT
Period. End of Sentence

BEST ANIMATED SHORT FILM
Bao

BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT FILM
Skin

FINAL 2018 Oscar Winner Predictions

At last!

It feels like an eternity ago that I was predicting the likes of Beautiful Boy, The Front Runner and Peterloo for Oscar nominations. Now, here we are, with that trio long out of the picture and Roma riding high as Black Panther and Green Book lurk around the corner, hoping to score the big upset for the top prize.

There is no shortage of uncertainty lingering over this year’s races. While a handful of contenders, including Alfonso Cuaron in Best Director and “Shallow” in Best Original Song (perhaps the lone prize A Star Is Born goes home with), seem like the surest of bets, there are far more toss-ups at hand than runaway victories. Even Mahershala Ali and Rami Malek, who have all but steamrolled the major precursors of late, shouldn’t feel entirely secure.

Films like Black Panther, BlackKklansman and The Favourite, all entering the big night with a plethora of nominations, could find themselves basking in Oscar glory or shut out altogether. Should The Favourite fall short in all 10 of its bids (which I am predicting to be the case), it will join the unfortunate likes of American Hustle, Gangs of New York and True Grit, all of which conked out 0-for-10 at their respective ceremonies.

As for the technical categories, they could go in so many different directions, with plausible cases to even be made for First Man and Mary Poppins Returns, both of which spent much of the awards season stumbling.

With that said, here's my hunch on how the evening goes down…

BEST PICTURE

1. Roma

2. Green Book

3. Black Panther

4. BlacKkKlansman

5. Bohemian Rhapsody

6. A Star Is Born

7. The Favourite

8. Vice

BEST DIRECTOR

1. Alfonso Cuarón, Roma

2. Spike Lee, BlacKkKlansman

3. Pawel Pawlikowski, Cold War

4. Yorgos Lanthimos, The Favourite

5. Adam McKay, Vice

BEST ACTRESS

1. Glenn Close, The Wife

2. Olivia Colman, The Favourite

3. Lady Gaga, A Star Is Born

4. Melissa McCarthy, Can You Ever Forgive Me?

5. Yalitza Aparicio, Roma

BEST ACTOR

1. Rami Malek, Bohemian Rhapsody

2. Christian Bale, Vice

3. Bradley Cooper, A Star Is Born

4. Viggo Mortensen, Green Book

5. Willem Dafoe, At Eternity’s Gate

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1. Regina King, If Beale Street Could Talk

2. Rachel Weisz, The Favourite

3. Amy Adams, Vice

4. Marina de Tavira, Roma

5. Emma Stone, The Favourite

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

1. Mahershala Ali, Green Book

2. Sam Elliott, A Star Is Born

3. Richard E. Grant, Can You Ever Forgive Me?

4. Adam Driver, BlacKkKlansman

5. Sam Rockwell, Vice

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

1. Roma

2. Green Book

3. The Favourite

4. First Reformed

5. Vice

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

1. BlacKkKlansman

2. If Beale Street Could Talk

3. Can You Ever Forgive Me?

4. A Star Is Born

5. The Ballad of Buster Scruggs

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

1. Black Panther

2. BlacKkKlansman

3. If Beale Street Could Talk

4. Mary Poppins Returns

5. Isle of Dogs

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

1. “Shallow,” A Star Is Born

2. “All the Stars,” Black Panther

3. “I’ll Fight,” RBG

4. “The Place Where Lost Things Go,” Mary Poppins Returns

5. “When a Cowboy Trades His Spurs for Wings,” The Ballad of Buster Scruggs

BEST FILM EDITING

1. BlacKkKlansman

2. Bohemian Rhapsody

3. Vice

4. The Favourite

5. Green Book

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM

1. Roma (Mexico)

2. Cold War (Poland)

3. Never Look Away (Germany)

4. Capernaum (Lebanon)

5. Shoplifters (Japan)

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

1. Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse

2. Isle of Dogs

3. Incredibles 2

4. Mirai

5. Ralph Breaks the Internet

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

1. RBG

2. Free Solo

3. Minding the Gap

4. Hale County This Morning, This Evening

5. Of Fathers and Sons

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

1. Roma

2. Cold War

3. The Favourite

4. Never Look Away

5. A Star Is Born

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

1. Black Panther

2. The Favourite

3. Roma

4. Mary Poppins Returns

5. First Man

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

1. First Man

2. Avengers: Infinity War

3. Ready Player One

4. Solo: A Star Wars Story

5. Christopher Robin

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

1. Black Panther

2. The Favourite

3. Mary Poppins Returns

4. Mary Queen of Scots

5. The Ballad of Buster Scruggs

BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING

1. Vice

2. Mary Queen of Scots

3. Border

BEST SOUND MIXING

1. Bohemian Rhapsody

2. First Man

3. Black Panther

4. Roma

5. A Star Is Born

BEST SOUND EDITING

1. Black Panther

2. First Man

3. Bohemian Rhapsody

4. Roma

5. A Quiet Place

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT SUBJECT

1. A Night at the Garden

2. Lifeboat

3. Black Sheep

4. End Game

5. Period. End of Sentence

BEST ANIMATED SHORT FILM

1. Animal Behavior

2. Weekends

3. Bao

4. One Small Step

5. Late Afternoon

BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT FILM

1. Detainment

2. Mother

3. Fauve

4. Marguerite

5. Skin

2018 Oscar Nominations

Congratulations to this year’s Oscar nominees!

BEST PICTURE

Black Panther
BlacKkKlansman
Bohemian Rhapsody
The Favourite
Green Book
Roma
A Star Is Born
Vice

BEST DIRECTOR

Alfonso Cuarón, Roma
Yorgos Lanthimos, The Favourite
Spike Lee, BlacKkKlansman
Adam McKay, Vice
Pawel Pawlikowski, Cold War

BEST ACTRESS

Yalitza Aparicio, Roma
Glenn Close, The Wife
Olivia Colman, The Favourite
Lady Gaga, A Star Is Born
Melissa McCarthy, Can You Ever Forgive Me?

BEST ACTOR

Christian Bale, Vice
Bradley Cooper, A Star Is Born
Willem Dafoe, At Eternity’s Gate
Rami Malek, Bohemian Rhapsody
Viggo Mortensen, Green Book

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Amy Adams, Vice
Marina de Tavira, Roma
Regina King, If Beale Street Could Talk
Emma Stone, The Favourite
Rachel Weisz, The Favourite

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Mahershala Ali, Green Book
Adam Driver, BlacKkKlansman
Sam Elliott, A Star Is Born
Richard E. Grant, Can You Ever Forgive Me?
Sam Rockwell, Vice

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

The Favourite
First Reformed
Green Book
Roma
Vice

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

The Ballad of Buster Scruggs
BlacKkKlansman
Can You Ever Forgive Me?
If Beale Street Could Talk
A Star Is Born

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

Black Panther
BlacKkKlansman
If Beale Street Could Talk
Isle of Dogs
Mary Poppins Returns

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

“All the Stars,” Black Panther
“I’ll Fight,” RBG
“The Place Where Lost Things Go,” Mary Poppins Returns
“Shallow,” A Star Is Born
“When a Cowboy Trades His Spurs for Wings,” The Ballad of Buster Scruggs

BEST FILM EDITING

BlacKkKlansman
Bohemian Rhapsody
The Favourite
Green Book
Vice

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM

Capernaum (Lebanon)
Cold War (Poland)
Never Look Away (Germany)
Roma (Mexico)
Shoplifters (Japan)

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

Incredibles 2
Isle of Dogs
Mirai
Ralph Breaks the Internet
Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

Free Solo
Hale County This Morning, This Evening
Minding the Gap
Of Fathers and Sons
RBG

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

Cold War
The Favourite
Never Look Away
Roma
A Star Is Born

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

Black Panther
The Favourite
First Man
Mary Poppins Returns
Roma

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

Avengers: Infinity War
Christopher Robin
First Man
Ready Player One
Solo: A Star Wars Story

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

The Ballad of Buster Scruggs
Black Panther
The Favourite
Mary Poppins Returns
Mary Queen of Scots

BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING

Border
Mary Queen of Scots
Vice

BEST SOUND MIXING

Black Panther
Bohemian Rhapsody
First Man
Roma
A Star Is Born

BEST SOUND EDITING

Black Panther
Bohemian Rhapsody
First Man
A Quiet Place
Roma

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT SUBJECT

Black Sheep
End Game 
Lifeboat
A Night at the Garden
Period. End of Sentence

BEST ANIMATED SHORT FILM

Animal Behavior 
Bao
Late Afternoon
One Small Step
Weekends

BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT FILM

Detainment
Fauve
Marguerite
Mother
Skin

FINAL 2018 Oscar Nomination Predictions

Here we go - FINAL Oscar nomination predictions!

Since my last thoughts in December, a ton has gone down in the awards season - Golden Globes were handed out, as were BAFTA and key guild nominations. Next week, the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences will offer its two cents on the finest of 2018 cinema and, not long after that, BAFTA and the guilds will announce their winners. As a reminder, this year's Oscar ceremony falls on February 24.

So, with that said, here is my final hunch. In parentheses you will see how many slots a contender has moved up or down since my December rankings. In some cases, I have eliminated a film or performer entirely.

Enjoy and, as always, feel free to comment with your own thoughts as well.

Best Picture

1. Roma (-)

2. A Star Is Born (-)

3. The Favourite (+2)

4. BlacKkKlansman (-1)

5. Vice (+3)

6. Green Book (-2)

7. Bohemian Rhapsody (+5)

8. Black Panther (-1)

9. First Man (-)
   —

10. If Beale Street Could Talk (-4)

11. Crazy Rich Asians (-)

12. Cold War (NEW)

13. Mary Poppins Returns (-3)

14. A Quiet Place (-)

15. Can You Ever Forgive Me? (-2)

DROPPED
Eighth Grade (-1)

Best Director

1. Alfonso Cuaron, Roma (-)

2. Spike Lee, BlacKkKlansman (+1)

3. Bradley Cooper, A Star Is Born (-1)

4. Adam McKay, Vice (+3)

5. Damien Chazelle, First Man (-)
   —

6. Peter Farrelly, Green Book (-)

7. Barry Jenkins, If Beale Street Could Talk (-2)

8. Ryan Coogler, Black Panther (-)

9. Yorgos Lanthimos, The Favourite (-)

10. Paweł Pawlikowski, Cold War (NEW)

DROPPED
Debra Granik, Leave No Trace (-1)

Best Leading Actor

1. Christian Bale, Vice (+1)

2. Rami Malek, Bohemian Rhapsody (+1)

3. Bradley Cooper, A Star Is Born (-2)

4. Viggo Mortensen, Green Book (-)

5. Willem Dafoe, At Eternity's Gate (+1)
   —

6. John David Washington, BlacKkKlansman (+1)

7. Ethan Hawke, First Reformed (-2)

8. Ryan Gosling, First Man (+1)

9. Lucas Hedges, Boy Erased (-1)

10. Stephan James, If Beale Street Could Talk (NEW)

DROPPED
Robert Redford, The Old Man and the Gun (-1)

Best Leading Actress

1. Glenn Close, The Wife (+2)

2. Olivia Colman, The Favourite (-1)

3. Lady Gaga, A Star Is Born (-1)

4. Melissa McCarthy, Can You Ever Forgive Me? (-)

5. Yalitza Aparicio, Roma (+5)
   —

6. Viola Davis, Widows (NEW)

7. Emily Blunt, Mary Poppins Returns (-2)

8. Nicole Kidman, Destroyer (-2)

9. Toni Collette, Hereditary (-2)

10. Rosamund Pike, A Private War (-1)

DROPPED
Regina Hall, Support the Girls (-3)

Best Supporting Actor

1. Mahershala Ali, Green Book (-)

2. Richard E. Grant, Can You Ever Forgive Me? (-)

3. Adam Driver, BlacKkKlansman (-)

4. Sam Elliott, A Star Is Born (-)

5. Sam Rockwell, Vice (-)
   —

6. Timothee Chalamet, Beautiful Boy (-)

7. Michael B. Jordan, Black Panther (-)

8. Steven Yeun, Burning (-)

9. Brian Tyree Henry, If Beale Street Could Talk (NEW)

10. John Krasinski, A Quiet Place (NEW)

DROPPED
Hugh Grant, Paddington 2 (-2)
Russell Hornsby, The Hate U Give (-1)

Best Supporting Actress

1. Emma Stone, The Favourite (-)

2. Rachel Weisz, The Favourite (-)

3. Regina King, If Beale Street Could Talk (+1)

4. Amy Adams, Vice (-1)

5. Claire Foy, First Man (+2)
   —

6. Nicole Kidman, Boy Erased (-1)

7. Emily Blunt, A Quiet Place (+1)

8. Margot Robbie, Mary Queen of Scots (-2)

9. Linda Cardellini, Green Book (NEW)

10. Thomasin Harcourt McKenzie, Leave No Trace (-1)

DROPPED
Marina De Tavira, Roma (-1)

Best Original Screenplay

1. Alfonso Cuaron, Roma (-)

2. Deborah Davis and Tony McNamara, The Favourite (-)

3. Adam McKay, Vice (+1)

4. Brian Hayes Currie, Peter Farrelly and Nick Vallelonga, Green Book (-1)

5. Paweł Pawlikowski, Janusz Głowacki and Piotr Borkowsk, Cold War (NEW)
   —

6. Bo Burnham, Eighth Grade (-1)

7. Anthony McCarten and Peter Morgan, Bohemian Rhapsody (NEW)

8. Paul Schrader, First Reformed (-2)

9. Scott Beck, John Krasinski and Bryan Woods, A Quiet Place (-1)

10. Chloe Zhao, The Rider (-)

DROPPED
Joel and Ethan Coen, The Ballad of Buster Scruggs (-3)
Jihad Hojeily, Michelle Keserwany, Nadine Labaki and Khaled Mouzanar, Capernaum (-2)

Best Adapted Screenplay

1. Barry Jenkins, If Beale Street Could Talk (+1)

2. Bradley Cooper, Will Fetters, Irene Mecchi, Stephen J. Rivele, Eric Roth and Christopher Wilkinson, A Star Is Born (+1)

3. Spike Lee, David Rabinowitz, Charlie Wachtel and Kevin Willmott, BlacKkKlansman (-2)

4. Jon Robert Cole and Ryan Coogler, Black Panther (+3)

5. Peter Chiarelli and Adele Lim, Crazy Rich Asians (+1)
   —

6. Peter Fellows, Armando Iannucci, Ian Martin, Fabien Nury and David Schneider, The Death of Stalin (NEW)

7. Nicole Holofcener and Jeff Whitty, Can You Ever Forgive Me? (-3)

8. Debra Granik and Anne Rosellini, Leave No Trace (-3)

9. Josh Singer, First Man (-1)

10. Jane Anderson, The Wife (NEW)

DROPPED
Audrey Wells, The Hate U Give (-2)
Joel Edgerton, Boy Erased (-1)

Best Animated Feature

1. Isle of Dogs (+2)

2. Spider-Man: Into the Spider Verse (-)

3. Ralph Breaks the Internet: Wreck-It-Ralph 2 (-)

4. Incredibles 2 (-3)

5. Mirai (-)
   —

6. Smallfoot (+3)

7. Ruben Brandt, Collector (-)

8. Early Man (NEW)

9. Night Is Short, Walk on Girl (-1)

10. Lu Over the Wall (-4)

DROPPED
Fireworks (-1)

Best Documentary Feature

1. RBG (-)

2. Free Solo (-)

3. Minding the Gap (-)

4. Won’t You Be My Neighbor? (-)

5. Shirkers (NEW)
   —

6. Three Identical Strangers (-1)

7. The Silence of Others (NEW)

8. On Her Shoulders (NEW)

9. The Distant Barking of Dogs (NEW)

10. Dark Money (NEW)

DROPPED
The Oslo Diaries (-5)
King in the Wilderness (-4)
The Price of Everything (-3)
They’ll Love Me When I’m Dead (-2)
Maria By Callas: In Her Own Words (-1)

Best Foreign Language Film

1. Roma (Mexico) (-)

2. Cold War (Poland) (+3)

3. Never Look Away (Germany) (+1)

4. Capernaum (Lebanon) (-2)

5. Shoplifters (Japan) (-2)
   —

6. Birds of Passage (Colombia) (NEW)

7. Burning (South Korea) (-)

8. The Guilty (Denmark) (NEW)

9. Ayka (Kazakhstan) (NEW)

DROPPED
Border (Sweden) (-5)
Girl (Belgium) (-4)
Sunset (Hungary) (-3)
Ghost Hunting (Palestine) (-1)

Best Cinematography

1. Alfonso Cuaron, Roma (-)

2. Linus Sandgren, First Man (+3)

3. Matthew Libatique, A Star Is Born (-1)

4. Rachel Morrison, Black Panther (-)

5. Caleb Deschanel, Never Look Away (+4)
   —

6. Łukasz Żal, Cold War (NEW)

7. Robbie Ryan, The Favourite (-4)

8. James Laxton, If Beale Street Could Talk (-2)

9. Dion Beebe, Mary Poppins Returns (-2)

10. Bruno Delbonnel, The Ballad of Buster Scruggs (-2)

DROPPED
Christopher Aoun, Capernaum (-1)

Best Costume Design

1. Sandy Powell, The Favourite (-)

2. Ruth E. Carter, Black Panther (+1)

3. Sandy Powell, Mary Poppins Returns (-1)

4. Colleen Atwood, Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald (-)

5. Mary Vogt, Crazy Rich Asians (+2)
   —

6. Julian Day, Bohemian Rhapsody (+1)

7. Alexandra Byrne, Mary Queen of Scots (-2)

8. Andrea Flesch, Colette (-2)

9. Mary Zophres, The Ballad of Buster Scruggs (+1)

10. Caroline Eselin, If Beale Street Could Talk (-1)

Best Film Editing

1. Alfonso Cuaron and Adam Gough, Roma (-)

2. Tom Cross, First Man (+1)

3. Jay Cassidy, A Star Is Born (-1)

4. Debbie Berman and Michael P. Shawver, Black Panther (-)

5. Hank Corwin, Vice (+5)
   —

6. Barry Alexander Brown, BlacKkKlansman (-1)

7. John Ottman, Bohemian Rhapsody (NEW)

8. Sam Sneade, The Favourite (+1)

9. Patrick J. Don Vito, Green Book (-3)

10. Wyatt Smith, Mary Poppins Returns (-3)

DROPPED
Joi McMillon and Nat Sanders, If Beale Street Could Talk (-3)

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

1. Vice (-)

2. Black Panther (+2)

3. Bohemian Rhapsody (NEW)
   —

4. Stan and Ollie (+1)

5. Mary Queen of Scots (-)

6. Border (NEW)

7. Suspiria (+1)

DROPPED
The Favourite (-9)
Mary Poppins Returns (-8)
Deadpool 2 (-4)
A Star Is Born (-2)
Colette (-1)

Best Original Score

1. Justin Hurwitz, First Man (-)

2. Alexandre Desplat, Isle of Dogs (+2)

3. Nicholas Britell, If Beale Street Could Talk (-)

4. Terence Blanchard, BlacKkKlansman (+1)

5. Carter Burwell, The Ballad of Buster Scruggs (+1)
   —

6. Ludwig Goransson, Black Panther (+1)

7. Marc Shaiman and Scott Wittman, Mary Poppins Returns (-5)

8. Marco Beltrami, A Quiet Place (+1)

9. Nicholas Britell, Vice (NEW)

10. James Newton Howard, Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald (-)

DROPPED
Michael Giacchino, Incredibles 2 (-3)

Best Original Song

1. “Shallow,” A Star Is Born (-)

2. “All the Stars,” Black Panther (-)

3. “I’ll Fight,” RBG (+2)

4. “Trip a Little Light Fantastic,” Mary Poppins Returns (+4)

5. “Keep Reachin’,” Quincy (NEW)
   —

6. “The Place Where Lost Things Go,” Mary Poppins Returns (-3)

7. “Girl in the Movies,” Dumplin’ (+1)

8. “Revelation,” Boy Erased (-1)

9. “When a Cowboy Trades His Spurs for Wings,” The Ballad of Buster Scruggs (NEW)

10. “We Won’t Move,” The Hate U Give (NEW)

DROPPED
“Gravity,” Free Solo (-7)
“Requiem for a Private War,” A Private War (-5)
“Time for Change,” On the Basis of Sex (-1)

Best Production Design

1. Fiona Crombie and Alice Felton, The Favourite (-)

2. Hannah Beachler and Jay Hart, Black Panther (+2)

3. John Myrhe and Gordon Sim, Mary Poppins Returns (-)

4. Nathan Crowley and Kathy Lucas, First Man (NEW)

5. Paul Harrod and Adam Stockhausen, Isle of Dogs (+1)
   —

6. Gina Cromwell and James Merifield, Mary Queen of Scots (-2)

7. Stuart Craig and Anna Pinnock, Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald (-2)

8. Eugenio Caballero and Barbara Enriquez, Roma (NEW)

9. Mark Friedberg and Kris Moran, If Beale Street Could Talk (-2)

10. Jess Gonchor and Nancy Haigh, The Ballad of Buster Scruggs (-)

DROPPED
Michael Carlin, Lisa Chugg and Nora Talmaier, Colette (-3)
Lisa Chung and Guy Hendrix Dyas, The Nutcracker and the Four Realms (-2)

Best Sound Editing

1. Ai-Ling Lee and Mildred Iatrou Morgan, First Man (+3)

2. Alan Robert Murray, A Star Is Born (-1)

3. Steve Boeddeker and Benjamin A. Burtt, Black Panther (-1)

4. John Warhurst, Bohemian Rhapsody (+3)

5. Erik Aadahl and Ethan Van Der Ryn, A Quiet Place (+1)
   —

6. James H. Mather, Mission: Impossible - Fallout (NEW)

7. Shannon Mills and Daniel Laurie, Avengers: Infinity War (NEW)

8. Eugene Gearty and Renee Tondelli, Mary Poppins Returns (-5)

9. Sergio Diaz and Skip Lievsay, Roma (-2)

10. Philip Stockman, BlacKkKlansman (-)

DROPPED
Richard Hymns and Gary Rydstrom, Ready Player One (-3)
Cora Elliott and Ren Klyce, Incredibles 2 (-2)

Best Sound Mixing

1. Steve Morrow, Tom Ozanich, Jason Ruder and Dean Zupancic, A Star Is Born (-)

2. Mary H. Ellis, Ai-Ling Lee, Frank A. Montano and Jon Taylor, First Man (+3)

3. Steve Boeddecker, Peter Devlin and Brandon Proctor, Black Panther (-1)

4. Jason Casali, Tim Cavagin and Paul Massey, Bohemian Rhapsody (-)

5. Simon Hayes, Micheal Keller and Mike Prestwood Smith, Mary Poppins Returns (-2)
   —

6. Michael Barosky and Brandon Proctor, A Quiet Place (-)

7. Jose Antonio Garcia, Craig Henighan and Skip Lievsay, Roma (-)

8. Christopher Munro, Mike Prestwood Smith and Gilbert Lake, Mission: Impossible - Fallout (NEW)

9. Tom Johnson, Juan Peralta and John Pritchett, Avengers: Infinity War (-)

10. Drew Kunin and Tom Fleischman, BlacKkKlansman (NEW)

DROPPED
Vince Caro, Nathan Nance and Michael Semanick, Incredibles 2 (-2)
Chris Munro, Andy Nelson and Gary Ruydstrom, Ready Player One (-1)

Best Visual Effects

1. First Man (+1)

2. Avengers: Infinity War (-1)

3. Black Panther (-2)

4. Mary Poppins Returns (-1)

5. Solo: A Star Wars Story (NEW)
   —

6. Ready Player One (-1)

7. Ant-Man and the Wasp (NEW)

8. Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (NEW)

9. Welcome to Marwen (NEW)

10. Christopher Robin (NEW)

DROPPED
Isle of Dogs (-6)
Aquaman (-4)
A Quiet Place (-3)
Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald (-2)
Incredibles 2 (-1)