2024 Oscar Winner Predictions

These strike me as the toughest categories to crack - races where I’m still wavering and devoid of any real confidence on the outcome:

Best Picture
Best Director
Best Actress
Best Original Screenplay
Best Documentary Feature
Best Film Editing
Best Sound

Conclave and Anora are so close for the top prize that I can’t help but simply split the difference and go with the former in Best Picture (despite its surprising Best Director snub) and latter in Director. I can just as easily fathom Anora taking both or Brady Corbet repeating his BAFTA win. (I don’t, however, have much faith in The Brutalist taking Picture, even if Corbet triumphs).

Best Actress rings of a true barn burner and not necessarily just between Demi Moore and Mikey Madison - with I’m Still Here as a surprise (and plenty deserving) Best Picture nominee, backed by the awards season masters at Sony Pictures Classics, there’s a legitimate case to be made for Fernanda Torres. It’s plausible Moore falls short ala past SAG-winning/BAFTA-losing veterans Julie Christie and Glenn Close but there’s no doubt more passion exists in AMPAS for The Substance than did for the likes of Away from Her and The Wife - and all of her precursor speeches have been knockouts. At the same time, it’s hard to fathom Madison losing if Anora is winning the top prize.

Even with Anora riding high in momentum, Best Original Screenplay looks awfully tight too, especially on the heels of A Real Pain’s BAFTA win. Do actors overwhelmingly vote for Jesse Eisenberg and put him over the top? Had his film scored a Best Picture nom, I’d probably predict him. If he does claim victory, A Real Pain will mark only the second film in Oscar history, after The Usual Suspects, to earn two nominations in total - one for acting, one for writing - and win both.

For much of the season, No Other Land seemed to have the makings of a Best Documentary Feature front-runner but that hasn’t really panned out. Instead, this rings of a race where any of the contenders could triumph.

Among the crafts, Best Film Editing feels the most unsettled. Odds are, its winner will match the Best Picture winner, so Conclave or Anora, though I don’t count Emilia Pérez out, even if it’s done at this point for the top prize. Best Sound is also tough to forecast - Dune: Part Two makes sense, in part because the first entry took this category, but this also presents the best opportunity to throw A Complete Unknown a bone and avoid an 0-for-8 shutout. Wicked has a real shot here too.

Beyond these super suspenseful showdowns - I’m not buying Timothée Chalamet as a truly daunting threat to Adrien Brody in Best Actor (and I predicted Chalamet at SAG). He’s at least, of course, more within striking distance than any of the hopeless competition facing Zoe Saldaña and Kieran Culkin.

Conclave will score Best Adapted Screenplay regardless of how Best Picture goes down. I do have I’m Still Here scoring the upset over Emilia Pérez in Best International Feature Film, though I’m not sure how much of a shock that’ll be at this point, given the former’s Best Picture nom and the latter’s deterioration. The crafts will spread the love but again, may be challenging to avoid a shutout for A Complete Unknown.

As for Best Original Song…I so wish I could predict Diane Warren finally triumphing on her 16th Oscar nom. I can’t quite get there - I still think “El Mal” takes it, in part because it’s a Zoe Saldaña showcase and she’s managed to escape her film’s collapse unscathed. But this is Warren’s best shot since 2015 and, barring a groundswell of love for Elton John, she’s probably in runner-up position.

All that said, here they are - final Oscar predictions, from most to least likely to win:

Best Picture

1. Conclave

2. Anora

3. The Brutalist

4. Wicked

5. The Substance

6. A Complete Unknown

7. I’m Still Here

8. Emilia Pérez

9. Nickel Boys

10. Dune: Part Two

Best Director

1. Sean Baker, Anora

2. Brady Corbet, The Brutalist

3. Coralie Fargeat, The Substance

4. James Mangold, A Complete Unknown

5. Jacques Audiard, Emilia Pérez

Best Actress

1. Demi Moore, The Substance

2. Mikey Madison, Anora

3. Fernanda Torres, I’m Still Here

4. Cynthia Erivo, Wicked

5. Karla Sofía Gascón, Emilia Pérez

Best Actor

1. Adrien Brody, The Brutalist

2. Timothée Chalamet, A Complete Unknown

3. Ralph Fiennes, Conclave

4. Colman Domingo, Sing Sing

5. Sebastian Stan, The Apprentice

Best Supporting Actress

1. Zoe Saldaña, Emilia Pérez

2. Isabella Rossellini, Conclave

3. Ariana Grande, Wicked

4. Monica Barbaro, A Complete Unknown

5. Felicity Jones, The Brutalist

Best Supporting Actor

1. Kieran Culkin, A Real Pain

2. Guy Pearce, The Brutalist

3. Yura Borisov, Anora

4. Edward Norton, A Complete Unknown

5. Jeremy Strong, The Apprentice

Best Original Screenplay

1. Sean Baker, Anora

2. Jesse Eisenberg, A Real Pain

3. Coralie Fargeat, The Substance

4. Brady Corbet and Mona Fastvold, The Brutalist

5. Moritz Binder, Tim Fehlbaum and Alex David, September 5

Best Adapted Screenplay

1. Peter Straughan, Conclave

2. RaMell Ross and Joslyn Barnes, Nickel Boys

3. Jay Cocks and James Mangold, A Complete Unknown

4. Jacques Audiard, Emilia Pérez

5. Clint Bentley, Greg Kwedar, Clarence Maclin and John “Divine G” Whitfield, Sing Sing

Best Animated Feature

1. The Wild Robot

2. Flow

3. Wallace and Gromit: Vengeance Most Fowl

4. Memoir of a Snail

5. Inside Out 2

Best Documentary Feature

1. Porcelain War

2. Black Box Diaries

3. No Other Land

4. Soundtrack to a Coup d’Etat

5. Sugarcane

Best International Feature

1. I’m Still Here (Brazil)

2. Emilia Pérez (France)

3. Flow (Latvia)

4. The Seed of the Sacred Fig (Germany)

5. The Girl with the Needle (Denmark)

Best Animated Short

1. Wander to Wonder

2. Yuck!

3. Beautiful Men

4. In the Shadow of the Cypress

5. Magic Candles

Best Documentary Short

1. The Only Girl in the Orchestra

2. I Am Ready, Warden

3. Death by Numbers

4. Incident

5. Instruments of a Beating Heart

Best Live Action Short

1. The Man Who Could Not Remain Silent

2. Anuja

3. A Lien

4. The Last Ranger

5. I’m Not a Robot

Best Cinematography

1. Lol Crawley, The Brutalist

2. Greig Fraser, Dune: Part Two

3. Jarin Blaschke, Nosferatu

4. Edward Lachman, Maria

5. Paul Guilhaume, Emilia Pérez

Best Costume Design

1. Paul Tazewell, Wicked

2. Linda Muir, Nosferatu

3. Lisy Christl, Conclave

4. Arianne Phillips, A Complete Unknown

5. Janty Yates and Dave Crossman, Gladiator II

Best Film Editing

1. Nick Emerson, Conclave

2. Sean Baker, Anora

3. Juliette Welfling, Emilia Pérez

4. Myron Kerstein, Wicked

5. Dávid Jancsóm, The Brutalist

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

1. Pierre-Oliver Persin, Stéphanie Guillon and Marilyne Scarselli, The Substance

2. Frances Hannon, Sarah Nuth and Laura Blount, Wicked

3. Traci Loader, Suzanne Stokes-Munton and David White, Nosferatu

4. Julia Floch Carbonel, Emmanuel Janvier and Jean-Christophe Spadaccini, Emilia Pérez

5. Mike Marino, Sarah Graalman and Aaron Saucier, A Different Man

Best Original Score

1. Daniel Blumberg, The Brutalist

2. Volker Bertelmann, Conclave

3. John Powell and Stephen Schwartz, Wicked

4. Clément Ducol and Camille, Emilia Pérez

5. Kris Bowers, The Wild Robot

Best Original Song

1. “El Mal,” Emilia Pérez

2. “The Journey,” The Six Triple Eight

3. “Never Too Late,” Elton John: Never Too Late

4. “Like a Bird,” Sing Sing

5. "Mi Camino,” Emilia Pérez

Best Production Design

1. Nathan Crowley and Lee Sandales, Wicked

2. Craig Lathrop and Beatrice Brentnerová, Nosferatu

3. Judy Becker and Patricia Cuccia, The Brutalist

4. Suzie Davies and Roberta Federico, Conclave

5. Zsuzsanna Sipos, Shane Vieau and Patrice Vermette, Dune: Part Two

Best Sound

1. Gareth John, Richard King, Ron Bartlett and Doug Hemphill, Dune: Part Two

2. Ted Caplan, Tod Maitland, David Giammarco, Paul Massey and Donald Sylvester, A Complete Unknown

3. Simon Hayes, Nancy Nugent Title, Jack Dolman, Andy Nelson and John Marquis, Wicked

4. Erwan Kerzanet, Aymeric Devoldère, Maxence Dussère, Cyril Holtz and Niels Barletta, Emilia Pérez

5. Randy Thom, Gary A. Rizzo, Leff Lefferts and Brian Chumney, The Wild Robot

Best Visual Effects

1. Paul Lambert, Stephen James, Rhys Salcombe and Gerd Nefzer, Dune: Part Two

2. Pablo Helman, Jonathan Fawkner, Paul Corbould and David Shirk, Wicked

3. Erik Winquist, Stephen Unterfranz, Paul Story and Rodney Burke, Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes

4. Luke Miller, David Clayton, Keith Herft and Peter Stubbs, Better Man

5. Eric Barba, Nelson Sepulveda-Fauser, Daniel Macarin and Shane Patrick Mahan, Alien: Romulus

#ForYourConsiderationFriday - The Collection!

Hey there, fellow Oscar fans!

For those of you who follow me on Twitter, you may have noticed that, each Friday, I do a little hashtag called #ForYourConsiderationFriday, highlighting a past Oscar FYC ad. More often than not, it’s a vintage oldie, pulled from a past Hollywood Reporter or Variety, though I will, now and then, post a more recent ad if it piques my interest (hello, Best Supporting Actress hopeful Betty White in The Proposal).

Initially, I was merely doing this during the Oscar season itself. Eventually, I decided to make this a weekly thing - and will continue to do so moving forward.

This page will fulfill something I’ve been meaning to do for a while now - get these ads onto the blog, compiled into one place and categorized. I’ll keep this organized across nine fields - Best Picture/’All Categories’ (since countless films run one-pagers covering everything), Best Director, Best Actress, Best Actor, Best Supporting Actress, Best Supporting Actor, Best Screenplay, Best Score/Song and the rest of the craft categories.

I’ll be including all of the FYC ads I’ve posted to Twitter (a total of 319 thus far) and will upload each Friday’s new one as I go along. The goal, of course, is to ultimately amass the motherlode of Oscar FYC ads, which sounds like the most prolonged of processes at one post/week but hey, that’s 52 ads/year = 520 ads/decade. Not bad! ;)

2024 Oscar Nomination Predictions

From most to least likely to score a nomination:

Best Picture

1. Emilia Pérez

2. The Brutalist

3. Conclave

4. A Complete Unknown

5. Wicked

6. Anora

7. Dune: Part Two

8. A Real Pain

9. Sing Sing

10. The Substance
    —

11. September 5

12. I’m Still Here

13. Nickel Boys

14. All We Imagine as Light

15. Challengers

I’m feeling reasonably confident about the top eight here. Sing Sing’s constant underperformance this awards season continued with a PGA snub but I still slightly prefer its odds over The Substance, a film that’s had a far more robust precursors run than expected, yet still needs to contend with the notorious AMPAS aversion to horror. In a lineup of 10, however, I think The Substance can land a slot, especially with the likes of All We Imagine as Light and Nickel Boys not the most formidable of forces. At this point, if there’s a dark horse, it’s probably September 5, which has gone nowhere commercially but does have the PGA nom, suggesting at least some industry support.

Best Director

1. Brady Corbet, The Brutalist

2. Jacques Audiard, Emilia Pérez

3. Edward Berger, Conclave

4. Sean Baker, Anora

5. James Mangold, A Complete Unknown
   —

6. Payal Kapadia, All We Imagine as Light

7. Coralie Fargeat, The Substance

8. Denis Villeneuve, Dune: Part Two

9. Mike Leigh, Hard Truths

10. John M. Chu, Wicked

There is where I start to differ with other Oscar prognosticators in terms of The Substance strength. It’s my favorite film of the year and I sure hope Fargeat scores multiple nominations, including one here. But A Complete Unknown’s awards season buzz seemingly only strengthened during the AMPAS voting period, including a surprise DGA nom for Mangold (who has yet to surface as a nominee in this category). Perhaps, hopefully, my nervousness is misguided and Fargeat will, as most expect, make the cut. Or, if it’s not Fargeat, it’s an exciting curveball like Kapadia or Leigh. Alas, my gut says A Complete Unknown may be in for an overperformance.

Best Actress

1. Demi Moore, The Substance

2. Mikey Madison, Anora

3. Karla Sofía Gascón, Emilia Pérez

4. Cynthia Erivo, Wicked

5. Fernanda Torres, I’m Still Here
   —

6. Marianne Jean-Baptiste, Hard Truths

7. Pamela Anderson, The Last Showgirl

8. Angelina Jolie, Maria

9. Nicole Kidman, Babygirl

10. Kate Winslet, Lee

I know, I know - the Golden Globes have zero crossover with AMPAS in terms of voters. Statistically, however, only two winners of the Drama Actress Golden Globe have not scored Oscar nominations. One was Revolutionary Road’s Kate Winslet, who instead earned a nomination for The Reader that year. The other was Madame Sousatzka’s Shirley MacLaine, who was part of a three-way tie at the 1988 Globes, with two of her co-winners ultimately making the Oscar cut. That’s it. So, despite incredibly formidable bids by Jean-Baptiste and Anderson especially, I can’t fathom Torres missing, especially with Sony Pictures Classics running a gangbusters campaign for her. Maybe it’s even Erivo who drops in the event someone else makes it?

Best Actor

1. Adrien Brody, The Brutalist

2. Timothée Chalamet, A Complete Unknown

3. Ralph Fiennes, Conclave

4. Colman Domingo, Sing Sing

5. Daniel Craig, Queer
   —

6. Sebastian Stan, A Different Man

7. Sebastian Stan, The Apprentice

8. Hugh Grant, Heretic

9. Jesse Eisenberg, A Real Pain

10. Glen Powell, Hit Man

That SAG nom was critical for Craig. Yes, he oddly missed BAFTA but that was an ideal scenario for Stan, who made their longlist for The Apprentice but not A Different Man, ensuring there was no threat of canceling himself out. There is no longlist here, so voters will need to make up their minds over which Stan turn to embrace - and I’m hardly convinced there is a consensus.

Best Supporting Actress

1. Zoe Saldaña, Emilia Pérez

2. Ariana Grande, Wicked

3. Jamie Lee Curtis, The Last Showgirl

4. Isabella Rossellini, Conclave

5. Felicity Jones, The Brutalist
   —

6. Monica Barbaro, A Complete Unknown

7. Selena Gomez, Emilia Pérez

8. Margaret Qualley, The Substance

9. Danielle Deadwyler, The Piano Lesson

10. Aunjanue Ellis-Taylor, Nickel Boys

The rise of Curtis this season has been remarkable, albeit not entirely surprising, given how much she’s adored by her peers. It’ll just be wild when, as is likely the case, she scores a nom while Anderson, who is truly extraordinary in their picture, misses the cut. Despite the crowded nature of this category (Joan Chen, Carol Kane and Natasha Lyonne, among others, were incredible too), I feel oddly confident about this being our quintet. Perhaps A Complete Unknown overperforms even more than I suspect and Barbaro (or even Elle Fanning) makes it but it’ll be surprising if Rossellini and Jones are no-shows. Again, skeptical Qualley makes it, though she wholeheartedly deserves a nom.

Best Supporting Actor

1. Kieran Culkin, A Real Pain

2. Edward Norton, A Complete Unknown

3. Guy Pearce, The Brutalist

4. Yura Borisov, Anora

5. Stanley Tucci, Conclave
   —

6. Jeremy Strong, The Apprentice

7. Clarence Maclin, Sing Sing

8. Denzel Washington, Gladiator II

9. Jonathan Bailey, Wicked

10. Adam Pearson, A Different Man

Could be completely off here but I’ve had a sense all season, regardless of his precursors performance, that Tucci emerges on Oscar noms morning. Strong has surfaced at all of the major precursors and it’s a far showier turn than Tucci’s, so I don’t predict his snub with great confidence. Maclin is right up there too and Washington can’t be counted out - you can safely, at least, ignore his BAFTA snub, since they’ve always inexplicably disliked him.

Best Original Screenplay

1. Sean Baker, Anora

2. Brady Corbet and Mona Fastvold, The Brutalist

3. Jesse Eisenberg, A Real Pain

4. Mike Leigh, Hard Truths

5. Coralie Fargeat, The Substance
   —

6. Payal Kapadia, All We Imagine as Light

7. Moritz Binder, Tim Fehlbaum and Alex David, September 5

8. Justin Kuritzkes, Challengers

9. Mohammad Rasoulof, The Seed of the Sacred Fig

10. Azazel Jacobs, His Three Daughters

Leigh isn’t being overwhelmingly predicted but he’s a fairly reliable presence in this category, having scored noms on five occasions. I’d be surprised if he doesn’t show up here, regardless of whether Jean-Baptiste is a Best Actress nominee. I do have Fargeat making the cut in this one, albeit narrowly over Kapadia and the September 5 team. If either of those films has the momentum to earn a Best Picture nomination, there’s a high chance they surface here too.

Best Adapted Screenplay

1. Peter Straughan, Conclave

2. Jacques Audiard, Emilia Pérez

3. Jay Cocks and James Mangold, A Complete Unknown

4. Clint Bentley, Greg Kwedar, Clarence Maclin and John “Divine G” Whitfield, Sing Sing

5. RaMell Ross and Joslyn Barnes, Nickel Boys
   —

6. Winnie Holzman and Dana Fox, Wicked

7. Murilo Hauser and Heitor Lorega, I’m Still Here

8. Denis Villeneuve and Jon Spaihts, Dune: Part Two

9. Pedro Almodóvar, The Room Next Door

10. Robert Eggers, Nosferatu

Wicked needs this nom to be a threat for the Best Picture win and I’m not quite convinced that’s going to happen, even with Nickel Boys in increasingly questionable shape for recognition. With Sony Pictures Classics working its usual magic, it may even be behind I’m Still Here.

Admittedly due to lack of time on my end, I won’t do write-ups on the rest of the categories - other than to say, anyone not predicting Diane Warren for a 16th career nomination in Best Original Song (this time for The Six Triple Eight’s “The Journey”) is in deep denial.

Best Animated Feature

1. The Wild Robot

2. Flow

3. Inside Out 2

4. Wallace and Gromit: Vengeance Most Fowl

5. Memoir of a Snail
   —

6. Moana 2

7. Piece by Piece

8. Despicable Me 4

9. Lord of the Rings: The War of the Rohirrim

10. Chicken for Linda

Best Documentary Feature

1. No Other Land

2. Daughters

3. Dahomey

4. Will and Harper

5. Porcelain War
   —

6. Soundtrack to a Coup d’Etat

7. Black Box Diaries

8. Sugarcane

9. Frida

10. The Remarkable Life of Ibelin

Best International Feature

1. Emilia Pérez (France)

2. I’m Still Here (Brazil)

3. The Seed of the Sacred Fig (Germany)

4. Vermiglio (Italy)

5. The Girl with the Needle (Denmark)
   —

6. Flow (Latvia)

7. Kneecap (Ireland)

8. From Ground Zero (Palestine)

9. How to Make Millions Before Grandma Dies (Thailand)

10. Armand (Norway)

Best Animated Short

1. A Bear Named Wojtek

2. A Crab in the Pool

3. Au Revoir Mon Monde

4. Wander to Wonder

5. Beautiful Men
   —

6. Yuck!

7. In the Shadow of the Cypress

8. The Wild-Tempered Clavier

9. Maybe Elephants

10. Magic Candles

Best Documentary Short

1. Once Upon a Time in Ukraine

2. Makayla’s Voice: A Letter to the World

3. I Am Ready, Warden

4. Death by Numbers

5. The Only Girl in the Orchestra
   —

6. The Quilters

7. Incident

8. Chasing Roo

9. Instruments of a Beating Heart

10. A Swim Lesson

Best Live Action Short

1. The Masterpiece

2. An Orange from Jaffa

3. Anuja

4. The Man Who Could Not Remain Silent

5. The Ice Cream Man
   —

6. I’m Not a Robot

7. Dovecoat

8. Clodagh

9. The Compatriot

10. Edge of Space

Best Cinematography

1. Lol Crawley, The Brutalist

2. Stéphane Fontaine, Conclave

3. Greig Fraser, Dune: Part Two

4. Jarin Blaschke, Nosferatu

5. Paul Guilhaume, Emilia Pérez
   —

6. Markus Förderer, September 5

7. Edward Lachman, Maria

8. Alice Brooks, Wicked

9. Jomo Fray, Nickel Boys

10. Benjamin Kracun, The Substance

Best Costume Design

1. Paul Tazewell, Wicked

2. Jacqueline West, Dune: Part Two

3. Janty Yates, Gladiator II

4. Massimo Cantini Parrini, Maria

5. Jacqueline Durran, Blitz
   —

6. Linda Muir, Nosferatu

7. Virginie Montel, Emilia Pérez

8. Colleen Atwood, Beetlejuice Beetlejuice

9. Arianne Phillips, A Complete Unknown

10. Kate Forbes, The Brutalist

Best Film Editing

1. Joe Walker, Dune: Part Two

2. Juliette Welfling, Emilia Pérez

3. Myron Kerstein, Wicked

4. Dávid Jancsóm, The Brutalist

5. Nick Emerson, Conclave
   —

6. Marco Costa, Challengers

7. Hansjörg Weißbrich, September 5

8. Coralie Fargeat, Jérôme Eltabet and Valentin Feron, The Substance

9. Sean Baker, Anora

10. Andrew Buckland, A Complete Unknown

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

1. Frances Hannon, Sarah Nuth and Laura Blount, Wicked

2. Pierre-Olivier Persin, The Substance

3. Traci Loader, Suzanne Stokes-Munton and David White, Nosferatu

4. Mike Marino, Sarah Graalman and Aaron Saucier, A Different Man

5. Christine Blundell, Lesa Warrener and Neal Scanlan, Beetlejuice Beetlejuice
   —

6. Donald Mowat, Love Larson and Eva Von Bahr, Dune: Part Two

7. Julia Floch Carbonel and Simon Livet, Emilia Pérez

8. Heike Merker, Adruitha Lee, Pamela Goldammer and Arjen Tuiten, Maria

9. Michelle Côté and Colin Penman, The Apprentice

10. Cici Andersen, Erica Villanueva and Jerry Constantine, Waltzing with Brando

Best Original Score

1. Volker Bertelmann, Conclave

2. Daniel Blumberg, The Brutalist

3. Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross, Challengers

4. Hans Zimmer, Blitz

5. Clément Ducol, Camille, Emilia Pérez
   —

6. Kris Bowers, The Wild Robot

7. Robin Carolan, Nosferatu

8. John Powell and Stephen Schwartz, Wicked

9. Alberto Iglesias, The Room Next Door

10. Amelia Warner, Young Woman and the Sea

Best Original Song

1. “El Mal,” Emilia Pérez

2. “The Journey,” The Six Triple Eight

3. "Mi Camino,” Emilia Pérez

4. “Kiss the Sky,” The Wild Robot

5. "Harper and Will Go West,” Will & Harper
   —

6. "Compress/Regress,” Challengers

7. “Never Too Late,” Elton John: Never Too Late

8. “Like a Bird,” Sing Sing

9. 'Piece by Piece,” Piece by Piece

10. "Tell Me It’s You,” Mufasa: The Lion King

Best Production Design

1. Nathan Crowley and Lee Sandales, Wicked

2. Zsuzsanna Sipos, Shane Vieau and Patrice Vermette, Dune: Part Two

3. Judy Becker, The Brutalist

4. Craig Lathrop, Nosferatu

5. Suzie Davies and Roberta Federico, Conclave
   —

6. Emmanuelle Duplay and Sandra Castello, Emilia Pérez

7. Arthur Max and Elli Griff, Gladiator II

8. Stanislas Reydellet and Cécilia Blom, The Substance

9. Adam Stockhausen and Anna Pinnock, Blitz

10. Tom Brown, Guy Hendrix Dyas and Sandro Piccarozzi, Maria

Best Sound

1. Gareth John, Richard King, Ron Bartlett and Doug Hemphill, Dune: Part Two

2. Nancy Nugent Title, John Marquis, Andy Nelson and Simon Hayes, Wicked

3. Cyril Holtz, Niels Barletta and Erwan Kerzanet, Emilia Pérez

4. Matthew Collinge, Danny Sheehan, Paul Massey and Stéphane Bucher, Gladiator II

5. Ted Caplan, Tod Maitland, David Giammarco, Paul Massey and Donald Sylvester, A Complete Unknown
   —

6. Craig Henighan, Ryan Cole, Lora Hirschberg, and Colin Nicolson, Deadpool & Wolverine

7. Randy Thom, Gary A. Rizzo, Leff Lefferts and Brian Chumney, The Wild Robot

8. Paul Cotterell, James Harrison and Kevin Penney, Blitz

9. Tamás Csaba, Will Files, Lee Gilmore and Mark Pearson, Alien: Romulus

10. Steve Morrow, Erik Aadahl, Ethan Van der Ryn, Jason Ruder, Tom Ozanich and Dean A. Zupancic, Joker: Folie à Deux

Best Visual Effects

1. Paul Lambert, Stephen James, Rhys Salcombe and Gerd Nefzer, Dune: Part Two

2. Pablo Helman, Jonathan Fawkner, Paul Corbould and David Shirk, Wicked

3. Mark Bakowski, Pietro Ponti, Nikki Penny and Neil Corbould, Gladiator II

4. Erik Winquist, Stephen Unterfranz, Paul Story and Rodney Burke, Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes

5. Swen Gillberg, Matthew Twyford, Vincent Papaix and Dominic Tuohy, Deadpool & Wolverine
   —

6. Luke Miller, David Clayton, Keith Herft and Peter Stubbs, Better Man

7. Olivier Beaulieu, Bill Georgiou, Ben Snow and Florian Witzel, Twisters

8. Audrey Ferrara and Adam Valdez, Mufasa: The Lion King

9. Eric Barba, Nelson Sepulveda-Fauser, Daniel Macarin and Shane Patrick Mahan, Alien: Romulus

10. David Simpson, J.D. Schwalm, Chris Zeh and Freddy Salazar, Civil War

FINAL 2023 Oscar Winner Predictions

Best Picture

1. Oppenheimer

2. The Holdovers

3. Anatomy of a Fall

4. The Zone of Interest

5. Killers of the Flower Moon

6. Barbie

7. American Fiction

8. Poor Things

9. Past Lives

10. Maestro

Best Director

1. Christopher Nolan, Oppenheimer

2. Justine Triet, Anatomy of a Fall

3. Jonathan Glazer, The Zone of Interest

4. Martin Scorsese, Killers of the Flower Moon

5. Yorgos Lanthimos, Poor Things

Best Actress

1. Lily Gladstone, Killers of the Flower Moon

2. Emma Stone, Poor Things

3. Sandra Hüller, Anatomy of a Fall

4. Annette Bening, Nyad

5. Carey Mulligan, Maestro

Best Actor

1. Cillian Murphy, Oppenheimer

2. Paul Giamatti, The Holdovers

3. Bradley Cooper, Maestro

4. Jeffrey Wright, American Fiction

5. Colman Domingo, Rustin

Best Supporting Actress

1. Da'Vine Joy Randolph, The Holdovers

2. America Ferrera, Barbie

3. Jodie Foster, Nyad

4. Emily Blunt, Oppenheimer

5. Danielle Brooks, The Color Purple

Best Supporting Actor

1. Robert Downey, Jr., Oppenheimer

2. Ryan Gosling, Barbie

3. Mark Ruffalo, Poor Things

4. Sterling K. Brown, American Fiction

5. Robert De Niro, Killers of the Flower Moon

Best Original Screenplay

1. Justine Triet and Arthur Harari, Anatomy of a Fall

2. David Hemingson, The Holdovers

3. Celine Song, Past Lives

4. Bradley Cooper and Josh Singer, Maestro

5. Samy Burch, May December

Best Adapted Screenplay

1. Cord Jefferson, American Fiction

2. Jonathan Glazer, The Zone of Interest

3. Greta Gerwig and Noah Baumbach, Barbie

4. Christopher Nolan, Oppenheimer

5. Tony McNamara, Poor Things

Best Animated Feature Film

1. The Boy and the Heron

2. Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse

3. Elemental

4. Robot Dreams

5. Nimona

Best Animated Short Film

1. WAR IS OVER! Inspired by the Music of John and Yoko

2. Letter to a Pig

3. Ninety-Five Senses

4. Our Uniform

5. Pachyderme

Best Documentary Feature Film

1. 20 Days in Mariupol

2. Four Daughters

3. The Eternal Memory

4. Bobi Wine: The People’s President

5. To Kill a Tiger

Best Documentary Short Film

1. The ABCs of Book Banning

2. Nai Nai and Wai Po

3. The Last Repair Shop

4. The Barber of Little Rock

5. Island in Between

Best International Feature Film

1. The Zone of Interest

2. Society of the Snow

3. Perfect Days

4. The Teachers’ Lounge

5. Io Capitano

Best Live Action Short Film

1. The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar

2. Invincible

3. The After

4. Knight of Fortune

5. Red, White and Blue

Best Cinematography

1. Hoyte Van Hoytema, Oppenheimer

2. Rodrigo Prieto, Killers of the Flower Moon

3. Robbie Ryan, Poor Things

4. Matthew Libatique, Maestro

5. Edward Lachman, El Conde

Best Costume Design

1. Jacqueline Durran, Barbie

2. Holly Waddington, Poor Things

3. Jacqueline West, Killers of the Flower Moon

4. Ellen Mirojnick, Oppenheimer

5. Janty Yates and David Crossman, Napoleon

Best Film Editing

1. Jennifer Lame, Oppenheimer

2. Laurent Sénéchal, Anatomy of a Fall

3. Thelma Schoonmaker, Killers of the Flower Moon

4. Yorgos Mavropsaridis, Poor Things

5. Kevin Tent, The Holdovers

Best Makeup & Hairstyling

1. Nadia Stacey, Mark Couler, Josh Weston, Poor Things

2. Kazu Hiro, Sian Grigg, Kay Georgiou and Lori McCoy-Bell, Maestro

3. Luisa Abel, Jason Hamer, Jaime Leigh McIntosh, and Ahou Mofid, Oppenheimer

4. Ana López-Puigcerver, Belén López-Puigcerver, David Martí and Montse Ribé, Society of the Snow

5. Karen Hartley Thomas, Golda

Best Production Design

1. Sarah Greenwood and Katie Spencer, Barbie

2. Shona Heath, James Price and Szusza Mihalek, Poor Things

3. Ruth De Jong and Claire Kaufman, Oppenheimer

4. Jack Fisk and Adam Willis, Killers of the Flower Moon

5. Arthur Max and Elli Griff, Napoleon

Best Original Score

1. Ludwig Göransson, Oppenheimer

2. Robbie Robertson, Killers of the Flower Moon

3. Jerskin Fendrix, Poor Things

4. John Williams, Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny

5. Laura Karpman, American Fiction

Best Original Song

1. “What Was I Made for,” Barbie

2. “I’m Just Ken,” Barbie

3. “Wahzhazhe (A Song for My People),” Killers of the Flower Moon

4. “It Never Went Away,” American Symphony

5. “The Fire Inside,” Flamin’ Hot

Best Sound

1. Richard King, Gary A. Rizzo, Kevin O’Connell and Willie Burton, Oppenheimer

2. Johnnie Burn and Tarn Willers, The Zone of Interest

3. Chris Munro, James H. Mather and Chris Burdon, Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One

4. Richard King, Jason Ruder, Tom Ozanich, Dean Zupancic and Steve Morrow, Maestro

5. Erik Aadahl, Ethan Van Der Ryn, Ian Voigt, Tom Ozanich and Dean Zupancic, The Creator

Best Visual Effects

1. Kiyoko Shibuya and Takashi Yamazaki, Godzilla Minus One

2. Charley Henley, Neil Corbould, Luc-ewen Martin-fenouillet and Simone Coco, Napoleon

3. Jay Cooper, Ian Comley, Andrew Roberts and Neil Corbould, The Creator

4. Stephane Ceretti, Alexis Wajsbrot, Guy Williams and Dan Sudick, Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3

5. Alex Wuttke, Simone Coco, Jeff Sutherland and Neil Corbould, Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One

FINAL 2023 Oscar Nomination Predictions

Best Picture

1. Oppenheimer

2. Killers of the Flower Moon

3. Poor Things

4. Barbie

5. The Holdovers

6. American Fiction

7. Past Lives

8. Anatomy of a Fall

9. The Zone of Interest

10. Maestro
    —

11. The Color Purple

12. Origin

13. Saltburn

14. Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse

15. May December

Best Director

1. Christopher Nolan, Oppenheimer

2. Yorgos Lanthimos, Poor Things

3. Martin Scorsese, Killers of the Flower Moon

4. Justine Triet, Anatomy of a Fall

5. Jonathan Glazer, The Zone of Interest
   —

6. Greta Gerwig, Barbie

7. Alexander Payne, The Holdovers

8. Celine Song, Past Lives

9. Bradley Cooper, Maestro

10. Ava DuVernay, Origin

Best Actress

1. Emma Stone, Poor Things

2. Lily Gladstone, Killers of the Flower Moon

3. Carey Mulligan, Maestro

4. Sandra Hüller, Anatomy of a Fall

5. Margot Robbie, Barbie
   —

6. Annette Bening, Nyad

7. Fantasia Barrino, The Color Purple

8. Greta Lee, Past Lives

9. Aunjanue Ellis-Taylor, Origin

10. Natalie Portman, May December

Best Actor

1. Cillian Murphy, Oppenheimer

2. Paul Giamatti, The Holdovers

3. Bradley Cooper, Maestro

4. Jeffrey Wright, American Fiction

5. Colman Domingo, Rustin
   —

6. Barry Keoghan, Saltburn

7. Leonardo DiCaprio, Killers of the Flower Moon

8. Tee Yoo, Past Lives

9. Andrew Scott, All of Us Strangers

10. Zac Efron, The Iron Claw

Best Supporting Actress

1. Da'Vine Joy Randolph, The Holdovers

2. Emily Blunt, Oppenheimer

3. Danielle Brooks, The Color Purple

4. Jodie Foster, Nyad

5. Penelope Cruz, Ferrari
   —

6. Sandra Hüller, The Zone of Interest

7. America Ferrera, Barbie

8. Rosamund Pike, Saltburn

9. Julianne Moore, May December

10. Claire Foy, All of Us Strangers

Best Supporting Actor

1. Robert Downey, Jr., Oppenheimer

2. Ryan Gosling, Barbie

3. Robert De Niro, Killers of the Flower Moon

4. Mark Ruffalo, Poor Things

5. Dominic Sessa, The Holdovers
   —

6. Willem Dafoe, Poor Things

7. Charles Melton, May December

8. Sterling K. Brown, American Fiction

9. Jacob Elordi, Saltburn

10. Paul Mescal, All of Us Strangers

Best Original Screenplay

1. David Hemingson, The Holdovers

2. Justine Triet and Arthur Harari, Anatomy of a Fall

3. Celine Song, Past Lives

4. Bradley Cooper and Josh Singer, Maestro

5. Wes Anderson and Roman Coppola, Asteroid City
   —

6. Samy Burch, May December

7. Emerald Fennell, Saltburn

8. Hayao Miyazaki, The Boy and the Heron

9. Alex Convery, Air

10. Sean Durkin, The Iron Claw

Best Adapted Screenplay

1. Greta Gerwig and Noah Baumbach, Barbie

2. Eric Roth and Martin Scorsese, Killers of the Flower Moon

3. Tony McNamara, Poor Things

4. Christopher Nolan, Oppenheimer

5. Cord Jefferson, American Fiction
   —

6. Jonathan Glazer, The Zone of Interest

7. Andrew Haigh, All of Us Strangers

8. Ava DuVernay, Origin

9. Phil Lord, Christopher Miller and Dave Callaham, Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse

10. Kelly Fremon Craig, Are You There, God? It’s Me, Margaret.

Best Animated Feature Film

1. The Boy and the Heron

2. Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse

3. Elemental

4. Nimona

5. Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem
   —

6. Suzume

7. Wish

8. The Super Mario Bros. Movie

9. The Peasants

10. Robot Dreams

Best Animated Short Film

1. Once Upon a Studio

2. Letter to a Pig

3. Pete

4. Humo

5. Ninety-Five Senses
   —

6. Boom

7. A King of Testament

8. Eeva

9. WAR IS OVER! Inspired by the Music of John and Yoko

10. 27

Best Documentary Feature Film

1. 20 Days in Mariupol

2. Four Daughters

3. The Eternal Memory

4. American Symphony

5. Beyond Utopia
   —

6. Still: A Michael J. Fox Movie

7. Apolonia, Apolonia

8. 32 Sounds

9. A Still Small Voice

10. To Kill a Tiger

Best Documentary Short Film

1. The ABCs of Book Banning

2. Last Song from Kabul

3. The Barber of Little Rock

4. Black Girls Play: The Story of Hand Games

5. Camp Courage
   —

6. Wings of Dust

7. Nai Nai and Wai Po

8. Between Earth and Sky

9. The Last Repair Shop

10. Deciding Vote

Best International Feature Film

1. The Zone of Interest

2. Society of the Snow

3. Fallen Leaves

4. The Teachers’ Lounge

5. Perfect Days
   —

6. 20 Days in Mariupol

7. Totem

8. Io Capitano

9. The Taste of Things

10. Four Daughters

Best Live Action Short Film

1. The Anne Frank Gift Shop

2. The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar

3. Invincible

4. Yellow

5. The One Note Man
   —

6. Dead Cat

7. An Avocado Pit

8. The After

9. The Shepherd

10. Knight of Fortune

Best Cinematography

1. Hoyte Van Hoytema, Oppenheimer

2. Rodrigo Prieto, Killers of the Flower Moon

3. Robbie Ryan, Poor Things

4. Matthew Libatique, Maestro

5. Lukasz Zal, The Zone of Interest
   —

6. Edward Lachman, El Conde

7. Linus Sandgren, Saltburn

8. Erik Messerschmidt, The Killer

9. Rodrigo Preito, Barbie

10. Dan Laustsen, The Color Purple

Best Costume Design

1. Jacqueline Durran, Barbie

2. Holly Waddington, Poor Things

3. Jacqueline West, Killers of the Flower Moon

4. Lindy Hemming, Wonka

5. Francine Jamison-Tanchuck, The Color Purple
   —

6. Janty Yates and David Crossman, Napoleon

7. Oliver Garcia, Chevalier

8. Ellen Mirojnick, Oppenheimer

9. Stacey Battat, Priscilla

10. Mark Bridges, Maestro

Best Film Editing

1. Jennifer Lame, Oppenheimer

2. Thelma Schoonmaker, Killers of the Flower Moon

3. Yorgos Mavropsaridis, Poor Things

4. Nick Houy, Barbie

5. Michelle Tesoro, Maestro
   —

6. Kevin Tent, The Holdovers

7. Pietro Scalia, Ferrari

8. Laurent Sénéchal, Anatomy of a Fall

9. Paul Watts, The Zone of Interest

10. Claire Simpson and Sam Restivo, Napoleon

Best Makeup & Hairstyling

1. Nadia Stacey, Mark Couler, Josh Weston, Poor Things

2. Kazu Hiro, Sian Grigg, Kay Georgiou and Lori McCoy-Bell, Maestro

3. Luisa Abel, Jason Hamer, Jaime Leigh McIntosh, and Ahou Mofid, Oppenheimer

4. Karen Hartley Thomas, Golda

5. Ana López-Puigcerver, Belén López-Puigcerver, David Martí and Montse Ribé, Society of the Snow
   —

6. Thomas Nellen, Siân Grigg and Kay Georgiou, Killers of the Flower Moon

7. Jana Carboni and Francesco Pegoretti, Napoleon

8. Félix Larivière and Colin Penman, Beau Is Afraid

9. Heike Merker, The Last Voyage of the Demeter

10. Alda Signoretti, Scott Wheeler, Marcelle Genavese and Marco Pompei, Ferrari

Best Production Design

1. Sarah Greenwood and Katie Spencer, Barbie

2. Shona Heath, James Price and Szusza Mihalek, Poor Things

3. Ruth De Jong and Claire Kaufman, Oppenheimer

4. Jack Fisk and Adam Willis, Killers of the Flower Moon

5. Adam Stockhausen and Kris Moran, Asteroid City
   —

6. Paul D. Austerberry and Larry Dias, The Color Purple

7. Arthur Max and Elli Griff, Napoleon

8. Nathan Crowley and Lee Sandales, Wonka

9. Suzie Davies and Charlotte Dirickx, Saltburn

10. Chris Oddy, Joanna Kus and Katarzyna Sikora, The Zone of Interest

Best Original Score

1. Ludwig Göransson, Oppenheimer

2. Robbie Robertson, Killers of the Flower Moon

3. Jerskin Fendrix, Poor Things

4. John Williams, Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny

5. Jon Batiste, American Symphony
   —

6. Joe Hisaishi, The Boy and the Heron

7. Kris Bowers, The Color Purple

8. Mica Levi, The Zone of Interest

9. Mark Ronson and Andrew Wyatt, Barbie

10. Daniel Pemberton, Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse

Best Original Song

1. “What Was I Made for,” Barbie

2. “Road to Freedom,” Rustin

3. “I’m Just Ken,” Barbie

4. “The Fire Inside,” Flamin’ Hot

5. “It Never Went Away,” American Symphony
   —

6. “Keep It Movin’,” The Color Purple

7. “Wahzhazhe (A Song for My People),” Killers of the Flower Moon

8. “Quiet Eyes,” Past Lives

9. “Dear Alien (Who Art in Heaven),” Asteroid City

10. “Dance the Night,” Barbie

Best Sound

1. Richard King, Gary A. Rizzo, Kevin O’Connell and Willie Burton, Oppenheimer

2. Richard King, Jason Ruder, Tom Ozanich, Dean Zupancic and Steve Morrow, Maestro

3. Nina Rice, Ai-Ling Lee, Dan Kenyon and Kevin O’Connell, Barbie

4. Tony Lamberti, Andy Nelson, Lee Orloff and Bernard Weiser, Ferrari

5. Ren Klyce, Jeremy Molod, Stephen Urata and Drew Kunin, The Killer
   —

6. John Pritchett, Mark Ulano and Philip Stockton, Killers of the Flower Moon

7. Johnnie Burn and Tarn Willers, The Zone of Interest

8. Oliver Tarney, James Harrison, Paul Massey, William Miller and Stephane Bucher, Napoleon

9. Chris Munro, James H. Mather and Chris Burdon, Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One

10. Erik Aadahl, Ethan Van Der Ryn, Ian Voigt, Tom Ozanich and Dean Zupancic, The Creator

Best Visual Effects

1. Simon Hughes, Poor Things

2. Michael Lasker, Alan Hawkins, Bret St. Clair and Pav Grochola, Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse

3. Stephane Ceretti, Alexis Wajsbrot, Guy Williams and Dan Sudick, Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3

4. Kiyoko Shibuya and Takashi Yamazaki, Godzilla Minus One

5. Charley Henley, Neil Corbould, Luc-ewen Martin-fenouillet and Simone Coco, Napoleon
   —

6. Andrew Whitehurst, Kathy Siegel, Robert Weaver and Alistair Williams, Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny

7. Jay Cooper, Ian Comley, Andrew Roberts and Neil Corbould, The Creator

8. Laura Pedro, Felix Bergés and Pau Costa, Society of the Snow

9. Alex Wuttke, Simone Coco, Jeff Sutherland and Neil Corbould, Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One

10. Marcus Taormina, Michael Gaspar, Ken McGaugh and Robert Winter, Rebel Moon