Andrew's 2015 PGA Awards predictions

Which picture shall emerge victorious at this year's Producers Guild of America Awards? Here is my hunch, ranked from most to least likely to prevail...

  1. The Revenant
  2. Spotlight
  3. The Big Short
  4. Mad Max: Fury Road
  5. Straight Outta Compton
  6. The Martian
  7. Sicario
  8. Ex Machina
  9. Bridge of Spies
  10. Brooklyn

This one's a toughie to forecast, not unlike the SAG and DGA awards to come. I can say with confidence that none of The Martian, through Brooklyn, will take home the trophy here, so there's that. If there's a dark horse in this line-up, it might well be Straight Outta Compton. Its lack of Best Picture nom at the Oscars would presumably force the picture to sit on the sidelines here, but you can't discount the possibility, even if it's a slim one, that PGA members use this opportunity to make a statement on the #OscarsSoWhite movement and bestow a surprise victory upon Compton. Still, it's probably unlikely, just as it's improbable the cast triumphs at SAG. I also would be a tad surprised if Mad Max or The Big Short pulled off a victory here, though some seem to think the latter's very much in the running and could even be a threat at the Oscars. I'm not quite on board with that sentiment, though a SAG Ensemble win for the Adam McKay picture could give me second thoughts on the heels of the Oscars. Ultimately, not unlike at the Globes, I think this is a tight, too-close-to-call showdown between The Revenant and Spotlight and, while I anticipate the Tom McCarthy film will score at SAG just over a week from now, I suspect the current buzz and box office for the Alejandro González Iñárritu film may instead carry the day here.