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Guillermo del Toro’s Frankenstein may be on the cusp of scoring upwards of 10 or even more Oscar nominations.

2025 Oscar Nomination Predictions (November)

November 19, 2025 by Andrew Carden in Oscars

Updated Oscar nom predictions before the precursor season takes off with New York Film Critics Circle on December 2 - including how many spots a contender has moved up or down since my October hunches:

Best Picture

  1. One Battle After Another (-)

  2. Hamnet (-)

  3. Sentimental Value (-)

  4. Sinners (-)

  5. Marty Supreme (+1)

  6. It Was Just an Accident (+1)

  7. The Secret Agent (+1)

  8. Avatar: Fire and Ash (+1)

  9. Wicked: For Good (-4)

  10. Frankenstein (+3)
    —

  11. Jay Kelly (-)

  12. Train Dreams (NEW)

  13. No Other Choice (-1)

  14. Rental Family (-)

  15. Song Sung Blue (NEW)

DROPPED
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere (-6)
Bugonia (-1)

Best Director

  1. Paul Thomas Anderson, One Battle After Another (-)

  2. Chloé Zhao, Hamnet (-)

  3. Joachim Trier, Sentimental Value (-)

  4. Jafar Panah, It Was Just an Accident (+1)

  5. Josh Safdie, Marty Supreme (+3)
    —

  6. Ryan Coogler, Sinners (-2)

  7. Kleber Mendonça Filho, The Secret Agent (-1)

  8. Park Chan-wook, No Other Choice (-1)

  9. Guillermo del Toro, Frankenstein (NEW)

  10. Craig Brewer, Song Sung Blue (NEW)

DROPPED
Scott Cooper, Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere (-2)
Jon M. Chu, Wicked: For Good (-1)

Best Actress

  1. Jessie Buckley, Hamnet (-)

  2. Renate Reinsve, Sentimental Value (+1)

  3. Cynthia Erivo, Wicked: For Good (-1)

  4. Amanda Seyfried, The Testament of Ann Lee (+1)

  5. Emma Stone, Bugonia (-1)
    —

  6. Chase Infiniti, One Battle After Another (-)

  7. Kate Hudson, Song Sung Blue (NEW)

  8. Rose Byrne, If I Had Legs I’d Kick You (-)

  9. Tessa Thompson, Hedda (NEW)

  10. Jennifer Lawrence, Die My Love (-3)

DROPPED
Sydney Sweeney, Christy (-2)
Julia Roberts, After the Hunt (-1)

Best Actor

  1. Leonardo DiCaprio, One Battle After Another (-)

  2. Timothée Chalamet, Marty Supreme (-)

  3. Wagner Moura, The Secret Agent (+1)

  4. Jeremy Allen White, Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere (-1)

  5. Brendan Fraser, Rental Family (-)
    —

  6. George Clooney, Jay Kelly (-)

  7. Ethan Hawke, Blue Moon (+2)

  8. Michael B. Jordan, Sinners (-1)

  9. Joel Edgerton, Train Dreams (NEW)

  10. Will Arnett, Is This Thing On? (-)

DROPPED
Jesse Plemons, Bugonia (-3)

Best Supporting Actress

  1. Elle Fanning, Sentimental Value (+1)

  2. Ariana Grande, Wicked: For Good (-1)

  3. Teyana Taylor, One Battle After Another (+1)

  4. Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas, Sentimental Value (-1)

  5. Regina Hall, One Battle After Another (-)
    —

  6. Gwyneth Paltrow, Marty Supreme (+1)

  7. Amy Madigan, Weapons (+2)

  8. Odessa A'zion, Marty Supreme (-)

  9. Glenn Close, Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery (-3)

  10. Jamie Lee Curtis, Ella McCay (-)

Best Supporting Actor

  1. Stellan Skarsgård, Sentimental Value (-)

  2. Paul Mescal, Hamnet (-)

  3. Sean Penn, One Battle After Another (-)

  4. Benicio del Toro, One Battle After Another (+1)

  5. Jeremy Strong, Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere (-1)
    —

  6. Adam Sandler, Jay Kelly (-)

  7. Jacob Elordi, Frankenstein (-)

  8. Delroy Lindo, Sinners (+1)

  9. William H. Macy, Train Dreams (NEW)

  10. Andrew Scott, Blue Moon (NEW)

DROPPED
Jonathan Bailey, Wicked: For Good (-3)
Josh O’Connor, Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery (-1)

Best Original Screenplay

  1. Joachim Trier and Eskil Vogt, Sentimental Value (-)

  2. Ronald Bronstein and Josh Safdie, Marty Supreme (-)

  3. Jafar Panahi, Nader Saeivar, Shadmehr Rastin and Mehdi Mahmoudian, It Was Just an Accident (-)

  4. Ryan Coogler, Sinners (-)

  5. Noah Baumbach and Emily Mortimer, Jay Kelly (-)
    —

  6. Kleber Mendonça Filho, The Secret Agent (-)

  7. Robert Kaplow, Blue Moon (+2)

  8. Will Arnett, Mark Chappell, Bradley Cooper and John Bishop, Is This Thing On? (-1)

  9. Brady Corbet and Mona Fastvold, The Testament of Ann Lee (+1)

  10. Hikari and Stephen Blahut, Rental Family (-2)

Best Adapted Screenplay

  1. Paul Thomas Anderson, One Battle After Another (-)

  2. Maggie O’Farrell and Chloe Zhao, Hamnet (-)

  3. Rian Johnson, Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery (-)

  4. Lee Ja-hye, Lee Kyoung-mi, Park Chan-wook and Don McKellar, No Other Choice (-)

  5. Clint Bentley and Greg Kwedar, Train Dreams (+1)
    —

  6. Guillermo del Toro, Frankenstein (+4)

  7. Will Tracy, Bugonia (-)

  8. Craig Brewer, Song Sung Blue (NEW)

  9. Nia DaCosta, Hedda (-)

  10. James Vanderbilt, Nuremberg (NEW)

DROPPED
Scott Cooper, Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere (-6)
Dana Fox and Winnie Holzman, Wicked: For Good (-3)

Best Animated Feature

  1. KPop Demon Hunters (-)

  2. Zootopia 2 (-)

  3. Little Amélie or the Character of Rain (-)

  4. Arco (-)

  5. Elio (-)
    —

  6. Ne Zha 2 (-)

  7. In Your Dreams (-)

  8. Scarlet (+1)

  9. A Magnificent Life (+1)

  10. The Bad Guys 2 (-2)

Best Documentary Feature

  1. The Perfect Neighbor (-)

  2. The Tale of Silyan (-)

  3. 2000 Meters to Andriivka (-)

  4. Apocalypse in the Tropics (-)

  5. Orwell 2+2=5 (-)
    —

  6. The Librarians (-)

  7. The Alabama Solution (-)

  8. Seeds (-)

  9. Mr. Nobody Against Putin (-)

  10. The Eyes of Ghana (-)

Best International Feature

  1. Sentimental Value (Norway) (-)

  2. It Was Just an Accident (France) (-)

  3. The Secret Agent (Brazil) (-)

  4. No Other Choice (South Korea) (-)

  5. Left-Handed Girl (Taiwan) (-)
    —

  6. The President’s Cake (Iraq) (-)

  7. Mr. Nobody Against Putin (Denmark) (-)

  8. The Voice of Hind Rajab (Tunisia) (-)

  9. Sound of Falling (Germany) (-)

  10. Sirāt (Spain) (-)

Best Casting

  1. Cassandra Kulukundis, One Battle After Another (-)

  2. Francine Maisler, Sinners (-)

  3. Nina Gold, Hamnet (+2)

  4. Jennifer Venditti, Marty Supreme (+3)

  5. Bret Howe and Mary Vernieu, Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery (-2)
    —

  6. Yngvill Kolset Haga and Avy Kaufman, Sentimental Value (-2)

  7. Jafar Panahi, It Was Just an Accident (+2)

  8. Douglas Aibel and Nina Gold, Jay Kelly (+2)

  9. Tiffany Little Canfield and Bernard Telsey, Wicked: For Good (-1)

  10. Allison Jones, Weapons (NEW)

DROPPED
Francine Maisler, Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere (-5)

Best Cinematography

  1. Autumn Durald Arkapaw, Sinners (-)

  2. Dan Laustsen, Frankenstein (-)

  3. Michael Bauman, One Battle After Another (-)

  4. Lukasz Zal, Hamnet (-)

  5. Darius Khondji, Marty Supreme (-)
    —

  6. Adolfo Veloso, Train Dreams (+2)

  7. Claudio Miranda, F1 (+2)

  8. Russell Carpenter, Avatar: Fire and Ash (+2)

  9. David Chambille, Nouvelle Vague (-3)

  10. Robbie Ryan, Bugonia (-3)

Best Costume Design

  1. Paul Tazewell, Wicked: For Good (-)

  2. Ruth E. Carter, Sinners (-)

  3. Kate Hawley, Frankenstein (-)

  4. Malgosia Turzanska, Hamnet (-)

  5. Malgorzata Karpiuk, The Testament of Ann Lee (-)
    —

  6. Lindsay Pugh, Hedda (-)

  7. Colleen Atwood, One Battle After Another (-)

  8. Miyako Bellizzi, Marty Supreme (-)

  9. Colleen Atwood and Christine L. Cantella, Kiss of the Spider Woman (-)

  10. Pascaline Chavanne, Nouvelle Vague (-)

Best Film Editing

  1. Andy Jurgensen, One Battle After Another (-)

  2. Michael P. Shawver, Sinners (-)

  3. Ronald Bronstein, Marty Supreme (-)

  4. Stephen Mirrione, F1 (-)

  5. Chloé Zhao and Affonso Gonçalves, Hamnet (-)
    —

  6. Evan Schiff, Frankenstein (+2)

  7. James Cameron, Nicolas De Toth, John Refoua, David Brenner and Stephen E. Rivkin, Avatar: Fire and Ash (+3)

  8. Olivier Bugge Coutté, Sentimental Value (-2)

  9. Myron Kerstein, Wicked: For Good (-2)

  10. Kirk Baxter, A House of Dynamite (-1)

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

  1. The team from Wicked: For Good (-)

  2. The team from Frankenstein (-)

  3. The team from Sinners (-)

  4. The team from The Smashing Machine (-)

  5. The team from Weapons (+2)
    —

  6. The team from Kiss of the Spider Woman (+2)

  7. The team from One Battle After Another (+2)

  8. The team from Bugonia (-3)

  9. The team from Hamnet (+1)

  10. The team from Song Sung Blue (NEW)

DROPPED
The team from Christy (-5)

Best Original Score

  1. Jonny Greenwood, One Battle After Another (-)

  2. Ludwig Göransson, Sinners (-)

  3. Max Richter, Hamnet (-)

  4. Alexandre Desplat, Frankenstein (+1)

  5. Daniel Blumberg, The Testament of Ann Lee (+2)
    —

  6. Stephen Schwartz and John Powell, Wicked: For Good (-2)

  7. Nicholas Britell, Jay Kelly (-1)

  8. Daniel Lopatin, Marty Supreme (+2)

  9. Hildur Guðnadóttir, Hedda (-)

  10. Hania Rani, Sentimental Value (-2)

Best Original Song

  1. “Dear Me,” Diane Warren: Relentless (-)

  2. “Golden,” KPop Demon Hunters (-)

  3. “I Lied to You,” Sinners (+1)

  4. “The Girl in the Bubble,” Wicked: For Good (+2)

  5. “Clothed by the Sun,” The Testament of Ann Lee (+2)
    —

  6. “Last Time (I Seen the Sun),” Sinners (NEW)

  7. “No Place Like Home,” Wicked: For Good (-4)

  8. “Train Dreams,” Train Dreams (+2)

  9. “Dream as One,” Avatar: Fire and Ash (NEW)

  10. “Zoo,” Zootopia 2 (-1)

DROPPED
“Highest 2 Lowest,” Highest 2 Lowest (-6)
“Lose My Mind,” F1 (-3)

Best Production Design

  1. Nathan Crowley and Lee Sandales, Wicked: For Good (-)

  2. Tamara Deverell and Shane Vieau, Frankenstein (+1)

  3. Hannah Beachler and Monique Champagne, Sinners (-1)

  4. Dylan Cole, Ben Procter and Vanessa Cole, Avatar: Fire and Ash (-)

  5. Fiona Crombie and Alice Felton, Hamnet (-)
    —

  6. Jack Fisk and Adam Willis, Marty Supreme (-)

  7. Florencia Martin and Anthony Carlino, One Battle After Another (-)

  8. Sam Bader, Lauren Doss and Mercédesz Nagyváradi, The Testament of Ann Lee (NEW)

  9. Katia Wyszkop, Nouvelle Vague (-1)

  10. Cara Bower and Stella Fox, Hedda (-1)

DROPPED
Scott Chambliss and Andrew Baseman, Kiss of the Spider Woman (-1)

Best Sound

  1. The team from One Battle After Another (-)

  2. The team from Avatar: Fire and Ash (+1)

  3. The team from Wicked: For Good (-1)

  4. The team from Sinners (-)

  5. The team from F1 (-)
    —

  6. The team from Frankenstein (+1)

  7. The team from Marty Supreme (+1)

  8. The team from Warfare (+1)

  9. The team from Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning (+1)

  10. The team from Springsteen: Deliver Me From Nowhere (-4)

Best Visual Effects

  1. The team from Avatar: Fire and Ash (-)

  2. The team from Wicked: For Good (-)

  3. The team from Frankenstein (+2)

  4. The team from Sinners (-1)

  5. The team from F1 (-1)
    —

  6. The team from Superman (-)

  7. The team from How to Train Your Dragon (-)

  8. The team from The Fantastic Four: First Steps (+1)

  9. The team from Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning (NEW)

  10. The team from Tron: Ares (-)

DROPPED
The team from The Running Man (-3)

Best Animated Short

TBD

Best Documentary Short

TBD

Best Live Action Short

TBD

November 19, 2025 /Andrew Carden
Oscars 2025
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