FINAL 2025 Oscar Nomination Predictions

Here we go…

Final Oscar nom predictions for the season! Per usual, my rankings highlight how many slots a contender has moved up or down since my last set of hunches.

If there is a dominant headline, it has to be that Sinners is so close to shattering the all-time nominations record. With 14, the number I suspect it ultimately nets, it ties the record but I have it sixth in both Supporting Actor and Supporting Actress, ditto Original Song (for a second bid there). Any one of those will send it over the top. (Odd as it sounds, I fear the most vulnerable of those 14 may be Lead Actor, where Michael B. Jordan, Joel Edgerton and perhaps Jesse Plemons are competitive for the fifth spot.)

Best Picture

1. One Battle After Another (-)

2. Hamnet (-)

3. Sinners (+1)

4. Marty Supreme (-1)

5. Frankenstein (+3)

6. Sentimental Value (-)

7. The Secret Agent (-)

8. Bugonia (+6)

9. It Was Just an Accident (-4)

10. Train Dreams (-1)
    —

11. Weapons (-)

12. F1 (NEW)

13. Sirāt (-)

14. Wicked: For Good (-2)

15. Song Sung Blue (NEW)

DROPPED
No Other Choice (-6)
Jay Kelly (-1)

Best Director

1. Paul Thomas Anderson, One Battle After Another (-)

2. Ryan Coogler, Sinners (+4)

3. Chloé Zhao, Hamnet (-1)

4. Josh Safdie, Marty Supreme (-)

5. Joachim Trier, Sentimental Value (-)
   —

6. Jafar Panah, It Was Just an Accident (-3)

7. Kleber Mendonça Filho, The Secret Agent (-)

8. Guillermo del Toro, Frankenstein (-)

9. Oliver Laxe, Sirāt (+1)

10. Yorgos Lanthimos, Bugonia (NEW)

DROPPED
Park Chan-wook, No Other Choice (-1)

Best Actress

1. Jessie Buckley, Hamnet (-)

2. Rose Byrne, If I Had Legs I’d Kick You (-)

3. Emma Stone, Bugonia (+1)

4. Renate Reinsve, Sentimental Value (-1)

5. Kate Hudson, Song Sung Blue (+2)
   —

6. Chase Infiniti, One Battle After Another (-1)

7. Jennifer Lawrence, Die My Love (+2)

8. Amanda Seyfried, The Testament of Ann Lee (-2)

9. Tessa Thompson, Hedda (+1)

10. Cynthia Erivo, Wicked: For Good (-2)

Best Actor

1. Timothée Chalamet, Marty Supreme (+1)

2. Leonardo DiCaprio, One Battle After Another (-1)

3. Ethan Hawke, Blue Moon (-)

4. Wagner Moura, The Secret Agent (-)

5. Michael B. Jordan, Sinners (+1)
   —

6. Joel Edgerton, Train Dreams (-1)

7. Jesse Plemons, Bugonia (NEW)

8. Jeremy Allen White, Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere (-1)

9. Oscar Isaac, Frankenstein (+1)

10. George Clooney, Jay Kelly (-2)

DROPPED
Dwayne Johnson, The Smashing Machine (-2)

Best Supporting Actress

1. Teyana Taylor, One Battle After Another (-)

2. Amy Madigan, Weapons (-)

3. Odessa A'zion, Marty Supreme (+1)

4. Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas, Sentimental Value (+1)

5. Elle Fanning, Sentimental Value (-2)
   —

6. Wunmi Mosaku, Sinners (+1)

7. Ariana Grande, Wicked: For Good (-1)

8. Gwyneth Paltrow, Marty Supreme (+2)

9. Emily Watson, Hamnet (NEW)

10. Emily Blunt, The Smashing Machine (-2)

DROPPED
Glenn Close, Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery (-2)

Best Supporting Actor

1. Stellan Skarsgård, Sentimental Value (+1)

2. Jacob Elordi, Frankenstein (+3)

3. Paul Mescal, Hamnet (-)

4. Benicio del Toro, One Battle After Another (-3)

5. Sean Penn, One Battle After Another (-1)
   —

6. Miles Caton, Sinners (NEW)

7. Delroy Lindo, Sinners (+2)

8. Andrew Scott, Blue Moon (-2)

9. Adam Sandler, Jay Kelly (-1)

10. William H. Macy, Train Dreams (-3)

DROPPED
Jeremy Strong, Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere (-1)

Best Original Screenplay

1. Ryan Coogler, Sinners (+3)

2. Ronald Bronstein and Josh Safdie, Marty Supreme (-1)

3. Joachim Trier and Eskil Vogt, Sentimental Value (-1)

4. Jafar Panahi, Nader Saeivar, Shadmehr Rastin and Mehdi Mahmoudian, It Was Just an Accident (-1)

5. Eva Victor, Sorry, Baby (+3)
   —

6. Kleber Mendonça Filho, The Secret Agent (-1)

7. Robert Kaplow, Blue Moon (-)

8. Zach Cregger, Weapons (+1)

9. Mary Bronstein, If I Had Legs I’d Kick You (+1)

10. Noah Baumbach and Emily Mortimer, Jay Kelly (-4)

Best Adapted Screenplay

1. Paul Thomas Anderson, One Battle After Another (-)

2. Maggie O’Farrell and Chloe Zhao, Hamnet (-)

3. Will Tracy, Bugonia (+3)

4. Guillermo del Toro, Frankenstein (-)

5. Clint Bentley and Greg Kwedar, Train Dreams (-)
   —

6. Lee Ja-hye, Lee Kyoung-mi, Park Chan-wook and Don McKellar, No Other Choice (-3)

7. Rian Johnson, Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery (-)

8. Craig Brewer, Song Sung Blue (-)

9. James Vanderbilt, Nuremberg (-)

10. Nia DaCosta, Hedda (-)

Best Animated Feature

1. KPop Demon Hunters (-)

2. Zootopia 2 (-)

3. Little Amélie or the Character of Rain (-)

4. Arco (-)

5. Elio (-)
   —

6. Demon Slayer: Kimetsu no Yaiba – The Movie: Infinity Castle (NEW)

7. In Your Dreams (-)

8. Scarlet (-)

9. A Magnificent Life (-)

10. The Bad Guys 2 (NEW)

DROPPED
Ne Zha 2 (-5)
The SpongeBob Movie: Search for SquarePants (-1)

Best Animated Short

1. Éiru (-)

2. The Girl Who Cried Pearls (-)

3. The Shyness of Trees (-)

4. Snow Bear (-)

5. The Night Boots (-)
   —

6. Hurikán (-)

7. The Three Sisters (-)

8. Butterfly (Papillon) (-)

9. The Quinta’s Ghost (-)

10. I Died in Irpin (-)

Best Documentary Feature

1. The Perfect Neighbor (-)

2. Come See Me in the Good Light (-)

3. 2000 Meters to Andriivka (-)

4. Apocalypse in the Tropics (-)

5. The Alabama Solution (-)
   —

6. Mr. Nobody Against Putin (+1)

7. Cover-Up (+1)

8. My Undesirable Friends: Part 1 – Last Air in Moscow (NEW)

9. Seeds (-3)

10. Folktales (-1)

DROPPED
Mistress Dispeller (-1)

Best Documentary Short

1. Armed Only with a Camera (-)

2. All the Walls Came Down (-)

3. On Healing Land, Birds Perch (-)

4. Rovina’s Choice (-)

5. Bad Hostage (-)
   —

6. Last Days on Lake Trinity (-)

7. Chasing Time (-)

8. Classroom 4 (-)

9. We Were the Scenery (-)

10. Heartbeat (-)

Best Live Action Short

1. Beyond Silence (-)

2. Amarela (-)

3. Rock, Paper, Scissors (-)

4. Ado (-)

5. The Pearl Comb (-)
   —

6. A Friend of Dorothy (-)

7. The Boy with White Skin (-)

8. Dad’s Not Home (-)

9. Butcher’s Stain (-)

10. The Singers (-)

Best International Feature

1. Sentimental Value (Norway) (-)

2. The Secret Agent (Brazil) (+1)

3. It Was Just an Accident (France) (-1)

4. Sirāt (Spain) (+1)

5. Left-Handed Girl (Taiwan) (+1)
   —

6. The Voice of Hind Rajab (Tunisia) (+2)

7. No Other Choice (South Korea) (-3)

8. The President’s Cake (Iraq) (-1)

9. Sound of Falling (Germany) (-)

10. Belén (NEW)

DROPPED
All That’s Left of You (Jordan) (-1)

Best Casting

1. Cassandra Kulukundis, One Battle After Another (-)

2. Francine Maisler, Sinners (-)

3. Jennifer Venditti, Marty Supreme (-)

4. Nina Gold, Hamnet (-)

5. Yngvill Kolset Haga and Avy Kaufman, Sentimental Value (-)
   —

6. Gabriel Domingues, The Secret Agent (-)

7. Robin D. Cook, Frankenstein (+1)

8. Allison Jones, Weapons (-1)

9. Tiffany Little Canfield and Bernard Telsey, Wicked: For Good (-)

10. Nadia Acimi and Luis Bértolo, Sirât (-)

Best Cinematography

1. Autumn Durald Arkapaw, Sinners (-)

2. Dan Laustsen, Frankenstein (-)

3. Michael Bauman, One Battle After Another (-)

4. Lukasz Zal, Hamnet (-)

5. Adolfo Veloso, Train Dreams (+1)
   —

6. Darius Khondji, Marty Supreme (-1)

7. Claudio Miranda, F1 (+1)

8. Robbie Ryan, Bugonia (+1)

9. Mauro Herce, Sirât (-2)

10. Seamus McGarvey, Die My Love (NEW)

DROPPED
David Chambille, Nouvelle Vague (-1)

Best Costume Design

1. Ruth E. Carter, Sinners (-)

2. Kate Hawley, Frankenstein (+1)

3. Paul Tazewell, Wicked: For Good (-1)

4. Miyako Bellizzi, Marty Supreme (-)

5. Malgosia Turzanska, Hamnet (-)
   —

6. Colleen Atwood, One Battle After Another (-)

7. Kumiko Ogawa, Kokuho (-)

8. Lindsay Pugh, Hedda (+1)

9. Malgorzata Karpiuk, The Testament of Ann Lee (-1)

10. Colleen Atwood and Christine L. Cantella, Kiss of the Spider Woman (-)

Best Film Editing

1. Andy Jurgensen, One Battle After Another (-)

2. Michael P. Shawver, Sinners (+1)

3. Ronald Bronstein, Marty Supreme (-1)

4. Stephen Mirrione, F1 (+2)

5. Chloé Zhao and Affonso Gonçalves, Hamnet (-)
   —

6. Evan Schiff, Frankenstein (-2)

7. Cristóbal Fernández, Sirât (+1)

8. Kirk Baxter, A House of Dynamite (NEW)

9. Yorgos Mavropsaridis, Bugonia (NEW)

10. Olivier Bugge Coutté, Sentimental Value (-1)

DROPPED
Amir Etminan, It Was Just an Accident (-4)
James Cameron, Nicolas De Toth, John Refoua, David Brenner and Stephen E. Rivkin, Avatar: Fire and Ash (-1)

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

1. Mike Hill, Cliona Furey and Jordan Samuel, Frankenstein (-)

2. Ken Diaz, Mike Fontaine and Shunika Terry, Sinners (+1)

3. Mark Coulier, Frances Hannon and Laura Blount, Wicked: For Good (-1)

4. Kazu Hiro, Glen Griffin and Bjoern Rehbein, The Smashing Machine (-)

5. Kyoko Toyokawa, Naomi Hibino andTadashi Nishimatsu, Kokuho (-)
   —

6. Mike Fontaine, Kay Georgiou and Kyra Pachenko, Marty Supreme (+2)

7. Arjen Tuiten, One Battle After Another (-)

8. Jan Sewell, Renata Gilbert and Sharon Robbins, Nuremberg (-2)

9. Anne Catherine Sauerberg and Thomas Foldberg, The Ugly Stepsister (-)

10. Jerry Popolis, Hiro Yada and Jason Hamer, The Alto Knights (-)

Best Original Score

1. Ludwig Göransson, Sinners (+1)

2. Jonny Greenwood, One Battle After Another (-1)

3. Max Richter, Hamnet (-)

4. Alexandre Desplat, Frankenstein (-)

5. Daniel Lopatin, Marty Supreme (-)
   —

6. Bryce Dessner, Train Dreams (-)

7. Kangding Ray, Sirât (-)

8. Stephen Schwartz and John Powell, Wicked: For Good (-)

9. Jerskin Fendrix, Bugonia (NEW)

10. Hildur Guðnadóttir, Hedda (-)

DROPPED
Nicholas Britell, Jay Kelly (-2)

Best Original Song

1. “Golden,” KPop Demon Hunters (+1)

2. “I Lied to You,” Sinners (+1)

3. “Dear Me,” Diane Warren: Relentless (-2)

4. “The Girl in the Bubble,” Wicked: For Good (-)

5. “Train Dreams,” Train Dreams (+1)
   —

6. “Last Time (I Seen the Sun),” Sinners (-1)

7. “Salt Then Sour Then Sweet,” Come See Me in the Good Light (-)

8. “Drive,” F1 (NEW)

9. “No Place Like Home,” Wicked: For Good (-1)

10. “Highest 2 Lowest,” Highest 2 Lowest (-1)

DROPPED
“Dream as One,” Avatar: Fire and Ash (-1)

Best Production Design

1. Tamara Deverell and Shane Vieau, Frankenstein (-)

2. Hannah Beachler and Monique Champagne, Sinners (-)

3. Jack Fisk and Adam Willis, Marty Supreme (+1)

4. Fiona Crombie and Alice Felton, Hamnet (+1)

5. Nathan Crowley and Lee Sandales, Wicked: For Good (-2)
   —

6. Florencia Martin and Anthony Carlino, One Battle After Another (-)

7. Dylan Cole, Ben Procter and Vanessa Cole, Avatar: Fire and Ash (-)

8. Kasra Farahani and Jille Azis, The Fantastic Four: First Steps (-)

9. Katia Wyszkop, Nouvelle Vague (-)

10. Cara Bower and Stella Fox, Hedda (-)

Best Sound

1. Jose Antonio Garcia, Christopher Scarabosio and Tony Villaflor, One Battle After Another (-)

2. Steve Boeddeker, Benny Burtt, David V. Butler, Felipe Pacheco, Brandon Proctor and Chris Welcker, Sinners (-)

3. Greg Chapman, Christian Cooke, Nelson Ferreira, Nathan Robitaile and Brad Zoern, Frankenstein (-)

4. Gareth John, Al Nelson, Juan Peralta, Gary A. Rizzo and Gwendolyn Yates Whittle, F1 (+1)

5. Jack Dolman, Simon Hayes, John Marquis, Andy Nelson and Nancy Nugent Title, Wicked: For Good (+1)
   —

6. Chris Burdon, Lloyd Dudley, James H. Mather, Mark Taylor and Cécile Tournesac, Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning (+2)

7. Laia Casanovas, Yasmina Praderas and Amanda Villavieja, Sirât (-)

8. Brent Burge, Alexis Feodoroff, Michael Hedges, Julian Howarth and Gwendolyn Yates Whittle, Avatar: Fire and Ash (-4)

9. Lance Acord, Chris Boyes, Tim LeBlanc, Lee Orloff and Katy Wood, Superman (+1)

10. David Giammarco, Tod A. Maitland, Paul Massey and Eric A. Norris, Springsteen: Deliver Me From Nowhere (-1)

Best Visual Effects

1. Richard Baneham, Daniel Barrett, Eric Saindon and Joe Letteri, Avatar: Fire and Ash (-)

2. Dennis Berardi, Ayo Burgess, Ivan Busquets and Jose Granell, Frankenstein (-)

3. Donnie Dean, Espen Nordhal, Michael Ralla and Guido Wolter, Sinners (-)

4. Nicolas Chevalier, Robert Harrington, Keith Alfred Dawson and Ryan Tudhope, F1 (+1)

5. Stephane Ceretti, Enrico Damm, Stéphane Nazé and Guy Williams, Superman (+1)
   —

6. Donnie Dean, Espen Nordhal, Michael Ralla and Guido Wolter, The Lost Bus (+3)

7. Paul Corbould, Jonathan Fawkner, Pablo Helman and Dale Newton, Wicked: For Good (-3)

8. Jeff Capogreco, Vincent Papaix, David Seager and Cameron Waldbauer, Tron: Ares (-1)

9. Stephen Aplin, Charmaine Chan, Neil Corbould and David Vickery, Jurassic World Rebirth (-1)

10. Matthew E. Butler, Russell Earl, Joel Behrens and Elizabeth Bernard, The Electric State (-)

2025 Oscar Nomination Predictions (December)

Happy holidays, fellow film fans! :)

Here are some updated Oscar nom predictions for the month of December. No doubt, they will be turned upside down in the New Year, as the guilds have their say. Per usual, the rankings highlight how many spots a contender has moved up or down since my last set of hunches.

Best Picture

1. One Battle After Another (-)

2. Hamnet (-)

3. Marty Supreme (+2)

4. Sinners (-)

5. It Was Just an Accident (+1)

6. Sentimental Value (-3)

7. The Secret Agent (-)

8. Frankenstein (+2)

9. Train Dreams (+3)

10. No Other Choice (+3)
    —

11. Weapons (NEW)

12. Wicked: For Good (-3)

13. Sirāt (NEW)

14. Bugonia (NEW)

15. Jay Kelly (-4)

DROPPED
Avatar: Fire and Ash (-8)
Rental Family (-2)
Song Sung Blue (-1)

Best Director

1. Paul Thomas Anderson, One Battle After Another (-)

2. Chloé Zhao, Hamnet (-)

3. Jafar Panah, It Was Just an Accident (+1)

4. Josh Safdie, Marty Supreme (+1)

5. Joachim Trier, Sentimental Value (-2)
   —

6. Ryan Coogler, Sinners (-)

7. Kleber Mendonça Filho, The Secret Agent (-)

8. Guillermo del Toro, Frankenstein (+1)

9. Park Chan-wook, No Other Choice (-1)

10. Oliver Laxe, Sirāt (NEW)

DROPPED
Craig Brewer, Song Sung Blue (-1)

Best Actress

1. Jessie Buckley, Hamnet (-)

2. Rose Byrne, If I Had Legs I’d Kick You (+6)

3. Renate Reinsve, Sentimental Value (-1)

4. Emma Stone, Bugonia (+1)

5. Chase Infiniti, One Battle After Another (+1)
   —

6. Amanda Seyfried, The Testament of Ann Lee (-2)

7. Kate Hudson, Song Sung Blue (-)

8. Cynthia Erivo, Wicked: For Good (-5)

9. Jennifer Lawrence, Die My Love (+1)

10. Tessa Thompson, Hedda (-1)

Best Actor

1. Leonardo DiCaprio, One Battle After Another (-)

2. Timothée Chalamet, Marty Supreme (-)

3. Ethan Hawke, Blue Moon (+1)

4. Wagner Moura, The Secret Agent (-1)

5. Joel Edgerton, Train Dreams (+4)
   —

6. Michael B. Jordan, Sinners (+2)

7. Jeremy Allen White, Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere (-3)

8. George Clooney, Jay Kelly (-2)

9. Dwayne Johnson, The Smashing Machine (NEW)

10. Oscar Isaac, Frankenstein (NEW)

DROPPED
Brendan Fraser, Rental Family (-6)
Will Arnett, Is This Thing On? (-1)

Best Supporting Actress

1. Teyana Taylor, One Battle After Another (+2)

2. Amy Madigan, Weapons (+5)

3. Elle Fanning, Sentimental Value (-2)

4. Odessa A'zion, Marty Supreme (+4)

5. Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas, Sentimental Value (-1)
   —

6. Ariana Grande, Wicked: For Good (-4)

7. Wunmi Mosaku, Sinners (NEW)

8. Emily Blunt, The Smashing Machine (NEW)

9. Glenn Close, Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery (-)

10. Gwyneth Paltrow, Marty Supreme (-4)

DROPPED
Regina Hall, One Battle After Another (-6)
Jamie Lee Curtis, Ella McCay (-1)

Best Supporting Actor

1. Benicio del Toro, One Battle After Another (+3)

2. Stellan Skarsgård, Sentimental Value (-1)

3. Paul Mescal, Hamnet (-1)

4. Sean Penn, One Battle After Another (-1)

5. Jacob Elordi, Frankenstein (+2)
   —

6. Andrew Scott, Blue Moon (+4)

7. William H. Macy, Train Dreams (+2)

8. Adam Sandler, Jay Kelly (-2)

9. Delroy Lindo, Sinners (-1)

10. Jeremy Strong, Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere (-5)

Best Original Screenplay

1. Ronald Bronstein and Josh Safdie, Marty Supreme (+1)

2. Joachim Trier and Eskil Vogt, Sentimental Value (-1)

3. Jafar Panahi, Nader Saeivar, Shadmehr Rastin and Mehdi Mahmoudian, It Was Just an Accident (-)

4. Ryan Coogler, Sinners (-)

5. Kleber Mendonça Filho, The Secret Agent (+1)
   —

6. Noah Baumbach and Emily Mortimer, Jay Kelly (-1)

7. Robert Kaplow, Blue Moon (-)

8. Eva Victor, Sorry, Baby (NEW)

9. Zach Cregger, Weapons (NEW)

10. Mary Bronstein, If I Had Legs I’d Kick You (NEW)

DROPPED
Will Arnett, Mark Chappell, Bradley Cooper and John Bishop, Is This Thing On? (-3)
Brady Corbet and Mona Fastvold, The Testament of Ann Lee (-2)
Hikari and Stephen Blahut, Rental Family (-1)

Best Adapted Screenplay

1. Paul Thomas Anderson, One Battle After Another (-)

2. Maggie O’Farrell and Chloe Zhao, Hamnet (-)

3. Lee Ja-hye, Lee Kyoung-mi, Park Chan-wook and Don McKellar, No Other Choice (+1)

4. Guillermo del Toro, Frankenstein (+2)

5. Clint Bentley and Greg Kwedar, Train Dreams (-)
   —

6. Will Tracy, Bugonia (+1)

7. Rian Johnson, Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery (-4)

8. Craig Brewer, Song Sung Blue (-)

9. James Vanderbilt, Nuremberg (+1)

10. Nia DaCosta, Hedda (-1)

Best Animated Feature

1. KPop Demon Hunters (-)

2. Zootopia 2 (-)

3. Little Amélie or the Character of Rain (-)

4. Arco (-)

5. Elio (-)
   —

6. Ne Zha 2 (-)

7. In Your Dreams (-)

8. Scarlet (-)

9. A Magnificent Life (-)

10. The SpongeBob Movie: Search for SquarePants (NEW)

DROPPED
The Bad Guys 2 (-1)

Best Animated Short

1. Éiru

2. The Girl Who Cried Pearls

3. The Shyness of Trees

4. Snow Bear

5. The Night Boots
   —

6. Hurikán

7. The Three Sisters

8. Butterfly (Papillon)

9. The Quinta’s Ghost

10. I Died in Irpin

Best Documentary Feature

1. The Perfect Neighbor (-)

2. Come See Me in the Good Light (NEW)

3. 2000 Meters to Andriivka (-)

4. Apocalypse in the Tropics (-)

5. The Alabama Solution (+2)
   —

6. Seeds (+2)

7. Mr. Nobody Against Putin (+2)

8. Cover-Up (NEW)

9. Folktales (NEW)

10. Mistress Dispeller (NEW)

DROPPED
The Tale of Silyan (-9)
Orwell 2+2=5 (-6)
The Librarians (-5)
The Eyes of Ghana (-1)

Best Documentary Short

1. Armed Only with a Camera

2. All the Walls Came Down

3. On Healing Land, Birds Perch

4. Rovina’s Choice

5. Bad Hostage
   —

6. Last Days on Lake Trinity

7. Chasing Time

8. Classroom 4

9. We Were the Scenery

10. Heartbeat

Best Live Action Short

1. Beyond Silence

2. Amarela

3. Rock, Paper, Scissors

4. Ado

5. The Pearl Comb
   —

6. A Friend of Dorothy

7. The Boy with White Skin

8. Dad’s Not Home

9. Butcher’s Stain

10. The Singers

Best International Feature

1. Sentimental Value (Norway) (-)

2. It Was Just an Accident (France) (-)

3. The Secret Agent (Brazil) (-)

4. No Other Choice (South Korea) (-)

5. Sirāt (Spain) (+5)
   —

6. Left-Handed Girl (Taiwan) (-1)

7. The President’s Cake (Iraq) (-1)

8. The Voice of Hind Rajab (Tunisia) (-)

9. Sound of Falling (Germany) (-)

10. All That’s Left of You (Jordan) (NEW)

DROPPED
Mr. Nobody Against Putin (Denmark) (-4)

Best Casting

1. Cassandra Kulukundis, One Battle After Another (-)

2. Francine Maisler, Sinners (-)

3. Jennifer Venditti, Marty Supreme (+1)

4. Nina Gold, Hamnet (-1)

5. Yngvill Kolset Haga and Avy Kaufman, Sentimental Value (-)
   —

6. Gabriel Domingues, The Secret Agent (NEW)

7. Allison Jones, Weapons (+3)

8. Robin D. Cook, Frankenstein (NEW)

9. Tiffany Little Canfield and Bernard Telsey, Wicked: For Good (-)

10. Nadia Acimi and Luis Bértolo, Sirât (NEW)

DROPPED
Bret Howe and Mary Vernieu, Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery (-6)
Jafar Panahi, It Was Just an Accident (-4)
Douglas Aibel and Nina Gold, Jay Kelly (-3)

Best Cinematography

1. Autumn Durald Arkapaw, Sinners (-)

2. Dan Laustsen, Frankenstein (-)

3. Michael Bauman, One Battle After Another (-)

4. Lukasz Zal, Hamnet (-)

5. Darius Khondji, Marty Supreme (-)
   —

6. Adolfo Veloso, Train Dreams (+2)

7. Mauro Herce, Sirât (NEW)

8. Claudio Miranda, F1 (-1)

9. Robbie Ryan, Bugonia (+1)

10. David Chambille, Nouvelle Vague (-1)

DROPPED
Russell Carpenter, Avatar: Fire and Ash (-3)

Best Costume Design

1. Ruth E. Carter, Sinners (+1)

2. Paul Tazewell, Wicked: For Good (-1)

3. Kate Hawley, Frankenstein (-)

4. Miyako Bellizzi, Marty Supreme (+4)

5. Malgosia Turzanska, Hamnet (-1)
   —

6. Colleen Atwood, One Battle After Another (+1)

7. Kumiko Ogawa, Kokuho (NEW)

8. Malgorzata Karpiuk, The Testament of Ann Lee (-3)

9. Lindsay Pugh, Hedda (-3)

10. Colleen Atwood and Christine L. Cantella, Kiss of the Spider Woman (-1)

DROPPED
Pascaline Chavanne, Nouvelle Vague (-1)

Best Film Editing

1. Andy Jurgensen, One Battle After Another (-)

2. Ronald Bronstein, Marty Supreme (+1)

3. Michael P. Shawver, Sinners (-1)

4. Evan Schiff, Frankenstein (+2)

5. Chloé Zhao and Affonso Gonçalves, Hamnet (-)
   —

6. Stephen Mirrione, F1 (-2)

7. Amir Etminan, It Was Just an Accident (NEW)

8. Cristóbal Fernández, Sirât (NEW)

9. Olivier Bugge Coutté, Sentimental Value (-1)

10. James Cameron, Nicolas De Toth, John Refoua, David Brenner and Stephen E. Rivkin, Avatar: Fire and Ash (-3)

DROPPED
Myron Kerstein, Wicked: For Good (-2)
Kirk Baxter, A House of Dynamite (-1)

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

1. The team from Frankenstein (-)

2. The team from Wicked: For Good (-)

3. The team from Sinners (-)

4. The team from The Smashing Machine (-)

5. The team from Kokuho (NEW)
   —

6. The team from Nuremberg (NEW)

7. The team from One Battle After Another (+2)

8. The team from Marty Supreme (NEW)

9. The team from The Ugly Stepsister (NEW)

10. The team from The Alto Knights (NEW)

DROPPED
The team from Weapons (-6)
The team from Kiss of the Spider Woman (-5)
The team from Bugonia (-3)
The team from Hamnet (-2)
The team from Song Sung Blue (-1)

Best Original Score

1. Jonny Greenwood, One Battle After Another (-)

2. Ludwig Göransson, Sinners (-)

3. Max Richter, Hamnet (-)

4. Alexandre Desplat, Frankenstein (-)

5. Daniel Lopatin, Marty Supreme (+3)
   —

6. Bryce Dessner, Train Dreams (NEW)

7. Kangding Ray, Sirât (NEW)

8. Stephen Schwartz and John Powell, Wicked: For Good (-2)

9. Nicholas Britell, Jay Kelly (-2)

10. Hildur Guðnadóttir, Hedda (-1)

DROPPED
Daniel Blumberg, The Testament of Ann Lee (-6)
Hania Rani, Sentimental Value (-1)

Best Original Song

1. “Dear Me,” Diane Warren: Relentless (-)

2. “Golden,” KPop Demon Hunters (-)

3. “I Lied to You,” Sinners (-)

4. “The Girl in the Bubble,” Wicked: For Good (-)

5. “Last Time (I Seen the Sun),” Sinners (+1)
   —

6. “Train Dreams,” Train Dreams (+2)

7. “Salt Then Sour Then Sweet,” Come See Me in the Good Light (NEW)

8. “No Place Like Home,” Wicked: For Good (-1)

9. “Highest 2 Lowest,” Highest 2 Lowest (NEW)

10. “Dream as One,” Avatar: Fire and Ash (-1)

DROPPED
”Clothed by the Sun,” The Testament of Ann Lee (-6)
“Zoo,” Zootopia 2 (-1)

Best Production Design

1. Tamara Deverell and Shane Vieau, Frankenstein (+1)

2. Hannah Beachler and Monique Champagne, Sinners (+1)

3. Nathan Crowley and Lee Sandales, Wicked: For Good (-2)

4. Jack Fisk and Adam Willis, Marty Supreme (+2)

5. Fiona Crombie and Alice Felton, Hamnet (-)
   —

6. Florencia Martin and Anthony Carlino, One Battle After Another (+1)

7. Dylan Cole, Ben Procter and Vanessa Cole, Avatar: Fire and Ash (-3)

8. Kasra Farahani and Jille Azis, The Fantastic Four: First Steps (NEW)

9. Katia Wyszkop, Nouvelle Vague (-)

10. Cara Bower and Stella Fox, Hedda (-)

DROPPED
Sam Bader, Lauren Doss and Mercédesz Nagyváradi, The Testament of Ann Lee (-3)

Best Sound

1. The team from One Battle After Another (-)

2. The team from Sinners (+2)

3. The team from Frankenstein (+3)

4. The team from Avatar: Fire and Ash (-2)

5. The team from F1 (-)
   —

6. The team from Wicked: For Good (-3)

7. The team from Sirât (NEW)

8. The team from Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning (+1)

9. The team from Springsteen: Deliver Me From Nowhere (+1)

10. The team from Superman (NEW)

DROPPED
The team from Marty Supreme (-4)
The team from Warfare (-3)

Best Visual Effects

1. The team from Avatar: Fire and Ash (-)

2. The team from Frankenstein (+1)

3. The team from Sinners (+1)

4. The team from Wicked: For Good (-2)

5. The team from F1 (-)
   —

6. The team from Superman (-)

7. The team from Tron: Ares (+3)

8. The team from Jurassic World Rebirth (NEW)

9. The team from The Lost Bus (NEW)

10. The team from The Electric State (NEW)

DROPPED
The team from How to Train Your Dragon (-4)
The team from The Fantastic Four: First Steps (-3)
The team from Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning (-2)

2025 Oscar Nomination Predictions (November)

Updated Oscar nom predictions before the precursor season takes off with New York Film Critics Circle on December 2 - including how many spots a contender has moved up or down since my October hunches:

Best Picture

1. One Battle After Another (-)

2. Hamnet (-)

3. Sentimental Value (-)

4. Sinners (-)

5. Marty Supreme (+1)

6. It Was Just an Accident (+1)

7. The Secret Agent (+1)

8. Avatar: Fire and Ash (+1)

9. Wicked: For Good (-4)

10. Frankenstein (+3)
    —

11. Jay Kelly (-)

12. Train Dreams (NEW)

13. No Other Choice (-1)

14. Rental Family (-)

15. Song Sung Blue (NEW)

DROPPED
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere (-6)
Bugonia (-1)

Best Director

1. Paul Thomas Anderson, One Battle After Another (-)

2. Chloé Zhao, Hamnet (-)

3. Joachim Trier, Sentimental Value (-)

4. Jafar Panah, It Was Just an Accident (+1)

5. Josh Safdie, Marty Supreme (+3)
   —

6. Ryan Coogler, Sinners (-2)

7. Kleber Mendonça Filho, The Secret Agent (-1)

8. Park Chan-wook, No Other Choice (-1)

9. Guillermo del Toro, Frankenstein (NEW)

10. Craig Brewer, Song Sung Blue (NEW)

DROPPED
Scott Cooper, Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere (-2)
Jon M. Chu, Wicked: For Good (-1)

Best Actress

1. Jessie Buckley, Hamnet (-)

2. Renate Reinsve, Sentimental Value (+1)

3. Cynthia Erivo, Wicked: For Good (-1)

4. Amanda Seyfried, The Testament of Ann Lee (+1)

5. Emma Stone, Bugonia (-1)
   —

6. Chase Infiniti, One Battle After Another (-)

7. Kate Hudson, Song Sung Blue (NEW)

8. Rose Byrne, If I Had Legs I’d Kick You (-)

9. Tessa Thompson, Hedda (NEW)

10. Jennifer Lawrence, Die My Love (-3)

DROPPED
Sydney Sweeney, Christy (-2)
Julia Roberts, After the Hunt (-1)

Best Actor

1. Leonardo DiCaprio, One Battle After Another (-)

2. Timothée Chalamet, Marty Supreme (-)

3. Wagner Moura, The Secret Agent (+1)

4. Jeremy Allen White, Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere (-1)

5. Brendan Fraser, Rental Family (-)
   —

6. George Clooney, Jay Kelly (-)

7. Ethan Hawke, Blue Moon (+2)

8. Michael B. Jordan, Sinners (-1)

9. Joel Edgerton, Train Dreams (NEW)

10. Will Arnett, Is This Thing On? (-)

DROPPED
Jesse Plemons, Bugonia (-3)

Best Supporting Actress

1. Elle Fanning, Sentimental Value (+1)

2. Ariana Grande, Wicked: For Good (-1)

3. Teyana Taylor, One Battle After Another (+1)

4. Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas, Sentimental Value (-1)

5. Regina Hall, One Battle After Another (-)
   —

6. Gwyneth Paltrow, Marty Supreme (+1)

7. Amy Madigan, Weapons (+2)

8. Odessa A'zion, Marty Supreme (-)

9. Glenn Close, Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery (-3)

10. Jamie Lee Curtis, Ella McCay (-)

Best Supporting Actor

1. Stellan Skarsgård, Sentimental Value (-)

2. Paul Mescal, Hamnet (-)

3. Sean Penn, One Battle After Another (-)

4. Benicio del Toro, One Battle After Another (+1)

5. Jeremy Strong, Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere (-1)
   —

6. Adam Sandler, Jay Kelly (-)

7. Jacob Elordi, Frankenstein (-)

8. Delroy Lindo, Sinners (+1)

9. William H. Macy, Train Dreams (NEW)

10. Andrew Scott, Blue Moon (NEW)

DROPPED
Jonathan Bailey, Wicked: For Good (-3)
Josh O’Connor, Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery (-1)

Best Original Screenplay

1. Joachim Trier and Eskil Vogt, Sentimental Value (-)

2. Ronald Bronstein and Josh Safdie, Marty Supreme (-)

3. Jafar Panahi, Nader Saeivar, Shadmehr Rastin and Mehdi Mahmoudian, It Was Just an Accident (-)

4. Ryan Coogler, Sinners (-)

5. Noah Baumbach and Emily Mortimer, Jay Kelly (-)
   —

6. Kleber Mendonça Filho, The Secret Agent (-)

7. Robert Kaplow, Blue Moon (+2)

8. Will Arnett, Mark Chappell, Bradley Cooper and John Bishop, Is This Thing On? (-1)

9. Brady Corbet and Mona Fastvold, The Testament of Ann Lee (+1)

10. Hikari and Stephen Blahut, Rental Family (-2)

Best Adapted Screenplay

1. Paul Thomas Anderson, One Battle After Another (-)

2. Maggie O’Farrell and Chloe Zhao, Hamnet (-)

3. Rian Johnson, Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery (-)

4. Lee Ja-hye, Lee Kyoung-mi, Park Chan-wook and Don McKellar, No Other Choice (-)

5. Clint Bentley and Greg Kwedar, Train Dreams (+1)
   —

6. Guillermo del Toro, Frankenstein (+4)

7. Will Tracy, Bugonia (-)

8. Craig Brewer, Song Sung Blue (NEW)

9. Nia DaCosta, Hedda (-)

10. James Vanderbilt, Nuremberg (NEW)

DROPPED
Scott Cooper, Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere (-6)
Dana Fox and Winnie Holzman, Wicked: For Good (-3)

Best Animated Feature

1. KPop Demon Hunters (-)

2. Zootopia 2 (-)

3. Little Amélie or the Character of Rain (-)

4. Arco (-)

5. Elio (-)
   —

6. Ne Zha 2 (-)

7. In Your Dreams (-)

8. Scarlet (+1)

9. A Magnificent Life (+1)

10. The Bad Guys 2 (-2)

Best Documentary Feature

1. The Perfect Neighbor (-)

2. The Tale of Silyan (-)

3. 2000 Meters to Andriivka (-)

4. Apocalypse in the Tropics (-)

5. Orwell 2+2=5 (-)
   —

6. The Librarians (-)

7. The Alabama Solution (-)

8. Seeds (-)

9. Mr. Nobody Against Putin (-)

10. The Eyes of Ghana (-)

Best International Feature

1. Sentimental Value (Norway) (-)

2. It Was Just an Accident (France) (-)

3. The Secret Agent (Brazil) (-)

4. No Other Choice (South Korea) (-)

5. Left-Handed Girl (Taiwan) (-)
   —

6. The President’s Cake (Iraq) (-)

7. Mr. Nobody Against Putin (Denmark) (-)

8. The Voice of Hind Rajab (Tunisia) (-)

9. Sound of Falling (Germany) (-)

10. Sirāt (Spain) (-)

Best Casting

1. Cassandra Kulukundis, One Battle After Another (-)

2. Francine Maisler, Sinners (-)

3. Nina Gold, Hamnet (+2)

4. Jennifer Venditti, Marty Supreme (+3)

5. Bret Howe and Mary Vernieu, Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery (-2)
   —

6. Yngvill Kolset Haga and Avy Kaufman, Sentimental Value (-2)

7. Jafar Panahi, It Was Just an Accident (+2)

8. Douglas Aibel and Nina Gold, Jay Kelly (+2)

9. Tiffany Little Canfield and Bernard Telsey, Wicked: For Good (-1)

10. Allison Jones, Weapons (NEW)

DROPPED
Francine Maisler, Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere (-5)

Best Cinematography

1. Autumn Durald Arkapaw, Sinners (-)

2. Dan Laustsen, Frankenstein (-)

3. Michael Bauman, One Battle After Another (-)

4. Lukasz Zal, Hamnet (-)

5. Darius Khondji, Marty Supreme (-)
   —

6. Adolfo Veloso, Train Dreams (+2)

7. Claudio Miranda, F1 (+2)

8. Russell Carpenter, Avatar: Fire and Ash (+2)

9. David Chambille, Nouvelle Vague (-3)

10. Robbie Ryan, Bugonia (-3)

Best Costume Design

1. Paul Tazewell, Wicked: For Good (-)

2. Ruth E. Carter, Sinners (-)

3. Kate Hawley, Frankenstein (-)

4. Malgosia Turzanska, Hamnet (-)

5. Malgorzata Karpiuk, The Testament of Ann Lee (-)
   —

6. Lindsay Pugh, Hedda (-)

7. Colleen Atwood, One Battle After Another (-)

8. Miyako Bellizzi, Marty Supreme (-)

9. Colleen Atwood and Christine L. Cantella, Kiss of the Spider Woman (-)

10. Pascaline Chavanne, Nouvelle Vague (-)

Best Film Editing

1. Andy Jurgensen, One Battle After Another (-)

2. Michael P. Shawver, Sinners (-)

3. Ronald Bronstein, Marty Supreme (-)

4. Stephen Mirrione, F1 (-)

5. Chloé Zhao and Affonso Gonçalves, Hamnet (-)
   —

6. Evan Schiff, Frankenstein (+2)

7. James Cameron, Nicolas De Toth, John Refoua, David Brenner and Stephen E. Rivkin, Avatar: Fire and Ash (+3)

8. Olivier Bugge Coutté, Sentimental Value (-2)

9. Myron Kerstein, Wicked: For Good (-2)

10. Kirk Baxter, A House of Dynamite (-1)

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

1. The team from Wicked: For Good (-)

2. The team from Frankenstein (-)

3. The team from Sinners (-)

4. The team from The Smashing Machine (-)

5. The team from Weapons (+2)
   —

6. The team from Kiss of the Spider Woman (+2)

7. The team from One Battle After Another (+2)

8. The team from Bugonia (-3)

9. The team from Hamnet (+1)

10. The team from Song Sung Blue (NEW)

DROPPED
The team from Christy (-5)

Best Original Score

1. Jonny Greenwood, One Battle After Another (-)

2. Ludwig Göransson, Sinners (-)

3. Max Richter, Hamnet (-)

4. Alexandre Desplat, Frankenstein (+1)

5. Daniel Blumberg, The Testament of Ann Lee (+2)
   —

6. Stephen Schwartz and John Powell, Wicked: For Good (-2)

7. Nicholas Britell, Jay Kelly (-1)

8. Daniel Lopatin, Marty Supreme (+2)

9. Hildur Guðnadóttir, Hedda (-)

10. Hania Rani, Sentimental Value (-2)

Best Original Song

1. “Dear Me,” Diane Warren: Relentless (-)

2. “Golden,” KPop Demon Hunters (-)

3. “I Lied to You,” Sinners (+1)

4. “The Girl in the Bubble,” Wicked: For Good (+2)

5. “Clothed by the Sun,” The Testament of Ann Lee (+2)
   —

6. “Last Time (I Seen the Sun),” Sinners (NEW)

7. “No Place Like Home,” Wicked: For Good (-4)

8. “Train Dreams,” Train Dreams (+2)

9. “Dream as One,” Avatar: Fire and Ash (NEW)

10. “Zoo,” Zootopia 2 (-1)

DROPPED
“Highest 2 Lowest,” Highest 2 Lowest (-6)
“Lose My Mind,” F1 (-3)

Best Production Design

1. Nathan Crowley and Lee Sandales, Wicked: For Good (-)

2. Tamara Deverell and Shane Vieau, Frankenstein (+1)

3. Hannah Beachler and Monique Champagne, Sinners (-1)

4. Dylan Cole, Ben Procter and Vanessa Cole, Avatar: Fire and Ash (-)

5. Fiona Crombie and Alice Felton, Hamnet (-)
   —

6. Jack Fisk and Adam Willis, Marty Supreme (-)

7. Florencia Martin and Anthony Carlino, One Battle After Another (-)

8. Sam Bader, Lauren Doss and Mercédesz Nagyváradi, The Testament of Ann Lee (NEW)

9. Katia Wyszkop, Nouvelle Vague (-1)

10. Cara Bower and Stella Fox, Hedda (-1)

DROPPED
Scott Chambliss and Andrew Baseman, Kiss of the Spider Woman (-1)

Best Sound

1. The team from One Battle After Another (-)

2. The team from Avatar: Fire and Ash (+1)

3. The team from Wicked: For Good (-1)

4. The team from Sinners (-)

5. The team from F1 (-)
   —

6. The team from Frankenstein (+1)

7. The team from Marty Supreme (+1)

8. The team from Warfare (+1)

9. The team from Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning (+1)

10. The team from Springsteen: Deliver Me From Nowhere (-4)

Best Visual Effects

1. The team from Avatar: Fire and Ash (-)

2. The team from Wicked: For Good (-)

3. The team from Frankenstein (+2)

4. The team from Sinners (-1)

5. The team from F1 (-1)
   —

6. The team from Superman (-)

7. The team from How to Train Your Dragon (-)

8. The team from The Fantastic Four: First Steps (+1)

9. The team from Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning (NEW)

10. The team from Tron: Ares (-)

DROPPED
The team from The Running Man (-3)

Best Animated Short

TBD

Best Documentary Short

TBD

Best Live Action Short

TBD

2025 Oscar Nomination Predictions (October)

From most to least likely to earn a nomination:

Best Picture

1. One Battle After Another

2. Hamnet

3. Sentimental Value

4. Sinners

5. Wicked: For Good

6. Marty Supreme

7. It Was Just an Accident

8. The Secret Agent

9. Avatar: Fire and Ash

10. Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
    —

11. Jay Kelly

12. No Other Choice

13. Frankenstein

14. Rental Family

15. Bugonia

Best Director

1. Paul Thomas Anderson, One Battle After Another

2. Chloé Zhao, Hamnet

3. Joachim Trier, Sentimental Value

4. Ryan Coogler, Sinners

5. Jafar Panah, It Was Just an Accident
   —

6. Kleber Mendonça Filho, The Secret Agent

7. Park Chan-wook, No Other Choice

8. Josh Safdie, Marty Supreme

9. Scott Cooper, Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere

10. Jon M. Chu, Wicked: For Good

Best Actress

1. Jessie Buckley, Hamnet

2. Cynthia Erivo, Wicked: For Good

3. Renate Reinsve, Sentimental Value

4. Emma Stone, Bugonia

5. Amanda Seyfried, The Testament of Ann Lee
   —

6. Chase Infiniti, One Battle After Another

7. Jennifer Lawrence, Die My Love

8. Rose Byrne, If I Had Legs I’d Kick You

9. Sydney Sweeney, Christy

10. Julia Roberts, After the Hunt

Best Actor

1. Leonardo DiCaprio, One Battle After Another

2. Timothée Chalamet, Marty Supreme

3. Jeremy Allen White, Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere

4. Wagner Moura, The Secret Agent

5. Brendan Fraser, Rental Family
   —

6. George Clooney, Jay Kelly

7. Michael B. Jordan, Sinners

8. Jesse Plemons, Bugonia

9. Ethan Hawke, Blue Moon

10. Will Arnett, Is This Thing On?

Best Supporting Actress

1. Ariana Grande, Wicked: For Good

2. Elle Fanning, Sentimental Value

3. Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas, Sentimental Value

4. Teyana Taylor, One Battle After Another

5. Regina Hall, One Battle After Another
   —

6. Glenn Close, Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery

7. Gwyneth Paltrow, Marty Supreme

8. Odessa A'zion, Marty Supreme

9. Amy Madigan, Weapons

10. Jamie Lee Curtis, Ella McCay

Best Supporting Actor

1. Stellan Skarsgård, Sentimental Value

2. Paul Mescal, Hamnet

3. Sean Penn, One Battle After Another

4. Jeremy Strong, Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere

5. Benicio del Toro, One Battle After Another
   —

6. Adam Sandler, Jay Kelly

7. Jacob Elordi, Frankenstein

8. Jonathan Bailey, Wicked: For Good

9. Delroy Lindo, Sinners

10. Josh O’Connor, Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery

Best Original Screenplay

1. Joachim Trier and Eskil Vogt, Sentimental Value

2. Ronald Bronstein and Josh Safdie, Marty Supreme

3. Jafar Panahi, Nader Saeivar, Shadmehr Rastin and Mehdi Mahmoudian, It Was Just an Accident

4. Ryan Coogler, Sinners

5. Noah Baumbach and Emily Mortimer, Jay Kelly
   —

6. Kleber Mendonça Filho, The Secret Agent

7. Will Arnett, Mark Chappell, Bradley Cooper and John Bishop, Is This Thing On?

8. Hikari and Stephen Blahut, Rental Family

9. Robert Kaplow, Blue Moon

10. Brady Corbet and Mona Fastvold, The Testament of Ann Lee

Best Adapted Screenplay

1. Paul Thomas Anderson, One Battle After Another

2. Maggie O’Farrell and Chloe Zhao, Hamnet

3. Rian Johnson, Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery

4. Lee Ja-hye, Lee Kyoung-mi, Park Chan-wook and Don McKellar, No Other Choice

5. Scott Cooper, Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
   —

6. Clint Bentley and Greg Kwedar, Train Dreams

7. Will Tracy, Bugonia

8. Dana Fox and Winnie Holzman, Wicked: For Good

9. Nia DaCosta, Hedda

10. Guillermo del Toro, Frankenstein

Best Animated Feature

1. KPop Demon Hunters

2. Zootopia 2

3. Little Amélie or the Character of Rain

4. Arco

5. Elio
   —

6. Ne Zha 2

7. In Your Dreams

8. The Bad Guys 2

9. Scarlet

10. A Magnificent Life

Best Documentary Feature

1. The Perfect Neighbor

2. The Tale of Silyan

3. 2000 Meters to Andriivka

4. Apocalypse in the Tropics

5. Orwell 2+2=5
   —

6. The Librarians

7. The Alabama Solution

8. Seeds

9. Mr. Nobody Against Putin

10. The Eyes of Ghana

Best International Feature

1. Sentimental Value (Norway)

2. It Was Just an Accident (France)

3. The Secret Agent (Brazil)

4. No Other Choice (South Korea)

5. Left-Handed Girl (Taiwan)
   —

6. The President’s Cake (Iraq)

7. Mr. Nobody Against Putin (Denmark)

8. The Voice of Hind Rajab (Tunisia)

9. Sound of Falling (Germany)

10. Sirāt (Spain)

Best Casting

1. Cassandra Kulukundis, One Battle After Another

2. Francine Maisler, Sinners

3. Bret Howe and Mary Vernieu, Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery

4. Yngvill Kolset Haga and Avy Kaufman, Sentimental Value

5. Nina Gold, Hamnet
   —

6. Francine Maisler, Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere

7. Jennifer Venditti, Marty Supreme

8. Tiffany Little Canfield and Bernard Telsey, Wicked: For Good

9. Jafar Panahi, It Was Just an Accident

10. Douglas Aibel and Nina Gold, Jay Kelly

Best Cinematography

1. Autumn Durald Arkapaw, Sinners

2. Dan Laustsen, Frankenstein

3. Michael Bauman, One Battle After Another

4. Lukasz Zal, Hamnet

5. Darius Khondji, Marty Supreme
   —

6. David Chambille, Nouvelle Vague

7. Robbie Ryan, Bugonia

8. Adolfo Veloso, Train Dreams

9. Claudio Miranda, F1

10. Russell Carpenter, Avatar: Fire and Ash

Best Costume Design

1. Paul Tazewell, Wicked: For Good

2. Ruth E. Carter, Sinners

3. Kate Hawley, Frankenstein

4. Malgosia Turzanska, Hamnet

5. Malgorzata Karpiuk, The Testament of Ann Lee
   —

6. Lindsay Pugh, Hedda

7. Colleen Atwood, One Battle After Another

8. Miyako Bellizzi, Marty Supreme

9. Colleen Atwood and Christine L. Cantella, Kiss of the Spider Woman

10. Pascaline Chavanne, Nouvelle Vague

Best Film Editing

1. Andy Jurgensen, One Battle After Another

2. Michael P. Shawver, Sinners

3. Ronald Bronstein, Marty Supreme

4. Stephen Mirrione, F1

5. Chloé Zhao and Affonso Gonçalves, Hamnet
   —

6. Olivier Bugge Coutté, Sentimental Value

7. Myron Kerstein, Wicked: For Good

8. Evan Schiff, Frankenstein

9. Kirk Baxter, A House of Dynamite

10. James Cameron, Nicolas De Toth, John Refoua, David Brenner and Stephen E. Rivkin, Avatar: Fire and Ash

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

1. The team from Wicked: For Good

2. The team from Frankenstein

3. The team from Sinners

4. The team from The Smashing Machine

5. The team from Bugonia
   —

6. The team from Christy

7. The team from Weapons

8. The team from Kiss of the Spider Woman

9. The team from One Battle After Another

10. The team from Hamnet

Best Original Score

1. Jonny Greenwood, One Battle After Another

2. Ludwig Göransson, Sinners

3. Max Richter, Hamnet

4. Stephen Schwartz and John Powell, Wicked: For Good

5. Alexandre Desplat, Frankenstein
   —

6. Nicholas Britell, Jay Kelly

7. Daniel Blumberg, The Testament of Ann Lee

8. Hania Rani, Sentimental Value

9. Hildur Guðnadóttir, Hedda

10. Daniel Lopatin, Marty Supreme

Best Original Song

1. “Dear Me,” Diane Warren: Relentless

2. “Golden,” KPop Demon Hunters

3. “No Place Like Home,” Wicked: For Good

4. “I Lied to You,” Sinners

5. “Highest 2 Lowest,” Highest 2 Lowest
   —

6. “The Girl in the Bubble,” Wicked: For Good

7. “Clothed by the Sun,” The Testament of Ann Lee

8. “Lose My Mind,” F1

9. “Zoo,” Zootopia 2

10. “Train Dreams,” Train Dreams

Best Production Design

1. Nathan Crowley and Lee Sandales, Wicked: For Good

2. Hannah Beachler and Monique Champagne, Sinners

3. Tamara Deverell and Shane Vieau, Frankenstein

4. Dylan Cole, Ben Procter and Vanessa Cole, Avatar: Fire and Ash

5. Fiona Crombie and Alice Felton, Hamnet
   —

6. Jack Fisk and Adam Willis, Marty Supreme

7. Florencia Martin and Anthony Carlino, One Battle After Another

8. Katia Wyszkop, Nouvelle Vague

9. Cara Bower and Stella Fox, Hedda

10. Scott Chambliss and Andrew Baseman, Kiss of the Spider Woman

Best Sound

1. The team from One Battle After Another

2. The team from Wicked: For Good

3. The team from Avatar: Fire and Ash

4. The team from Sinners

5. The team from F1
   —

6. The team from Springsteen: Deliver Me From Nowhere

7. The team from Frankenstein

8. The team from Marty Supreme

9. The team from Warfare

10. The team from Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning

Best Visual Effects

1. The team from Avatar: Fire and Ash

2. The team from Wicked: For Good

3. The team from Sinners

4. The team from F1

5. The team from Frankenstein
   —

6. The team from Superman

7. The team from How to Train Your Dragon

8. The team from The Running Man

9. The team from The Fantastic Four: First Steps

10. The team from Tron: Ares

Best Animated Short

TBD

Best Documentary Short

TBD

Best Live Action Short

TBD