2024 Oscar Nomination Predictions

From most to least likely to score a nomination:

Best Picture

1. Emilia Pérez

2. The Brutalist

3. Conclave

4. A Complete Unknown

5. Wicked

6. Anora

7. Dune: Part Two

8. A Real Pain

9. Sing Sing

10. The Substance
    —

11. September 5

12. I’m Still Here

13. Nickel Boys

14. All We Imagine as Light

15. Challengers

I’m feeling reasonably confident about the top eight here. Sing Sing’s constant underperformance this awards season continued with a PGA snub but I still slightly prefer its odds over The Substance, a film that’s had a far more robust precursors run than expected, yet still needs to contend with the notorious AMPAS aversion to horror. In a lineup of 10, however, I think The Substance can land a slot, especially with the likes of All We Imagine as Light and Nickel Boys not the most formidable of forces. At this point, if there’s a dark horse, it’s probably September 5, which has gone nowhere commercially but does have the PGA nom, suggesting at least some industry support.

Best Director

1. Brady Corbet, The Brutalist

2. Jacques Audiard, Emilia Pérez

3. Edward Berger, Conclave

4. Sean Baker, Anora

5. James Mangold, A Complete Unknown
   —

6. Payal Kapadia, All We Imagine as Light

7. Coralie Fargeat, The Substance

8. Denis Villeneuve, Dune: Part Two

9. Mike Leigh, Hard Truths

10. John M. Chu, Wicked

There is where I start to differ with other Oscar prognosticators in terms of The Substance strength. It’s my favorite film of the year and I sure hope Fargeat scores multiple nominations, including one here. But A Complete Unknown’s awards season buzz seemingly only strengthened during the AMPAS voting period, including a surprise DGA nom for Mangold (who has yet to surface as a nominee in this category). Perhaps, hopefully, my nervousness is misguided and Fargeat will, as most expect, make the cut. Or, if it’s not Fargeat, it’s an exciting curveball like Kapadia or Leigh. Alas, my gut says A Complete Unknown may be in for an overperformance.

Best Actress

1. Demi Moore, The Substance

2. Mikey Madison, Anora

3. Karla Sofía Gascón, Emilia Pérez

4. Cynthia Erivo, Wicked

5. Fernanda Torres, I’m Still Here
   —

6. Marianne Jean-Baptiste, Hard Truths

7. Pamela Anderson, The Last Showgirl

8. Angelina Jolie, Maria

9. Nicole Kidman, Babygirl

10. Kate Winslet, Lee

I know, I know - the Golden Globes have zero crossover with AMPAS in terms of voters. Statistically, however, only two winners of the Drama Actress Golden Globe have not scored Oscar nominations. One was Revolutionary Road’s Kate Winslet, who instead earned a nomination for The Reader that year. The other was Madame Sousatzka’s Shirley MacLaine, who was part of a three-way tie at the 1988 Globes, with two of her co-winners ultimately making the Oscar cut. That’s it. So, despite incredibly formidable bids by Jean-Baptiste and Anderson especially, I can’t fathom Torres missing, especially with Sony Pictures Classics running a gangbusters campaign for her. Maybe it’s even Erivo who drops in the event someone else makes it?

Best Actor

1. Adrien Brody, The Brutalist

2. Timothée Chalamet, A Complete Unknown

3. Ralph Fiennes, Conclave

4. Colman Domingo, Sing Sing

5. Daniel Craig, Queer
   —

6. Sebastian Stan, A Different Man

7. Sebastian Stan, The Apprentice

8. Hugh Grant, Heretic

9. Jesse Eisenberg, A Real Pain

10. Glen Powell, Hit Man

That SAG nom was critical for Craig. Yes, he oddly missed BAFTA but that was an ideal scenario for Stan, who made their longlist for The Apprentice but not A Different Man, ensuring there was no threat of canceling himself out. There is no longlist here, so voters will need to make up their minds over which Stan turn to embrace - and I’m hardly convinced there is a consensus.

Best Supporting Actress

1. Zoe Saldaña, Emilia Pérez

2. Ariana Grande, Wicked

3. Jamie Lee Curtis, The Last Showgirl

4. Isabella Rossellini, Conclave

5. Felicity Jones, The Brutalist
   —

6. Monica Barbaro, A Complete Unknown

7. Selena Gomez, Emilia Pérez

8. Margaret Qualley, The Substance

9. Danielle Deadwyler, The Piano Lesson

10. Aunjanue Ellis-Taylor, Nickel Boys

The rise of Curtis this season has been remarkable, albeit not entirely surprising, given how much she’s adored by her peers. It’ll just be wild when, as is likely the case, she scores a nom while Anderson, who is truly extraordinary in their picture, misses the cut. Despite the crowded nature of this category (Joan Chen, Carol Kane and Natasha Lyonne, among others, were incredible too), I feel oddly confident about this being our quintet. Perhaps A Complete Unknown overperforms even more than I suspect and Barbaro (or even Elle Fanning) makes it but it’ll be surprising if Rossellini and Jones are no-shows. Again, skeptical Qualley makes it, though she wholeheartedly deserves a nom.

Best Supporting Actor

1. Kieran Culkin, A Real Pain

2. Edward Norton, A Complete Unknown

3. Guy Pearce, The Brutalist

4. Yura Borisov, Anora

5. Stanley Tucci, Conclave
   —

6. Jeremy Strong, The Apprentice

7. Clarence Maclin, Sing Sing

8. Denzel Washington, Gladiator II

9. Jonathan Bailey, Wicked

10. Adam Pearson, A Different Man

Could be completely off here but I’ve had a sense all season, regardless of his precursors performance, that Tucci emerges on Oscar noms morning. Strong has surfaced at all of the major precursors and it’s a far showier turn than Tucci’s, so I don’t predict his snub with great confidence. Maclin is right up there too and Washington can’t be counted out - you can safely, at least, ignore his BAFTA snub, since they’ve always inexplicably disliked him.

Best Original Screenplay

1. Sean Baker, Anora

2. Brady Corbet and Mona Fastvold, The Brutalist

3. Jesse Eisenberg, A Real Pain

4. Mike Leigh, Hard Truths

5. Coralie Fargeat, The Substance
   —

6. Payal Kapadia, All We Imagine as Light

7. Moritz Binder, Tim Fehlbaum and Alex David, September 5

8. Justin Kuritzkes, Challengers

9. Mohammad Rasoulof, The Seed of the Sacred Fig

10. Azazel Jacobs, His Three Daughters

Leigh isn’t being overwhelmingly predicted but he’s a fairly reliable presence in this category, having scored noms on five occasions. I’d be surprised if he doesn’t show up here, regardless of whether Jean-Baptiste is a Best Actress nominee. I do have Fargeat making the cut in this one, albeit narrowly over Kapadia and the September 5 team. If either of those films has the momentum to earn a Best Picture nomination, there’s a high chance they surface here too.

Best Adapted Screenplay

1. Peter Straughan, Conclave

2. Jacques Audiard, Emilia Pérez

3. Jay Cocks and James Mangold, A Complete Unknown

4. Clint Bentley, Greg Kwedar, Clarence Maclin and John “Divine G” Whitfield, Sing Sing

5. RaMell Ross and Joslyn Barnes, Nickel Boys
   —

6. Winnie Holzman and Dana Fox, Wicked

7. Murilo Hauser and Heitor Lorega, I’m Still Here

8. Denis Villeneuve and Jon Spaihts, Dune: Part Two

9. Pedro Almodóvar, The Room Next Door

10. Robert Eggers, Nosferatu

Wicked needs this nom to be a threat for the Best Picture win and I’m not quite convinced that’s going to happen, even with Nickel Boys in increasingly questionable shape for recognition. With Sony Pictures Classics working its usual magic, it may even be behind I’m Still Here.

Admittedly due to lack of time on my end, I won’t do write-ups on the rest of the categories - other than to say, anyone not predicting Diane Warren for a 16th career nomination in Best Original Song (this time for The Six Triple Eight’s “The Journey”) is in deep denial.

Best Animated Feature

1. The Wild Robot

2. Flow

3. Inside Out 2

4. Wallace and Gromit: Vengeance Most Fowl

5. Memoir of a Snail
   —

6. Moana 2

7. Piece by Piece

8. Despicable Me 4

9. Lord of the Rings: The War of the Rohirrim

10. Chicken for Linda

Best Documentary Feature

1. No Other Land

2. Daughters

3. Dahomey

4. Will and Harper

5. Porcelain War
   —

6. Soundtrack to a Coup d’Etat

7. Black Box Diaries

8. Sugarcane

9. Frida

10. The Remarkable Life of Ibelin

Best International Feature

1. Emilia Pérez (France)

2. I’m Still Here (Brazil)

3. The Seed of the Sacred Fig (Germany)

4. Vermiglio (Italy)

5. The Girl with the Needle (Denmark)
   —

6. Flow (Latvia)

7. Kneecap (Ireland)

8. From Ground Zero (Palestine)

9. How to Make Millions Before Grandma Dies (Thailand)

10. Armand (Norway)

Best Animated Short

1. A Bear Named Wojtek

2. A Crab in the Pool

3. Au Revoir Mon Monde

4. Wander to Wonder

5. Beautiful Men
   —

6. Yuck!

7. In the Shadow of the Cypress

8. The Wild-Tempered Clavier

9. Maybe Elephants

10. Magic Candles

Best Documentary Short

1. Once Upon a Time in Ukraine

2. Makayla’s Voice: A Letter to the World

3. I Am Ready, Warden

4. Death by Numbers

5. The Only Girl in the Orchestra
   —

6. The Quilters

7. Incident

8. Chasing Roo

9. Instruments of a Beating Heart

10. A Swim Lesson

Best Live Action Short

1. The Masterpiece

2. An Orange from Jaffa

3. Anuja

4. The Man Who Could Not Remain Silent

5. The Ice Cream Man
   —

6. I’m Not a Robot

7. Dovecoat

8. Clodagh

9. The Compatriot

10. Edge of Space

Best Cinematography

1. Lol Crawley, The Brutalist

2. Stéphane Fontaine, Conclave

3. Greig Fraser, Dune: Part Two

4. Jarin Blaschke, Nosferatu

5. Paul Guilhaume, Emilia Pérez
   —

6. Markus Förderer, September 5

7. Edward Lachman, Maria

8. Alice Brooks, Wicked

9. Jomo Fray, Nickel Boys

10. Benjamin Kracun, The Substance

Best Costume Design

1. Paul Tazewell, Wicked

2. Jacqueline West, Dune: Part Two

3. Janty Yates, Gladiator II

4. Massimo Cantini Parrini, Maria

5. Jacqueline Durran, Blitz
   —

6. Linda Muir, Nosferatu

7. Virginie Montel, Emilia Pérez

8. Colleen Atwood, Beetlejuice Beetlejuice

9. Arianne Phillips, A Complete Unknown

10. Kate Forbes, The Brutalist

Best Film Editing

1. Joe Walker, Dune: Part Two

2. Juliette Welfling, Emilia Pérez

3. Myron Kerstein, Wicked

4. Dávid Jancsóm, The Brutalist

5. Nick Emerson, Conclave
   —

6. Marco Costa, Challengers

7. Hansjörg Weißbrich, September 5

8. Coralie Fargeat, Jérôme Eltabet and Valentin Feron, The Substance

9. Sean Baker, Anora

10. Andrew Buckland, A Complete Unknown

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

1. Frances Hannon, Sarah Nuth and Laura Blount, Wicked

2. Pierre-Olivier Persin, The Substance

3. Traci Loader, Suzanne Stokes-Munton and David White, Nosferatu

4. Mike Marino, Sarah Graalman and Aaron Saucier, A Different Man

5. Christine Blundell, Lesa Warrener and Neal Scanlan, Beetlejuice Beetlejuice
   —

6. Donald Mowat, Love Larson and Eva Von Bahr, Dune: Part Two

7. Julia Floch Carbonel and Simon Livet, Emilia Pérez

8. Heike Merker, Adruitha Lee, Pamela Goldammer and Arjen Tuiten, Maria

9. Michelle Côté and Colin Penman, The Apprentice

10. Cici Andersen, Erica Villanueva and Jerry Constantine, Waltzing with Brando

Best Original Score

1. Volker Bertelmann, Conclave

2. Daniel Blumberg, The Brutalist

3. Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross, Challengers

4. Hans Zimmer, Blitz

5. Clément Ducol, Camille, Emilia Pérez
   —

6. Kris Bowers, The Wild Robot

7. Robin Carolan, Nosferatu

8. John Powell and Stephen Schwartz, Wicked

9. Alberto Iglesias, The Room Next Door

10. Amelia Warner, Young Woman and the Sea

Best Original Song

1. “El Mal,” Emilia Pérez

2. “The Journey,” The Six Triple Eight

3. "Mi Camino,” Emilia Pérez

4. “Kiss the Sky,” The Wild Robot

5. "Harper and Will Go West,” Will & Harper
   —

6. "Compress/Regress,” Challengers

7. “Never Too Late,” Elton John: Never Too Late

8. “Like a Bird,” Sing Sing

9. 'Piece by Piece,” Piece by Piece

10. "Tell Me It’s You,” Mufasa: The Lion King

Best Production Design

1. Nathan Crowley and Lee Sandales, Wicked

2. Zsuzsanna Sipos, Shane Vieau and Patrice Vermette, Dune: Part Two

3. Judy Becker, The Brutalist

4. Craig Lathrop, Nosferatu

5. Suzie Davies and Roberta Federico, Conclave
   —

6. Emmanuelle Duplay and Sandra Castello, Emilia Pérez

7. Arthur Max and Elli Griff, Gladiator II

8. Stanislas Reydellet and Cécilia Blom, The Substance

9. Adam Stockhausen and Anna Pinnock, Blitz

10. Tom Brown, Guy Hendrix Dyas and Sandro Piccarozzi, Maria

Best Sound

1. Gareth John, Richard King, Ron Bartlett and Doug Hemphill, Dune: Part Two

2. Nancy Nugent Title, John Marquis, Andy Nelson and Simon Hayes, Wicked

3. Cyril Holtz, Niels Barletta and Erwan Kerzanet, Emilia Pérez

4. Matthew Collinge, Danny Sheehan, Paul Massey and Stéphane Bucher, Gladiator II

5. Ted Caplan, Tod Maitland, David Giammarco, Paul Massey and Donald Sylvester, A Complete Unknown
   —

6. Craig Henighan, Ryan Cole, Lora Hirschberg, and Colin Nicolson, Deadpool & Wolverine

7. Randy Thom, Gary A. Rizzo, Leff Lefferts and Brian Chumney, The Wild Robot

8. Paul Cotterell, James Harrison and Kevin Penney, Blitz

9. Tamás Csaba, Will Files, Lee Gilmore and Mark Pearson, Alien: Romulus

10. Steve Morrow, Erik Aadahl, Ethan Van der Ryn, Jason Ruder, Tom Ozanich and Dean A. Zupancic, Joker: Folie à Deux

Best Visual Effects

1. Paul Lambert, Stephen James, Rhys Salcombe and Gerd Nefzer, Dune: Part Two

2. Pablo Helman, Jonathan Fawkner, Paul Corbould and David Shirk, Wicked

3. Mark Bakowski, Pietro Ponti, Nikki Penny and Neil Corbould, Gladiator II

4. Erik Winquist, Stephen Unterfranz, Paul Story and Rodney Burke, Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes

5. Swen Gillberg, Matthew Twyford, Vincent Papaix and Dominic Tuohy, Deadpool & Wolverine
   —

6. Luke Miller, David Clayton, Keith Herft and Peter Stubbs, Better Man

7. Olivier Beaulieu, Bill Georgiou, Ben Snow and Florian Witzel, Twisters

8. Audrey Ferrara and Adam Valdez, Mufasa: The Lion King

9. Eric Barba, Nelson Sepulveda-Fauser, Daniel Macarin and Shane Patrick Mahan, Alien: Romulus

10. David Simpson, J.D. Schwalm, Chris Zeh and Freddy Salazar, Civil War

2024 SAG Awards Nomination Predictions

Rankings are from most to least likely to be nominated:

Best Motion Picture Ensemble

1. Conclave

2. Wicked

3. Emilia Pérez

4. Sing Sing

5. Saturday Night
   —

6. The Brutalist

7. Anora

8. A Complete Unknown

9. Nickel Boys

10. His Three Daughters

Conclave, Emilia Pérez and Wicked ought to be safe - a snub for any of them, all undoubtedly widely seen by voters and sporting formidable casts, would be shocking. While Sing Sing’s momentum has dwindled somewhat, it’s an ensemble piece about the power of performance and should, you would think, resonate among actors. It’s that fifth slot that’s tough to project. Anora, The Brutalist, A Complete Unknown and Nickel Boys have no shortage of awards season buzz but I suspect it may be Saturday Night that makes the cut. It recalls the likes of Bobby and The Butler, pictures with sprawling ensembles that flatlined as serious Oscar contenders but nonetheless surfaced here.

Best Female Actor in a Leading Role

1. Demi Moore, The Substance

2. Cynthia Erivo, Wicked

3. Mikey Madison, Anora

4. Karla Sofía Gascón, Emilia Pérez

5. Kate Winslet, Lee
   —

6. Nicole Kidman, Babygirl

7. Angelina Jolie, Maria

8. Marianne Jean-Baptiste, Hard Truths

9. Fernanda Torres, I’m Still Here

10. Amy Adams, Nightbitch

Torres may have just scored the Drama Actress Golden Globe - a huge development, considering only two recipients of that prize have not gone on to Oscar nominations (and one of them, Kate Winslet in 2008, was instead nominated and won for another film) - but she’ll nonetheless be a longshot here, given SAG’s notorious aversion to turns from foreign language films. Her mother, the legendary Fernanda Montenegro, was not a SAG nominee for Central Station in 1998, nor was Isabelle Huppert, another recent Drama Actress Globe winner.

Erivo, Gascón, Madison and Moore ring as reasonably safe, given the robust buzz for their turns and films. My hunch is that fifth slot goes to one of the past Oscar winners - and it might just be Winslet, given the aggressive campaign she’s running, plus SAG’s penchant for recognizing early releases (e.g. Jennifer Hudson in Respect and Judi Dench in Victoria & Abdul). Kidman and Jolie are right up there, though, and don’t forget Adams managed to make the SAG cut for Hillbilly Elegy. Jean-Baptiste has seen a gangbusters run with the critics’ awards but SAG historically isn’t keen on Mike Leigh pictures. She wasn’t a SAG nominee for Secrets & Lies, nor was Sally Hawkins for Happy-Go-Lucky.

Best Male Actor in a Leading Role

1. Adrien Brody, The Brutalist

2. Ralph Fiennes, Conclave

3. Timothée Chalamet, A Complete Unknown

4. Colman Domingo, Sing Sing

5. Kingsley Ben-Adir, Bob Marley: One Love
   —

6. Hugh Grant, Heretic

7. Daniel Craig, Queer

8. Sebastian Stan, A Different Man

9. Jesse Eisenberg, A Real Pain

10. Glen Powell, Hit Man

This, too, rings of a lineup with a somewhat safe quartet and then a jump ball for that final spot. There’s a case to be made for any of the gents above but I’m going with a curveball. Bob Marley: One Love may have been released nearly an entire year ago but it was a commercial success and, despite lukewarm reviews for the film itself, scored positive notices for its leading man. Ben-Adir made the BAFTA longlist for Leading Actor and SAG has a history of remembering performances forgotten by other precursors. Thus, it shouldn’t be a jaw-dropper if he surfaces here.

Best Female Actor in a Supporting Role

1. Zoe Saldaña, Emilia Pérez

2. Ariana Grande, Wicked

3. Isabella Rossellini, Conclave

4. Margaret Qualley, The Substance

5. Jamie Lee Curtis, The Last Showgirl
   —

6. Danielle Deadwyler, The Piano Lesson

7. Felicity Jones, The Brutalist

8. Selena Gomez, Emilia Pérez

9. Aunjanue Ellis-Taylor, Nickel Boys

10. Joan Chen, Didi

Grande, Rossellini and Saldaña are highly likely for recognition here and everywhere else moving forward. Qualley should be in decent shape too, at least at SAG - the AMPAS aversion to horror does make me nervous for her/her film’s chances come Oscar noms morning. So, yet again, the real suspense may be for the fifth slot. Emilia Pérez has plenty of momentum but I hesitate to predict Gomez when SAG has ignored her for every season of Only Murders in the Building (though that could change this year). I’m also wary of predicting Deadwyler when The Piano Lesson has so struggled to stay relevant in the awards season. I think Jones is a nominee at BAFTA and the Oscars but I’m less confident here. Ultimately, I’m going with another dark horse who also happened to make the BAFTA longlist.

Curtis has worked with just about everyone in the industry and it was SAG that made her a serious contender for Everything Everywhere All at Once. It’s possible not enough voters have seen The Last Showgirl and that could doom her (again, early releases tend to fare better than late ones) - but in a crowded and uncertain field, high name rec and goodwill could be enough to eek out a nomination (though I’m not sure it’ll translate at the Oscars). Beyond the names above, Monica Barbaro, Elle Fanning, Carol Kane, Natasha Lyonne and Adriana Paz could also show up.

Best Male Actor in a Supporting Role

1. Kieran Culkin, A Real Pain

2. Denzel Washington, Gladiator II

3. Guy Pearce, The Brutalist

4. Edward Norton, A Complete Unknown

5. Stanley Tucci, Conclave
   —

6. Clarence Maclin, Sing Sing

7. Yura Borisov, Anora

8. Jeremy Strong, The Apprentice

9. Jonathan Bailey, Wicked

10. Mark Eydelshteyn, Anora

With Culkin seemingly steamrolling to victory, this isn’t the most exciting of the acting fields but in terms of filling out the category, there remains suspense. He, Washington and Pearce should be in good shape here, though I wonder if the sleepy reception for Gladiator II could trip Washington up on Oscar noms morning. I suspect Norton is a nominee would note, for what it’s worth, that SAG ignored him for both Primal Fear and American History X. In a contest between a beloved character actor who’s worked with everyone under the sun (Tucci) and two relative newcomers (Borisov and Maclin), I’m inclined to go with the former, at least here.

FINAL 2023 Oscar Winner Predictions

Best Picture

1. Oppenheimer

2. The Holdovers

3. Anatomy of a Fall

4. The Zone of Interest

5. Killers of the Flower Moon

6. Barbie

7. American Fiction

8. Poor Things

9. Past Lives

10. Maestro

Best Director

1. Christopher Nolan, Oppenheimer

2. Justine Triet, Anatomy of a Fall

3. Jonathan Glazer, The Zone of Interest

4. Martin Scorsese, Killers of the Flower Moon

5. Yorgos Lanthimos, Poor Things

Best Actress

1. Lily Gladstone, Killers of the Flower Moon

2. Emma Stone, Poor Things

3. Sandra Hüller, Anatomy of a Fall

4. Annette Bening, Nyad

5. Carey Mulligan, Maestro

Best Actor

1. Cillian Murphy, Oppenheimer

2. Paul Giamatti, The Holdovers

3. Bradley Cooper, Maestro

4. Jeffrey Wright, American Fiction

5. Colman Domingo, Rustin

Best Supporting Actress

1. Da'Vine Joy Randolph, The Holdovers

2. America Ferrera, Barbie

3. Jodie Foster, Nyad

4. Emily Blunt, Oppenheimer

5. Danielle Brooks, The Color Purple

Best Supporting Actor

1. Robert Downey, Jr., Oppenheimer

2. Ryan Gosling, Barbie

3. Mark Ruffalo, Poor Things

4. Sterling K. Brown, American Fiction

5. Robert De Niro, Killers of the Flower Moon

Best Original Screenplay

1. Justine Triet and Arthur Harari, Anatomy of a Fall

2. David Hemingson, The Holdovers

3. Celine Song, Past Lives

4. Bradley Cooper and Josh Singer, Maestro

5. Samy Burch, May December

Best Adapted Screenplay

1. Cord Jefferson, American Fiction

2. Jonathan Glazer, The Zone of Interest

3. Greta Gerwig and Noah Baumbach, Barbie

4. Christopher Nolan, Oppenheimer

5. Tony McNamara, Poor Things

Best Animated Feature Film

1. The Boy and the Heron

2. Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse

3. Elemental

4. Robot Dreams

5. Nimona

Best Animated Short Film

1. WAR IS OVER! Inspired by the Music of John and Yoko

2. Letter to a Pig

3. Ninety-Five Senses

4. Our Uniform

5. Pachyderme

Best Documentary Feature Film

1. 20 Days in Mariupol

2. Four Daughters

3. The Eternal Memory

4. Bobi Wine: The People’s President

5. To Kill a Tiger

Best Documentary Short Film

1. The ABCs of Book Banning

2. Nai Nai and Wai Po

3. The Last Repair Shop

4. The Barber of Little Rock

5. Island in Between

Best International Feature Film

1. The Zone of Interest

2. Society of the Snow

3. Perfect Days

4. The Teachers’ Lounge

5. Io Capitano

Best Live Action Short Film

1. The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar

2. Invincible

3. The After

4. Knight of Fortune

5. Red, White and Blue

Best Cinematography

1. Hoyte Van Hoytema, Oppenheimer

2. Rodrigo Prieto, Killers of the Flower Moon

3. Robbie Ryan, Poor Things

4. Matthew Libatique, Maestro

5. Edward Lachman, El Conde

Best Costume Design

1. Jacqueline Durran, Barbie

2. Holly Waddington, Poor Things

3. Jacqueline West, Killers of the Flower Moon

4. Ellen Mirojnick, Oppenheimer

5. Janty Yates and David Crossman, Napoleon

Best Film Editing

1. Jennifer Lame, Oppenheimer

2. Laurent Sénéchal, Anatomy of a Fall

3. Thelma Schoonmaker, Killers of the Flower Moon

4. Yorgos Mavropsaridis, Poor Things

5. Kevin Tent, The Holdovers

Best Makeup & Hairstyling

1. Nadia Stacey, Mark Couler, Josh Weston, Poor Things

2. Kazu Hiro, Sian Grigg, Kay Georgiou and Lori McCoy-Bell, Maestro

3. Luisa Abel, Jason Hamer, Jaime Leigh McIntosh, and Ahou Mofid, Oppenheimer

4. Ana López-Puigcerver, Belén López-Puigcerver, David Martí and Montse Ribé, Society of the Snow

5. Karen Hartley Thomas, Golda

Best Production Design

1. Sarah Greenwood and Katie Spencer, Barbie

2. Shona Heath, James Price and Szusza Mihalek, Poor Things

3. Ruth De Jong and Claire Kaufman, Oppenheimer

4. Jack Fisk and Adam Willis, Killers of the Flower Moon

5. Arthur Max and Elli Griff, Napoleon

Best Original Score

1. Ludwig Göransson, Oppenheimer

2. Robbie Robertson, Killers of the Flower Moon

3. Jerskin Fendrix, Poor Things

4. John Williams, Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny

5. Laura Karpman, American Fiction

Best Original Song

1. “What Was I Made for,” Barbie

2. “I’m Just Ken,” Barbie

3. “Wahzhazhe (A Song for My People),” Killers of the Flower Moon

4. “It Never Went Away,” American Symphony

5. “The Fire Inside,” Flamin’ Hot

Best Sound

1. Richard King, Gary A. Rizzo, Kevin O’Connell and Willie Burton, Oppenheimer

2. Johnnie Burn and Tarn Willers, The Zone of Interest

3. Chris Munro, James H. Mather and Chris Burdon, Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One

4. Richard King, Jason Ruder, Tom Ozanich, Dean Zupancic and Steve Morrow, Maestro

5. Erik Aadahl, Ethan Van Der Ryn, Ian Voigt, Tom Ozanich and Dean Zupancic, The Creator

Best Visual Effects

1. Kiyoko Shibuya and Takashi Yamazaki, Godzilla Minus One

2. Charley Henley, Neil Corbould, Luc-ewen Martin-fenouillet and Simone Coco, Napoleon

3. Jay Cooper, Ian Comley, Andrew Roberts and Neil Corbould, The Creator

4. Stephane Ceretti, Alexis Wajsbrot, Guy Williams and Dan Sudick, Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3

5. Alex Wuttke, Simone Coco, Jeff Sutherland and Neil Corbould, Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One

FINAL 2023 Oscar Nomination Predictions

Best Picture

1. Oppenheimer

2. Killers of the Flower Moon

3. Poor Things

4. Barbie

5. The Holdovers

6. American Fiction

7. Past Lives

8. Anatomy of a Fall

9. The Zone of Interest

10. Maestro
    —

11. The Color Purple

12. Origin

13. Saltburn

14. Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse

15. May December

Best Director

1. Christopher Nolan, Oppenheimer

2. Yorgos Lanthimos, Poor Things

3. Martin Scorsese, Killers of the Flower Moon

4. Justine Triet, Anatomy of a Fall

5. Jonathan Glazer, The Zone of Interest
   —

6. Greta Gerwig, Barbie

7. Alexander Payne, The Holdovers

8. Celine Song, Past Lives

9. Bradley Cooper, Maestro

10. Ava DuVernay, Origin

Best Actress

1. Emma Stone, Poor Things

2. Lily Gladstone, Killers of the Flower Moon

3. Carey Mulligan, Maestro

4. Sandra Hüller, Anatomy of a Fall

5. Margot Robbie, Barbie
   —

6. Annette Bening, Nyad

7. Fantasia Barrino, The Color Purple

8. Greta Lee, Past Lives

9. Aunjanue Ellis-Taylor, Origin

10. Natalie Portman, May December

Best Actor

1. Cillian Murphy, Oppenheimer

2. Paul Giamatti, The Holdovers

3. Bradley Cooper, Maestro

4. Jeffrey Wright, American Fiction

5. Colman Domingo, Rustin
   —

6. Barry Keoghan, Saltburn

7. Leonardo DiCaprio, Killers of the Flower Moon

8. Tee Yoo, Past Lives

9. Andrew Scott, All of Us Strangers

10. Zac Efron, The Iron Claw

Best Supporting Actress

1. Da'Vine Joy Randolph, The Holdovers

2. Emily Blunt, Oppenheimer

3. Danielle Brooks, The Color Purple

4. Jodie Foster, Nyad

5. Penelope Cruz, Ferrari
   —

6. Sandra Hüller, The Zone of Interest

7. America Ferrera, Barbie

8. Rosamund Pike, Saltburn

9. Julianne Moore, May December

10. Claire Foy, All of Us Strangers

Best Supporting Actor

1. Robert Downey, Jr., Oppenheimer

2. Ryan Gosling, Barbie

3. Robert De Niro, Killers of the Flower Moon

4. Mark Ruffalo, Poor Things

5. Dominic Sessa, The Holdovers
   —

6. Willem Dafoe, Poor Things

7. Charles Melton, May December

8. Sterling K. Brown, American Fiction

9. Jacob Elordi, Saltburn

10. Paul Mescal, All of Us Strangers

Best Original Screenplay

1. David Hemingson, The Holdovers

2. Justine Triet and Arthur Harari, Anatomy of a Fall

3. Celine Song, Past Lives

4. Bradley Cooper and Josh Singer, Maestro

5. Wes Anderson and Roman Coppola, Asteroid City
   —

6. Samy Burch, May December

7. Emerald Fennell, Saltburn

8. Hayao Miyazaki, The Boy and the Heron

9. Alex Convery, Air

10. Sean Durkin, The Iron Claw

Best Adapted Screenplay

1. Greta Gerwig and Noah Baumbach, Barbie

2. Eric Roth and Martin Scorsese, Killers of the Flower Moon

3. Tony McNamara, Poor Things

4. Christopher Nolan, Oppenheimer

5. Cord Jefferson, American Fiction
   —

6. Jonathan Glazer, The Zone of Interest

7. Andrew Haigh, All of Us Strangers

8. Ava DuVernay, Origin

9. Phil Lord, Christopher Miller and Dave Callaham, Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse

10. Kelly Fremon Craig, Are You There, God? It’s Me, Margaret.

Best Animated Feature Film

1. The Boy and the Heron

2. Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse

3. Elemental

4. Nimona

5. Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem
   —

6. Suzume

7. Wish

8. The Super Mario Bros. Movie

9. The Peasants

10. Robot Dreams

Best Animated Short Film

1. Once Upon a Studio

2. Letter to a Pig

3. Pete

4. Humo

5. Ninety-Five Senses
   —

6. Boom

7. A King of Testament

8. Eeva

9. WAR IS OVER! Inspired by the Music of John and Yoko

10. 27

Best Documentary Feature Film

1. 20 Days in Mariupol

2. Four Daughters

3. The Eternal Memory

4. American Symphony

5. Beyond Utopia
   —

6. Still: A Michael J. Fox Movie

7. Apolonia, Apolonia

8. 32 Sounds

9. A Still Small Voice

10. To Kill a Tiger

Best Documentary Short Film

1. The ABCs of Book Banning

2. Last Song from Kabul

3. The Barber of Little Rock

4. Black Girls Play: The Story of Hand Games

5. Camp Courage
   —

6. Wings of Dust

7. Nai Nai and Wai Po

8. Between Earth and Sky

9. The Last Repair Shop

10. Deciding Vote

Best International Feature Film

1. The Zone of Interest

2. Society of the Snow

3. Fallen Leaves

4. The Teachers’ Lounge

5. Perfect Days
   —

6. 20 Days in Mariupol

7. Totem

8. Io Capitano

9. The Taste of Things

10. Four Daughters

Best Live Action Short Film

1. The Anne Frank Gift Shop

2. The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar

3. Invincible

4. Yellow

5. The One Note Man
   —

6. Dead Cat

7. An Avocado Pit

8. The After

9. The Shepherd

10. Knight of Fortune

Best Cinematography

1. Hoyte Van Hoytema, Oppenheimer

2. Rodrigo Prieto, Killers of the Flower Moon

3. Robbie Ryan, Poor Things

4. Matthew Libatique, Maestro

5. Lukasz Zal, The Zone of Interest
   —

6. Edward Lachman, El Conde

7. Linus Sandgren, Saltburn

8. Erik Messerschmidt, The Killer

9. Rodrigo Preito, Barbie

10. Dan Laustsen, The Color Purple

Best Costume Design

1. Jacqueline Durran, Barbie

2. Holly Waddington, Poor Things

3. Jacqueline West, Killers of the Flower Moon

4. Lindy Hemming, Wonka

5. Francine Jamison-Tanchuck, The Color Purple
   —

6. Janty Yates and David Crossman, Napoleon

7. Oliver Garcia, Chevalier

8. Ellen Mirojnick, Oppenheimer

9. Stacey Battat, Priscilla

10. Mark Bridges, Maestro

Best Film Editing

1. Jennifer Lame, Oppenheimer

2. Thelma Schoonmaker, Killers of the Flower Moon

3. Yorgos Mavropsaridis, Poor Things

4. Nick Houy, Barbie

5. Michelle Tesoro, Maestro
   —

6. Kevin Tent, The Holdovers

7. Pietro Scalia, Ferrari

8. Laurent Sénéchal, Anatomy of a Fall

9. Paul Watts, The Zone of Interest

10. Claire Simpson and Sam Restivo, Napoleon

Best Makeup & Hairstyling

1. Nadia Stacey, Mark Couler, Josh Weston, Poor Things

2. Kazu Hiro, Sian Grigg, Kay Georgiou and Lori McCoy-Bell, Maestro

3. Luisa Abel, Jason Hamer, Jaime Leigh McIntosh, and Ahou Mofid, Oppenheimer

4. Karen Hartley Thomas, Golda

5. Ana López-Puigcerver, Belén López-Puigcerver, David Martí and Montse Ribé, Society of the Snow
   —

6. Thomas Nellen, Siân Grigg and Kay Georgiou, Killers of the Flower Moon

7. Jana Carboni and Francesco Pegoretti, Napoleon

8. Félix Larivière and Colin Penman, Beau Is Afraid

9. Heike Merker, The Last Voyage of the Demeter

10. Alda Signoretti, Scott Wheeler, Marcelle Genavese and Marco Pompei, Ferrari

Best Production Design

1. Sarah Greenwood and Katie Spencer, Barbie

2. Shona Heath, James Price and Szusza Mihalek, Poor Things

3. Ruth De Jong and Claire Kaufman, Oppenheimer

4. Jack Fisk and Adam Willis, Killers of the Flower Moon

5. Adam Stockhausen and Kris Moran, Asteroid City
   —

6. Paul D. Austerberry and Larry Dias, The Color Purple

7. Arthur Max and Elli Griff, Napoleon

8. Nathan Crowley and Lee Sandales, Wonka

9. Suzie Davies and Charlotte Dirickx, Saltburn

10. Chris Oddy, Joanna Kus and Katarzyna Sikora, The Zone of Interest

Best Original Score

1. Ludwig Göransson, Oppenheimer

2. Robbie Robertson, Killers of the Flower Moon

3. Jerskin Fendrix, Poor Things

4. John Williams, Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny

5. Jon Batiste, American Symphony
   —

6. Joe Hisaishi, The Boy and the Heron

7. Kris Bowers, The Color Purple

8. Mica Levi, The Zone of Interest

9. Mark Ronson and Andrew Wyatt, Barbie

10. Daniel Pemberton, Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse

Best Original Song

1. “What Was I Made for,” Barbie

2. “Road to Freedom,” Rustin

3. “I’m Just Ken,” Barbie

4. “The Fire Inside,” Flamin’ Hot

5. “It Never Went Away,” American Symphony
   —

6. “Keep It Movin’,” The Color Purple

7. “Wahzhazhe (A Song for My People),” Killers of the Flower Moon

8. “Quiet Eyes,” Past Lives

9. “Dear Alien (Who Art in Heaven),” Asteroid City

10. “Dance the Night,” Barbie

Best Sound

1. Richard King, Gary A. Rizzo, Kevin O’Connell and Willie Burton, Oppenheimer

2. Richard King, Jason Ruder, Tom Ozanich, Dean Zupancic and Steve Morrow, Maestro

3. Nina Rice, Ai-Ling Lee, Dan Kenyon and Kevin O’Connell, Barbie

4. Tony Lamberti, Andy Nelson, Lee Orloff and Bernard Weiser, Ferrari

5. Ren Klyce, Jeremy Molod, Stephen Urata and Drew Kunin, The Killer
   —

6. John Pritchett, Mark Ulano and Philip Stockton, Killers of the Flower Moon

7. Johnnie Burn and Tarn Willers, The Zone of Interest

8. Oliver Tarney, James Harrison, Paul Massey, William Miller and Stephane Bucher, Napoleon

9. Chris Munro, James H. Mather and Chris Burdon, Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One

10. Erik Aadahl, Ethan Van Der Ryn, Ian Voigt, Tom Ozanich and Dean Zupancic, The Creator

Best Visual Effects

1. Simon Hughes, Poor Things

2. Michael Lasker, Alan Hawkins, Bret St. Clair and Pav Grochola, Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse

3. Stephane Ceretti, Alexis Wajsbrot, Guy Williams and Dan Sudick, Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3

4. Kiyoko Shibuya and Takashi Yamazaki, Godzilla Minus One

5. Charley Henley, Neil Corbould, Luc-ewen Martin-fenouillet and Simone Coco, Napoleon
   —

6. Andrew Whitehurst, Kathy Siegel, Robert Weaver and Alistair Williams, Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny

7. Jay Cooper, Ian Comley, Andrew Roberts and Neil Corbould, The Creator

8. Laura Pedro, Felix Bergés and Pau Costa, Society of the Snow

9. Alex Wuttke, Simone Coco, Jeff Sutherland and Neil Corbould, Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One

10. Marcus Taormina, Michael Gaspar, Ken McGaugh and Robert Winter, Rebel Moon

FINAL 2022 Oscar Winner Predictions

At last!

On the heels of an awards season that felt destined to never end, we are finally here. And, with an exception here and there, most categories remain brimming with suspense.

Among the races not so unpredictable at the 11 o'clock hour are Best Picture and Best Director, where PGA winner Everything Everywhere All at Once and DGA honorees Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert appear destined for victories.

That isn’t to say they’re unbeatable but it’s challenging at this point to even determine what/who is closest behind them. This is a contender peaking at precisely the right moment in momentum. Its lone lackluster showing was at BAFTA, where All Quiet on the Western Front was more embraced, but good luck predicting that one for Best Picture without directing or acting bids here. I’m inclined to think The Banshees of Inisherin, which has a Best Director nom and could still cobble together acting/writing wins, is the most formidable threat to Everything Everywhere.

Much more chaotic are the acting showdowns, which remain exceedingly tough to forecast.

If there’s a reasonably easy race to call, it’s Best Supporting Actor, where Ke Huy Quan has maintained a healthy front-runner status. He did fall short to Barry Keoghan at BAFTA, so don’t call Quan a shoo-in, but it would nonetheless be flabbergasting to see him fall short on the big night. Were that to happen, which it almost surely won’t, Everything Everywhere will not be winning Best Picture.

If there’s a dark horse in the field, albeit still a long shot at that, it might be Judd Hirsch, who hasn’t been much a presence this awards season but is still a beloved veteran who’s worked with countless AMPAS members.

As for Best Supporting Actress…hmm lol. I thought for sure Angela Bassett would triumph at SAG, leading to a Bassett vs. Kerry Condon barnburner that probably results in a Condon Oscar win. I did not think voters could decide between the Everything Everywhere contenders and yet, that’s exactly what happened at SAG with the Jamie Lee Curtis upset.

Now, I’m increasingly cool on Bassett’s odds - her big wins were with the Golden Globes and Critics Choice, neither of which vote on the Oscars - and I’m even a little warier on Condon’s chances. Curtis really could ride an Everything Everywhere wave to victory, should it prove powerful enough. Nonetheless, I do slightly lean toward BAFTA winner Condon, as it’s the sort of role that historically is much more up the AMPAS alley (at least when it comes to wins) than the comic work Curtis turns in.

Frankly, in a field this unsettled, the likes of Hsu and Chau cannot be entirely counted out either though, without precursor wins behind them, it’s a little tough articulating cases for them.

No easier to project are the two Lead races, with Austin Butler & Brendan Fraser and Cate Blanchett & Michelle Yeoh deadlocked in their respective fields.

The Whale’s overall underperformance in nominations, coupled with the robust showing of support for Elvis, leans me in Butler’s direction. I struggle a tad more with Best Actress, given both Everything Everywhere and TÁR have such healthy support across the board. It’s been hard to shake the feeling that, despite Everything Everywhere’s incredible awards season run and the focus on Yeoh, Blanchett continues to ring as an undeniable winner. So I’ll stick with her, especially considering AMPAS’ penchant for repeat winners in Best Actress.

Keep a close eye on Best Original Screenplay, a race that will hint at what’s to come over the rest of the night. Should Everything Everywhere triumph there, it’s almost surely going all the way. For the other contenders, namely Banshees and The Fabelmans, it is imperative they score there to have any prayer in Best Picture.

The other writing race, in Best Adapted Screenplay, feels like a pure toss-up between All Quiet on the Western Front and Women Talking. The former needs that and a virtual sweep of its crafts bids to have a shot for the top prize.

Speaking of the crafts categories, what once felt like fertile ground for Top Gun: Maverick now rings as prime opportunities for All Quiet to score wins - in fact, I don’t have Top Gun taking anything in my final predictions, though it’s awfully close in Best Film Editing and Best Sound. Watch Elvis, which could score more trophies than anticipated down the ballot. And yes, Diane Warren will again lose in Best Original Song.

So…that’s that! This is going to be an exceedingly exciting evening and anyone who can somehow correctly predict all of these categories is to be commended. See yas on the other side! :)

Best Picture

1. Everything Everywhere All at Once

2. The Banshees of Inisherin

3. All Quiet on the Western Front

4. The Fabelmans

5. Elvis

6. Top Gun: Maverick

7. TÁR

8. Triangle of Sadness

9. Women Talking

10. Avatar: The Way of Water

Best Director

1. Daniels, Everything Everywhere All at Once

2. Steven Spielberg, The Fabelmans

3. Martin McDonagh, The Banshees of Inisherin

4. Todd Field, TÁR

5. Ruben Östlund, Triangle of Sadness

Best Actress

1. Cate Blanchett, TÁR

2. Michelle Yeoh, Everything Everywhere All at Once

3. Andrea Riseborough, To Leslie

4. Michelle Williams, The Fabelmans

5. Ana de Armas, Blonde

Best Actor

1. Austin Butler, Elvis

2. Brendan Fraser, The Whale

3. Colin Farrell, The Banshees of Inisherin

4. Paul Mescal, Aftersun

5. Bill Nighy, Living

Best Supporting Actress

1. Kerry Condon, The Banshees of Inisherin

2. Jamie Lee Curtis, Everything Everywhere All at Once

3. Angela Bassett, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever

4. Stephanie Hsu, Everything Everywhere All at Once

5. Hong Chau, The Whale

Best Supporting Actor

1. Ke Huy Quan, Everything Everywhere All at Once

2. Barry Keoghan, The Banshees of Inisherin

3. Judd Hirsch, The Fabelmans

4. Brendan Gleeson, The Banshees of Inisherin

5. Brian Tyree Henry, Causeway

Best Original Screenplay

1. Martin McDonagh, The Banshees of Inisherin

2. Daniels, Everything Everywhere All at Once

3. Todd Field, TÁR

4. Steven Spielberg and Tony Kushner, The Fabelmans

5. Ruben Östlund, Triangle of Sadness

Best Adapted Screenplay

1. Ian Stokell, Lesley Paterson and Edward Berger, All Quiet on the Western Front

2. Sarah Polley, Women Talking

3. Ehren Kruger, Eric Warren Singer, Christopher McQuarrie, Top Gun: Maverick

4. Rian Johnson, Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery

5. Kazuo Ishiguro, Living

Best Animated Feature

1. Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio

2. Marcel the Shell with Shoes On

3. Puss in Boots: The Last Wish

4. The Sea Beast

5. Turning Red

Best Animated Short Film

1. The Boy, the Mole, the Fox and the Horse

2. My Year of Dicks

3. Ice Merchants

4. The Flying Sailor

5. An Ostrich Told Me the World Is Fake and I Think I Believe It

Best Documentary Feature

1. Navalny

2. Fire of Love

3. All the Beauty and the Bloodshed

4. All That Breathes

5. A House Made of Splinters

Best Documentary Short Film

1. The Elephant Whisperers

2. Stranger at the Gate

3. Haulout

4. How Do You Measure a Year?

5. The Martha Mitchell Effect

Best International Feature

1. All Quiet on the Western Front (Germany)

2. Argentina, 1985 (Argentina)

3. The Quiet Girl (Ireland)

4. EO (Poland)

5. Close (Belgium)

Best Live Action Short Film

1. An Irish Goodbye

2. Le pupille

3. Night Ride

4. The Red Suitcase

5. Ivalu

Best Cinematography

1. Mandy Walker, Elvis

2. James Friend, All Quiet on the Western Front

3. Florian Hoffmeister, TÁR

4. Darius Khondji, Bardo

5. Roger Deakins, Empire of Light

Best Costume Design

1. Ruth E. Carter, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever

2. Shirley Kurata, Everything Everywhere All At Once

3. Catherine Martin, Elvis

4. Mary Zophres, Babylon

5. Jenny Beavan, Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris

Best Film Editing

1. Paul Rogers, Everything Everywhere All at Once

2. Eddie Hamilton, Top Gun: Maverick

3. Matt Villa and Jonathan Redmond‎, Elvis

4. Monika Willi, TÁR

5. Mikkel E.G. Nielsen, The Banshees of Inisherin

Best Makeup & Hairstyling

1. Shane Thomas, Mark Coulier, Jason Baird and Louise Coulston, Elvis

2. Adrien Morot, Judy Chin and Anne Marie Bradley, The Whale

3. Heike Merker, All Quiet on the Western Front

4. Joel Harlow, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever

5. Naomi Donne, Mike Marino and Zoe Tahir, The Batman

Best Original Score

1. Volker Bertelmann, All Quiet on the Western Front

2. Son Lux, Everything Everywhere All at Once

3. Justin Hurwitz, Babylon

4. John Williams, The Fabelmans

5. Carter Burwell, The Banshees of Inisherin

Best Original Song

1. “Naatu Naatu,” RRR

2. “This Is a Life,” Everything Everywhere All at Once

3. “Hold My Hand,” Top Gun: Maverick

4. “Lift Me Up,” Black Panther: Wakanda Forever

5. “Applause,” Tell It Like a Woman

Best Production Design

1. Catherine Martin, Karen Murphy and Bev Dunn, Elvis

2. Florencia Martin and Anthony Carlino, Babylon

3. Christian M. Goldbeck, All Quiet on the Western Front

4. Dylan Cole, Ben Procter and Vanessa Cole, Avatar: The Way of Water

5. Rick Carter and Karen O’Hara, The Fabelmans

Best Sound

1. Lars Ginzel, Frank Kruse, Markus Stemler and Viktor Prášil, All Quiet on the Western Front

2. Mark Weingarten, James H. Mather, Al Nelson, Chris Burdon and Mark Taylor, Top Gun: Maverick

3. David Lee, Wayne Pashley, Andy Nelson and Michael Keller, Elvis

4. Gwen Whittle, Gary Summers, Mike Hedges, Chris Boyes, Tony Johnson and Julian Howarth, Avatar: The Way of Water

5. Stuart Wilson, William Files, Douglas Murray, Andy Nelson and William Files, The Batman

Best Visual Effects

1. Joe Letteri, Richard Baneham, Eric Saindon and Daniel Barrett, Avatar: The Way of Water

2. Markus Frank, Viktor Muller, Frank Petzold and Kamil Jafar, All Quiet on the Western Front

3. Ryan Tudhope, Scott R. Fisher, Seth Hill and Bryan Litson, Top Gun: Maverick

4. Geoffrey Baumann, Craig Hammack, Hanzhi Tang and Dan Sudick, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever

5. Dan Lemmon, Russell Earl, Anders Langland and Dominic Tuoh, The Batman