2018 SAG Awards Nomination Predictions

The Screen Actors Guild Awards are never a cinch to predict, at least in terms of nominations, which is why I so adore them. Almost always, they produce at least one nominee (Hank Azaria in The Birdcage, anyone?) who hasn’t been on the radar of any other awards season precursor.

More likely than not, there will be at least one eyebrow-raising contender on SAG nominations morning. Could it be Julia Roberts in Ben Is Back? How about Russell Hornsby in The Hate U Give or Sissy Spacek in The Old Man and the Gun? While not among my top 10s, I’m also keeping an eye on the likes of Jonathan Pryce in The Wife and Rachel McAdams in Disobedience.

So, here's how I’m thinking the nominations might just pan out, from most to least likely to show up. Feel free, of course, to comment with your own predictions too!

Best Ensemble:

1. The Favourite

2. If Beale Street Could Talk

3. Crazy Rich Asians

4. A Star Is Born

5. Vice
   —

6. BlacKkKlansman

7. Black Panther

8. Widows

9. Green Book

10. Roma

Best Leading Actor:

1. Bradley Cooper, A Star Is Born

2. Rami Malek, Bohemian Rhapsody

3. Viggo Mortensen, Green Book

4. Christian Bale, Vice

5. Ethan Hawke, First Reformed
   —

6. Lucas Hedges, Boy Erased

7. Willem Dafoe, At Eternity’s Gate

8. John David Washington, BlacKkKlansman

9. Robert Redford, The Old Man and the Gun

10. Ryan Gosling, First Man

Best Leading Actress:

1. Glenn Close, The Wife

2. Olivia Colman, The Favourite

3. Melissa McCarthy, Can You Ever Forgive Me?

4. Lady Gaga, A Star Is Born

5. Viola Davis, Widows
   —

6. Toni Collette, Hereditary

7. Regina Hall, Support the Girls

8. Emily Blunt, Mary Poppins Returns

9. Yalitza Aparicio, Roma

10. Nicole Kidman, Destroyer

Best Supporting Actor:

1. Mahershala Ali, Green Book

2. Richard E. Grant, Can You Ever Forgive Me?

3. Adam Driver, BlacKkKlansman

4. Sam Rockwell, Vice

5. Sam Elliott, A Star Is Born
   —

6. Timothee Chalamet, Beautiful Boy

7. Michael B. Jordan, Black Panther

8. Russell Hornsby, The Hate U Give

9. Brian Tyree Henry, If Beale Street Could Talk

10. Daniel Kaluuya, Widows

Best Supporting Actress:

1. Regina King, If Beale Street Could Talk

2. Rachel Weisz, The Favourite

3. Emma Stone, The Favourite

4. Michelle Yeoh, Crazy Rich Asians

5. Amy Adams, Vice
   —

6. Claire Foy, First Man

7. Nicole Kidman, Boy Erased

8. Elizabeth Debicki, Widows

9. Thomasin McKenzie, Leave No Trace

10. Sissy Spacek, The Old Man and the Gun