2021 SAG Awards Nomination Predictions

Let’s just tell it like it is. The SAG Awards are the best awards.

From the brilliant likes of The Birdcage and Black Panther triumphing for Best Ensemble honors to countless inspired acting nominees, among them amazing curveballs like Michelle Pfeiffer (White Oleander), Hank Azaria (The Birdcage, which they just adored) and Gena Rowlands & Marisa Tomei (Unhook the Stars), SAG has a history of delivering the goods in fun and surprising ways.

Is SAG about to throw its usual wrenches into this awards season? Let’s dive into each category with some predictions.

Best Motion Picture Ensemble

1. Belfast

2. The Power of the Dog

3. West Side Story

4. Don’t Look Up

5. CODA
   —

6. Licorice Pizza

7. The French Dispatch

8. King Richard

9. Mass

10. House of Gucci

Given their formidable awards season performances thus far, it would be truly stunning to see any of Belfast, The Power of the Dog or West Side Story miss here. Beyond that trio, this is a tough one to forecast. Don’t Look Up and The French Dispatch have the sprawling, starry ensembles but the former is proving one of the year’s most polarizing contenders, while the latter hasn’t been an especially robust player at all. CODA and Licorice Pizza seem safer for Best Picture Oscar noms and could have enough support to edge out the splashier casts for the 4th and 5th slots here. Ultimately, I do think timing will help Don’t Look Up, with voters streaming it on Netflix just as ballots are being sent in. Not to be counted out are King Richard and Mass, the latter of which should be a shoo-in here but has the misfortune of a distributor that’s rarely had much luck striking awards season gold.

Best Female Actor in a Leading Role

1. Kristen Stewart, Spencer

2. Olivia Colman, The Lost Daughter

3. Nicole Kidman, Being the Ricardos

4. Lady Gaga, House of Gucci

5. Jennifer Hudson, Respect
   —

6. Jessica Chastain, The Eyes of Tammy Faye

7. Alana Haim, Licorice Pizza

8. Emilia Jones, CODA

9. Penelope Cruz, Parallel Mothers

10. Rachel Zegler, West Side Story

Stewart’s a sure bet and Colman/Kidman/Gaga strike me as solid too, albeit perhaps on a second tier. That fifth slot, though, is a toughie. Hudson has barely had a presence this awards season but early releases (like Respect) have a tendency to surface at SAG - a pattern that perhaps helps the likes of Chastain and Jones, too. Haim and Zegler could ride their films’ momentum to nominations and Cruz scored a trio of SAG noms to go along with all three career Oscar bids. My gut says Hudson might just be this year’s “what the?” SAG nominee but it’s such a close call.

Best Male Actor in a Leading Role

1. Benedict Cumberbatch, The Power of the Dog

2. Will Smith, King Richard

3. Andrew Garfield, tick, tick…BOOM!

4. Denzel Washington, The Tragedy of Macbeth

5. Leonardo DiCaprio, Don’t Look Up
   —

6. Peter Dinklage, Cyrano

7. Javier Bardem, Being the Ricardos

8. Nicolas Cage, Pig

9. Joaquin Phoenix, C’mon C’mon

10. Mahershala Ali, Swan Song

Again, I feel most of the suspense here lies in the fifth slot, with Cumberbatch & Smith safe in their spots and Garfield & Washington in reasonably comfortable positions right behind them. Dinklage has surfaced in this category before (for The Station Agent) and I can oddly fathom Bardem making the cut, even if he’s rarely cited as an MVP of Being the Ricardos. But my gut says it’s DiCaprio who ekes it out. He rarely misses at SAG when in awards contention, even making the cut for J. Edgar, and his notices for Don’t Look Up have been generally strong, even from critics of the picture itself.

Best Female Actor in a Supporting Role

1. Kirsten Dunst, The Power of the Dog

2. Ariana DeBose, West Side Story

3. Aunjanue Ellis, King Richard

4. Caitriona Balfe, Belfast

5. Rita Moreno, West Side Story
   —

6. Judi Dench, Belfast

7. Marlee Matlin, CODA

8. Ruth Negga, Passing

9. Ann Dowd, Mass

10. Meryl Streep, Don’t Look Up

Dunst, DeBose and Ellis look solid for nominations and odds are Balfe makes it too, even if she hasn’t had the formidable run many expected earlier in the season. Moreno is the quintessential SAG Best Supporting Actress nominee, a legendary veteran along the lines of Gwen Verdon (Marvin’s Room), Cloris Leachman (Spanglish) and Ruby Dee (American Gangster) who’s within striking distance of an Oscar nom but hardly a sure thing. I suspect she makes it but it’s just as easy to fathom Dench or Matlin making the cut if SAG falls especially hard for one of their pictures - and if Mass can somehow score Best Ensemble honors, Dowd may be along for the ride as a solo nominee. In a perfect world, both Negga and Tessa Thompson would be nominees everywhere for Passing but I’m not getting my hopes up.

Best Male Actor in a Supporting Role

1. Kodi Smit-McPhee, The Power of the Dog

2. Troy Kotsur, CODA

3. Ciaran Hinds, Belfast

4. Jamie Dornan, Belfast

5. J.K. Simmons, Being the Ricardos
   —

6. Jared Leto, House of Gucci

7. Bradley Cooper, Licorice Pizza

8. Ben Affleck, The Tender Bar

9. Jesse Plemons, The Power of the Dog

10. Jon Bernthal, King Richard

Not to sound like a broken record but…watch that fifth slot lol. Smit-McPhee, Kotsur, Hinds and Dornan should all be in good shape both here and on Oscar noms morning, barring Belfast losing momentum as the season progresses (which is plausible). My sense is Simmons takes the fifth slot, both here and at the Oscars, as a sort of “welcome back!” nod. It could be Leto but if the Globes wouldn’t embrace his divisive House of Gucci turn, I’m a little skeptical SAG and/or AMPAS will bite. Cooper’s been mostly absent from the precursors, The Tender Bar looks poised to arrive without much fanfare and Plemons (who is fantastic) has been completely overshadowed by his co-star. Bet on Simmons but prepare for the possibility of Leto.

2020 SAG Award Winner Predictions

Thank heaven for the SAG Awards. They’ll bring sorely needed clarity to what has been a whirlwind awards season, right?

Think again. If anything, I suspect the SAG Awards - my favorite awards season precursor of them all - are about to dig additional potholes onto the road to Oscar. Let’s dive into this…

Best Motion Picture Ensemble

1. Minari

2. The Trial of the Chicago 7

3. Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom

4. Da 5 Bloods

5. One Night in Miami

With Best Picture front-runner (more like near-shoo-in at this point) Nomadland on the sidelines, the winner of this category will, more likely than not, emerge the most formidable threat to the Chloe Zhao film on Oscar night. One Night in Miami and, sadly, Da 5 Bloods, are hopeless here. Ma Rainey too is an extreme long shot, though, for reasons that will become clear in the next category, I don’t entirely discount it. Instead, this appears to be a barn burner between Minari, peaking at just the right time in the awards season and sporting two individual acting noms, and The Trial of the Chicago 7, the starry ensemble showcase that seems to be more sputtering than surging in momentum. The latter can still totally pull this off but my gut says Minari.

Best Female Actor in a Leading Role

1. Viola Davis, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom

2. Carey Mulligan, Promising Young Woman

3. Frances McDormand, Nomadland

4. Vanessa Kirby, Pieces of a Woman

5. Amy Adams, Hillbilly Elegy

If there’s one reason I have Ma Rainey ahead of Da 5 Bloods and One Night in Miami in Best Ensemble, it’s this - not only do I have Chadwick Boseman triumphing in Best Actor, I also have his leading lady taking home Best Actress. With four wins on five individual SAG nominations (she’s only fallen short for Doubt), Davis is an unimpeachable SAG favorite. Moreover, the film’s Ensemble bid indicates healthy support among members for Ma Rainey itself, which is more than can be said for Mulligan’s picture, which missed despite a sprawling cast of recognizable and well-utilized faces. With a Critics Choice win under her belt, Mulligan feels likes the current Oscar favorite, albeit a tentative one - and I suspect that standing is about to further soften. While not entirely out, McDormand or Kirby would be a surprise here, though nonetheless remain in the hunt for the Oscar. Adams will go 0-for-7 in individual SAG bids.

Best Male Actor in a Leading Role

1. Chadwick Boseman, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom

2. Anthony Hopkins, The Father

3. Steven Yeun, Minari

4. Riz Ahmed, Sound of Metal

5. Gary Oldman, Mank

No contest, even with folks finally getting around to Hopkins’ turn on VOD.

Best Female Actor in a Supporting Role

1. Glenn Close, Hillbilly Elegy

2. Yuh-jung Youn, Minari

3. Maria Bakalova, Borat Subsequent Moviefilm

4. Olivia Colman, The Father

5. Helena Zengel, News of the World

Here, on the other hand, is a real race. Zengel, who missed with the Oscars, hasn’t a prayer and Colman sadly just never took off this awards season in terms of wins. This looks to be a three-way showdown among Close, the beloved actor’s actor who’s twice triumphed with SAG individual wins and whose film was respected enough by members to land a Best Actress nom for her co-star; Youn, the fellow veteran actor and lone contender from a Best Ensemble nominee; and Bakalova, the newcomer who has some momentum with the Critics Choice win and whose picture continues to flaunt surprising awards season strength. My feeling is if voters liked Hillbilly Elegy enough to nominate Adams’ polarizing turn, they probably admire it enough to give Close’s less divisive performance the win. But it’s just as easy to fathom Youn triumphing if her film is doing the same in Ensemble. If Bakalova wins here, she’s likely unstoppable for the Oscar.

Best Male Actor in a Supporting Role

1. Daniel Kaluuya, Judas and the Black Messiah

2. Chadwick Boseman, Da 5 Bloods

3. Sacha Baron Cohen, The Trial of the Chicago 7

4. Leslie Odom, Jr. One Night in Miami

5. Jared Leto, The Little Things

Like Best Actor, this isn’t much of a race, though if the sentiment is overwhelming enough, I suppose it’s not entirely impossible for Boseman to earn two posthumous prizes, especially with Da 5 Bloods managing the Best Ensemble nom. Still, Kaluuya remains the commanding favorite, both here and at the Oscars. The other three, forget it.

Best Motion Picture Stunt Ensemble

1. Wonder Woman 1984

2. Mulan

3. Da 5 Bloods

4. News of the World

5. The Trial of the Chicago 7

The last three winners in this category were Avengers: Endgame, Black Panther and Wonder Woman, so it’s tough to bet against the superhero flick, though I wouldn’t completely count out Mulan. The Chicago 7 nomination makes me giggle.

2020 Golden Globe/SAG Nomination Predictions

At last!

I haven’t made a set of awards season predictions since my stab at Oscar nominations back in September - a list that included the likes of C’mon, C’mon, The Humans and Respect, none of which ultimately scored qualifying runs for this cycle.

I’m going to continue holding off on the Oscars until the Globes and SAG have had their say. With these nominations on the horizon next week, you know what time it is…TIME FOR PREDICTIONS!!

First off, I feel reasonably confident these precursors will look at least a tad different from what the critics’ awards have thus far offered up.

Mank, for instance, didn’t exactly catch fire among the critics but expect the Hollywood Foreign Press Association to shower it with at least a modest showing of love. The HFPA may also be more inclined to embrace the likes of News of the World and especially Borat Subsequent Moviefilm and The Prom, the latter two taking advantage of the ghost towns that are this year’s Comedy/Musical categories. Likewise, over at SAG, the likes of Amy Adams and Glenn Close, headlining a film decidedly not adored by the critics, are liable to surface.

The likes of Paul Raci and Youn Yuh-jung have proven fierce contenders with the critics but are hardly shoo-ins with these voting bodies. And then there’s Maria Bakalova, who’s charged out of the starting gates as something of a Supporting Actress front-runner but will be contending in Lead at the Globes - and is no guarantee at SAG (or BAFTA after that).

Pictures like The Personal History of David Copperfield and Wild Mountain Thyme, neither of which have much in the way of momentum, may also take advantage of the barren nature of the Comedy/Musical lineups at the Globes - only to still have no prayer on Oscar noms morning.

There are also late-breaking contenders, like Judas and the Black Messiah and Malcolm and Marie, hoping to make a splash. The former’s Daniel Kaluuya appears destined for that second Oscar nom but it remains a question mark how much it’ll be embraced in other categories. And then there’s the latter film’s Zendaya and John David Washington, who’ve generated heaps of chatter for their robust turns but will need to overcome crowded categories and Malcolm and Marie’s otherwise mixed reviews.

Even in a more slender season as this, these are tough races to forecast - and it’s easy to picture the Globes and SAG producing very different quintets in the acting fields, ultimately leaving it to BAFTA to provide some clarity.

Anyway, here’s what I’m thinking goes down next week. Who do you have scoring GG/SAG glory?

Golden Globes:

Best Motion Picture - Drama

1. Nomadland

2. Da 5 Bloods

3. Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom

4. The Trial of the Chicago 7

5. Mank
   —

6. One Night in Miami

7. Promising Young Woman

8. Judas and the Black Messiah

9. News of the World

10. The Father

Best Motion Picture - Musical/Comedy

1. The Prom

2. Borat Subsequent Moviefilm

3. Hamilton

4. Emma

5. The Personal History of David Copperfield
   —

6. Wild Mountain Thyme

7. Palm Springs

8. The King of Staten Island

9. On the Rocks

10. Enola Holmes

Best Director

1. Chloe Zhao, Nomadland

2. Spike Lee, Da 5 Bloods

3. David Fincher, Mank

4. Lee Isaac Chung, Minari

5. Regina King, One Night in Miami
   —

6. Paul Greengrass, News of the World

7. Aaron Sorkin, The Trial of the Chicago 7

8. Emerald Fennell, Promising Young Woman

9. George C. Wolfe, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom

10. George Clooney, The Midnight Sky

Best Screenplay

1. Chloe Zhao, Nomadland

2. Aaron Sorkin, The Trial of the Chicago 7

3. Lee Isaac Chung, Minari

4. Ruben Santiago-Hudson, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom

5. Jack Fincher, Mank
   —

6. Emerald Fennell, Promising Young Woman

7. Florian Zeller and Christopher Hampton, The Father

8. Spike Lee, Danny Bilson, Paul De Meo and Kevin Willmott, Da 5 Bloods

9. Kemp Powers, One Night in Miami

10. Kelly Reichardt and Jonathan Raymond, First Cow

Best Actress - Drama

1. Frances McDormand, Nomadland

2. Viola Davis, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom

3. Carey Mulligan, Promising Young Woman

4. Sophia Loren, The Life Ahead

5. Zendaya, Malcolm and Marie
   —

6. Vanessa Kirby, Pieces of a Woman

7. Andra Day, The People vs. Billie Holiday

8. Kate Winslet, Ammonite

9. Amy Adams, Hillbilly Elegy

10. Sidney Flanigan, Never Rarely Sometimes Always

Best Actor - Drama

1. Chadwick Boseman, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom

2. Riz Ahmed, Sound of Metal

3. Anthony Hopkins, The Father

4. Gary Oldman, Mank

5. Tom Hanks, News of the World
   —

6. Delroy Lindo, Da 5 Bloods

7. Steven Yeun, Minari

8. John David Washington, Malcolm and Marie

9. Ben Affleck, The Way Back

10. George Clooney, The Midnight Sky

Best Actress - Musical/Comedy

1. Meryl Streep, The Prom

2. Maria Bakalova, Borat Subsequent Moviefilm

3. Michelle Pfeiffer, French Exit

4. Anya Taylor-Joy, Emma

5. Emily Blunt, Wild Mountain Thyme
   —

6. Millie Bobby Brown, Enola Holmes

7. Meryl Streep, Let Them All Talk

8. Cristin Milioti, Palm Springs

9. Rashida Jones, On the Rocks

10. Rachel McAdams, Eurovision Song Contest

Best Actor - Musical/Comedy

1. Sacha Baron Cohen, Borat Subsequent Moviefilm

2. Dev Patel, The Personal History of David Copperfield

3. Andy Samberg, Palm Springs

4. Pete Davidson, The King of Staten Island

5. Jamie Dornan, Wild Mountain Thyme
   —

6. Leslie Odom, Jr., Hamilton

7. Lin-Manuel Miranda, Hamilton

8. James Corden, The Prom

9. Will Ferrell, Eurovision Song Contest

10. Mel Gibson, Fatman

Best Supporting Actress

1. Amanda Seyfried, Mank

2. Olivia Colman, The Father

3. Glenn Close, Hillbilly Elegy

4. Ellen Burstyn, Pieces of a Woman

5. Jodie Foster, The Mauritanian
   —

6. Youn Yuh-jung, Minari

7. Helena Zengel, News of the World

8. Nicole Kidman, The Prom

9. Saoirse Ronan, Ammonite

10. Candice Bergen, Let Them All Talk

Best Supporting Actor

1. Leslie Odom, Jr., One Night in Miami

2. Sacha Baron Cohen, The Trial of the Chicago 7

3. Daniel Kaluuya, Judas and the Black Messiah

4. Chadwick Boseman, Da 5 Bloods

5. Bill Murray, On the Rocks
   —

6. Paul Raci, Sound of Metal

7. Mark Rylance, The Trial of the Chicago 7

8. Frank Langella, The Trial of the Chicago 7

9. Kingsley Ben-Adir, One Night in Miami

10. David Strathairn, Nomadland

Best Animated Feature

1. Soul

2. Over the Moon

3. Onward

4. Wolfwalkers

5. The Croods: A New Age
   —

6. Shaun the Sheep Movie: Farmageddon

7. Trolls World Tour

8. The Willloughbys

9. SpongeBob Movie: Sponge on the Run

10. No. 7 Cherry Lane

Best Foreign Language Film

1. Minari

2. Another Round

3. The Life Ahead

4. Quo Vadis, Aida?

5. Night of the Kings
   —

6. Never Gonna Snow Again

7. Apples

8. A Sun

9. My Little Sister

10. I’m No Longer Here

Best Original Score

1. Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross, Mank

2. Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross, Soul

3. James Newton Howard, News of the World

4. Emile Mosseri, Minari

5. Hans Zimmer and David Fleming, Hillbilly Elegy
   —

6. Christopher Willis, The Personal History of David Copperfield

7. Terence Blanchard, One Night in Miami

8. Daniel Pemberton, The Trial of the Chicago 7

9. Ludwid Göransson, Tenet

10. Terence Blanchard, Da 5 Bloods

Best Original Song

1. “Speak Now,” One Night in Miami

2. “Seen,” The Life Ahead

3. “Hear My Voice,” The Trial of the Chicago 7

4. “Wear Your Crown,” The Prom

5. “Carried Me with You,” Onward
   —

6. “Rocket to the Moon,” Over the Moon

7. “Queen Bee,” Emma

8. “Hometown,” Eurovision Song Contest

9. “The Wuhan Flu,” Borat Subsequent Moviefilm

10. “Turntables,” All In: The Fight for Democracy

Screen Actors Guild Awards:

Best Motion Picture Ensemble

1. Da 5 Bloods

2. One Night in Miami

3. The Trial of the Chicago 7

4. Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom

5. Minari
   —

6. The Prom

7. Mank

8. Promising Young Woman

9. Nomadland

10. The Boys in the Band

Best Female Actor in a Leading Role

1. Viola Davis, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom

2. Frances McDormand, Nomadland

3. Carey Mulligan, Promising Young Woman

4. Vanessa Kirby, Pieces of a Woman

5. Amy Adams, Hillbilly Elegy
   —

6. Meryl Streep, The Prom

7. Sophia Loren, The Life Ahead

8. Elisabeth Moss, The Invisible Man

9. Zendaya, Malcolm and Marie

10. Kate Winslet, Ammonite

Best Male Actor in a Leading Role

1. Chadwick Boseman, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom

2. Riz Ahmed, Sound of Metal

3. Delroy Lindo, Da 5 Bloods

4. Anthony Hopkins, The Father

5. Gary Oldman, Mank
   —

6. Kingsley Ben-Adir, One Night in Miami

7. Tom Hanks, News of the World

8. Steven Yeun, Minari

9. John David Washington, Malcolm and Marie

10. Ben Affleck, The Way Back

Best Female Actor in a Supporting Role

1. Amanda Seyfried, Mank

2. Ellen Burstyn, Pieces of a Woman

3. Olivia Colman, The Father

4. Glenn Close, Hillbilly Elegy

5. Saoirse Ronan, Ammonite
   —

6. Maria Bakalova, Borat Subsequent Moviefilm

7. Youn Yuh-jung, Minari

8. Helena Zengel, News of the World

9. Toni Collette, I’m Thinking of Ending Things

10. Candice Bergen, Let Them All Talk

Best Male Actor in a Supporting Role

1. Chadwick Boseman, Da 5 Bloods

2. Leslie Odom, Jr., One Night in Miami

3. Sacha Baron Cohen, The Trial of the Chicago 7

4. Daniel Kaluuya, Judas and the Black Messiah

5. Paul Raci, Sound of Metal
   —

6. Frank Langella, The Trial of the Chicago 7

7. Glynn Turman, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom

8. David Strathairn, Nomadland

9. Mark Rylance, The Trial of the Chicago 7

10. Bill Murray, On the Rocks

2019 SAG Award Winner Predictions

The SAG Awards are the best awards.

Not only do they run a breezy two hours (and, more often than not, sport some of the more inspired nominees of awards season), they’re also prone to delivering amazing upsets, like Emily Blunt’s victory last year for A Quiet Place. That turn was not Oscar-nominated, nor was Idris Elba’s SAG-winning performance in Beasts of No Nation. And let’s not forget the time The Birdcage topped The English Patient for Best Ensemble honors.

That being said, are we really in for another jaw-dropper this weekend? Let’s run through these categories…

Best Motion Picture Ensemble

1. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

2. The Irishman

3. Parasite

4. Jojo Rabbit

5. Bombshell

Bombshell, the lone nominee not up for the Best Picture Oscar, is almost certainly dead last here, with Jojo Rabbit in negligibly stronger contention. Instead, this strikes me as a close three-way affair among The Irishman (which just prevailed in this category over at the Critics’ Choice Awards), Once Upon a Time in Hollywood and Parasite. I give the Tarantino flick an edge here, as The Irishman seems to be conking out a bit in terms of awards season momentum and Parasite failed to land an individual acting nom here - an issue which did not prove fatal to winner Black Panther last year but is decidedly not a helpful stat nonetheless.

Best Female Actor in a Leading Role

1. Renee Zellweger, Judy

2. Lupita Nyong’o, Us

3. Charlize Theron, Bombshell

4. Scarlett Johansson, Marriage Story

5. Cynthia Erivo, Harriet

If there’s an Emily Blunt-level upset waiting in the wings, it might just be from Nyong’o, the critics’ darling, in the most commercially successful of these five pictures. Still, Zellweger remains the safe bet, with Theron perhaps not terribly far behind, given actors’ apparent affection for Bombshell. Johansson is not happening, nor is Erivo.

Best Male Actor in a Leading Role

1. Joaquin Phoenix, Joker

2. Adam Driver, Marriage Story

3. Taron Egerton, Rocketman

4. Leonardo DiCaprio, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

5. Christian Bale, Ford v Ferrari

There are scant signs of the Phoenix train coming to a halt this awards season. Driver, whose film surprisingly missed up in Best Ensemble (a deadly development for its Best Picture Oscar hopes), will be the distant runner-up, with the remaining trio, including uber-campaigner Egerton, trailing even further behind.

Best Female Actor in a Supporting Role

1. Laura Dern, Marriage Story

2. Jennifer Lopez, Hustlers

3. Scarlett Johansson, Jojo Rabbit

4. Margot Robbie, Bombshell

5. Nicole Kidman, Bombshell

Perhaps there’ll be a scattering of sympathy votes for Lopez - probably enough to keep her in second place here - but this was always going to be an easy win for Dern, even had Lopez scored the Golden Globe. Johansson has not prevailed anywhere for her Jojo turn and Bombshell fans are destined to split their votes between Robbie and Kidman - not that the latter’s absence would have much bolstered the former’s bid.

Best Male Actor in a Supporting Role

1. Brad Pitt, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

2. Tom Hanks, A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood

3. Al Pacino, The Irishman

4. Joe Pesci, The Irishman

5. Jamie Foxx, Just Mercy

Hanks enters SAG weekend with some leftover buzz from his Cecil B. DeMille win over at the Globes but such feeling won’t be warm enough to overtake Pitt, who’s turning into something of a shoo-in for his first acting Oscar. Pacino and Pesci are looking decreasingly formidable and Just Mercy just never took off this season.

Best Motion Picture Stunt Ensemble

1. Avengers: Endgame

2. Ford v Ferrari

3. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

4. Joker

5. The Irishman

This may actually be the most wide-open affair of the evening but probably bank on the action-packed Marvel flick triumphing - Black Panther prevailed last time around, with DC’s Wonder Woman winning the year prior. If, however, voters are inclined for a prestige champion here, it could be anyone’s game.

2019 Golden Globe/SAG Nomination Predictions

It’s the most wonderful time of the year!

Yes, I sure do love the Golden Globes and SAG Awards - what human being, after all, wouldn’t be enamored with precursors that once gave Jodie Foster, Shirley MacLaine and Sigourney Weaver a Best Actress three-way tie or awards that bestowed recognition upon not only Nathan Lane but Hank Azaria too for The Birdcage?

Especially in a season this chaotic, expect no shortage of jaw-droppers, both on nominations morning and awards night.

At the Globes, beyond the expected showering of nominations on The Irishman and Once Upon a Time in Hollywood, prepare for heaps of affection toward the likes of Jojo Rabbit and Joker too - even if they don’t make as heavy a splash later on with the Oscars. The Hollywood Foreign Press Association is liable to go gaga for the starry Little Women and generally goes bananas for a movie musical…even if it isn’t a good one (hello, Best Picture nominees The Phantom of the Opera and The Producers). Hence, even if Cats is a stinker, it could still make a nice showing here.

Don’t be surprised if the SAG nominations look considerably different than what the Globes serve up.

I’m keeping an especially close eye on Best Supporting Actor and Best Supporting Actress, where it’s so easy to see veterans like Alan Alda, John Lithgow and Maggie Smith emerge at SAG after Globe snubs.

Speaking of Dame Maggie, the SAG Awards used to eat up Downton Abbey in a huge way when it competed for television prizes, including three victories in the top Best Drama Ensemble category. If this at all translates to the film awards, it is completely plausible the film earns a Film Ensemble nom here. Keep an eye out too for real stunners like Elisabeth Moss (Her Smell) and Mary Kay Place (Diane), who could perhaps flabbergast awards season followers on a Sarah Silverman (I Smile Back)-level.

Oh, and Helen Mirren, GG/SAG/BAFTA nominee for Hitchcock, could easily land at either or both of these for The Good Liar.

Happy predicting! :)

Golden Globes:

Best Motion Picture - Drama

1. The Irishman

2. Marriage Story

3. 1917

4. Joker

5. Little Women
   —

6. Bombshell

7. The Two Popes

8. Richard Jewell

9. Ford v Ferrari

10. Avengers: Endgame

Best Motion Picture - Musical/Comedy

1. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

2. Jojo Rabbit

3. Rocketman

4. Hustlers

5. Cats
   —

6. Knives Out

7. The Peanut Butter Falcon

8. Dolemite Is My Name

9. Booksmart

10. Yesterday

Best Director

1. Martin Scorsese, The Irishman

2. Quentin Tarantino, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

3. Sam Mendes, 1917

4. Greta Gerwig, Little Women

5. Todd Phillips, Joker
   —

6. Taika Waititi, Jojo Rabbit

7. Noah Baumbach, Marriage Story

8. Bong Joon-ho, Parasite

9. Clint Eastwood, Richard Jewell

10. Tom Hooper, Cats

Best Screenplay

1. Quentin Tarantino, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

2. Noah Baumbach, Marriage Story

3. Steven Zaillian, The Irishman

4. Taika Waititi, Jojo Rabbit

5. Greta Gerwig, Little Women
   —

6. Anthony McCarten, The Two Popes

7. Bong Joon-ho and Jin Won Han, Parasite

8. Rian Johnson, Knives Out

9. Lulu Wang, The Farewell

10. Charles Randolph, Bombshell

Best Actress - Drama

1. Renee Zellweger, Judy

2. Scarlett Johansson, Marriage Story

3. Charlize Theron, Bombshell

4. Saoirse Ronan, Little Women

5. Helen Mirren, The Good Liar
   —

6. Lupita Nyong’o, Us

7. Cynthia Erivo, Harriet

8. Felicity Jones, The Aeronauts

9. Alfre Woodard, Clemency

10. Elisabeth Moss, Her Smell

Best Actor - Drama

1. Joaquin Phoenix, Joker

2. Adam Driver, Marriage Story

3. Robert De Niro, The Irishman

4. Jonathan Pryce, The Two Popes

5. Antonio Banderas, Pain and Glory
   —

6. Adam Sandler, Uncut Gems

7. Christian Bale, Ford v Ferrari

8. George MacKay, 1917

9. Paul Walter Hauser, Richard Jewell

10. Mark Ruffalo, Dark Waters

Best Actress - Musical/Comedy

1. Awkwafina, The Farewell

2. Constance Wu, Hustlers

3. Emma Thompson, Late Night

4. Ana de Armas, Knives Out

5. Francesca Hayward, Cats
   —

6. Cate Blanchett, Where’d You Go, Bernadette?

7. Dakota Johnson, The Peanut Butter Falcon

8. Charlize Theron, Long Shot

9. Beanie Feldstein, Booksmart

10. Angelina Jolie, Maleficent: Mistress of Evil

Best Actor - Musical/Comedy

1. Leonardo DiCaprio, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

2. Taron Egerton, Rocketman

3. Eddie Murphy, Dolemite Is My Name

4. Daniel Craig, Knives Out

5. Shia LaBeouf, The Peanut Butter Falcon
   —

6. Roman Griffin Davis, Jojo Rabbit

7. Himesh Patel, Yesterday

8. Will Smith, Aladdin

9. Bryan Cranston, The Upside

10. Zachary Levi, Shazam!

Best Supporting Actress

1. Laura Dern, Marriage Story

2. Jennifer Lopez, Hustlers

3. Scarlett Johansson, Jojo Rabbit

4. Margot Robbie, Bombshell

5. Florence Pugh, Little Women
   —

6. Maggie Smith, Downton Abbey

7. Penelope Cruz, Pain and Glory

8. Zhao Shuzhen, The Farewell

9. Nicole Kidman, Bombshell

10. Kathy Bates, Richard Jewell

Best Supporting Actor

1. Brad Pitt, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

2. Al Pacino, The Irishman

3. Joe Pesci, The Irishman

4. Tom Hanks, A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood

5. Anthony Hopkins, The Two Popes
   —

6. Timothee Chalamet, Little Women

7. Shia LaBeouf, Honey Boy

8. Willem Dafoe, The Lighthouse

9. Jamie Bell, Rocketman

10. Taika Waititi, Jojo Rabbit

Best Animated Feature

1. Toy Story 4

2. Frozen II

3. How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World

4. Missing Link

5. Abominable
   —

6. The Addams Family

7. Spies in Disguise

8. Weathering with You

9. Okko’s Inn

10. I Lost My Body

Best Foreign Language Film

1. Parasite

2. The Farewell

3. Pain and Glory

4. Portrait of a Lady on Fire

5. Les Miserables
   —

6. The Boy Who Harnessed the Wind

7. Monos

8. Atlantics

9. The Painted Bird

10. Dear Ex

Best Original Score

1. Thomas Newman, 1917

2. Alexandre Desplat, Little Women

3. Michael Giacchino, Jojo Rabbit

4. Hildur Guðnadóttir, Joker

5. Marco Beltrami and Buck Sanders, Ford v Ferrari
   —

6. Randy Newman, Marriage Story

7. Steven Price, The Aeronauts

8. Nate Heller, A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood

9. Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross, Waves

10. Alan Silvestri, Avengers: Endgame

Best Original Song

1. “I’m Gonna Love Me Again,” Rocketman

2. “Into the Unknown,” Frozen II

3. “Beautiful Ghosts,” Cats

4. “I Can’t Let You Throw Yourself Away,” Toy Story 4

5. “Speechless,” Aladdin
   —

6. “Stand Up,” Harriet

7. “I’m Standing with You,” Breakthrough

8. “Don’t Call Me (Angel),” Charlie’s Angels

9. “One Little Soldier,” Bombshell

10. “Spirit,” The Lion King

Screen Actors Guild Awards:

Best Motion Picture Ensemble

1. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

2. The Irishman

3. Marriage Story

4. Bombshell

5. Hustlers
   —

6. Little Women

7. Knives Out

8. Downton Abbey

9. Avengers: Endgame

10. Jojo Rabbit

Best Female Actor in a Leading Role

1. Renee Zellweger, Judy

2. Charlize Theron, Bombshell

3. Awkwafina, The Farewell

4. Scarlett Johansson, Marriage Story

5. Alfre Woodard, Clemency
   —

6. Saoirse Ronan, Little Women

7. Helen Mirren, The Good Liar

8. Cynthia Erivo, Harriet

9. Lupita Nyong’o, Us

10. Mary Kay Place, Diane

Best Male Actor in a Leading Role

1. Adam Driver, Marriage Story

2. Robert De Niro, The Irishman

3. Joaquin Phoenix, Joker

4. Antonio Banderas, Pain and Glory

5. Jonathan Pryce, The Two Popes
   —

6. Eddie Murphy, Dolemite Is My Name

7. Taron Egerton, Rocketman

8. Leonardo DiCaprio, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

9. Mark Ruffalo, Dark Waters

10. Christian Bale, Ford v Ferrari

Best Female Actor in a Supporting Role

1. Laura Dern, Marriage Story

2. Jennifer Lopez, Hustlers

3. Maggie Smith, Downton Abbey

4. Penelope Cruz, Pain and Glory

5. Nicole Kidman, Bombshell
   —

6. Annette Bening, The Report

7. Margot Robbie, Bombshell

8. Florence Pugh, Little Women

9. Zhao Shuzhen, The Farewell

10. Scarlett Johansson, Jojo Rabbit

Best Male Actor in a Supporting Role

1. Brad Pitt, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

2. Al Pacino, The Irishman

3. Joe Pesci, The Irishman

4. Alan Alda, Marriage Story

5. John Lithgow, Bombshell
   —

6. Tom Hanks, A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood

7. Anthony Hopkins, The Two Popes

8. Sterling K. Brown, Waves

9. Willem Dafoe, The Lighthouse

10. Song Kang-ho, Parasite